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December 09, 2019, 01:52:37 pm
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  WI-PPP: Ryan, Hillary tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-PPP: Ryan, Hillary tied  (Read 1224 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: September 19, 2013, 03:50:15 pm »

Indeed the state went 53-46 in 2012, which will be more relevant to 2016. For midterms, the electorate will be somewhere between those of 2008 and 2010. 
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2013, 09:22:14 am »

Indeed the state went 53-46 in 2012, which will be more relevant to 2016. For midterms, the electorate will be somewhere between those of 2008 and 2010. 

Do you think we're living in an age where midterms look more like the 2002 and 2004 demographics while presidential elections look more like 2008 demographics? It seems like a lot of Democrats don't vote in midterms.

2010 gave a harsh lesson in the importance of midterm elections. Wet-behind-the-ears Obama supporters who thought that by electing President Obama they had solved everything found out the hard way since then  that Congress is just as important as the President, and that state legislatures matter too.

In 2011 Republicans imposed an uneven playing field. Democrats need to figure how to win despite an uneven playing field (meaning gerrymandering). 
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2013, 12:22:58 pm »

With each passing day, I get more and more excited about a potential Ryan campaign!

PPP, Wisconsin


blue, Republican -- red, Democratic

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

Hillary Clinton vs. Chris Christie


    


Hillary Clinton vs. Paul Ryan


What Ryan gains in Wisconsin he loses elsewhere (like Colorado and Georgia), and I am not  convinced that Christie would lose Arkansas or Louisiana.
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