(NJ) who will win by a larger margin?
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  (NJ) who will win by a larger margin?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: (NJ) who will win by a larger margin?
#1
Chris Christie		  
#2
Cory Booker		  
#3
neither will win - Christie loses by less		  
#4
neither will win - Booker loses by less		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 58

Author Topic: (NJ) who will win by a larger margin?  (Read 5109 times)
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Miamiu1027
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« on: September 28, 2013, 10:36:01 AM »
.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2013, 11:10:03 AM »
Hilariously embarrassing for Booker that this is even a question.
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2013, 11:29:48 AM »
Christie will likely win by 15-18, while Booker by 12-15. Lower turnout in the special election will help Lonegan close the gap a bit, plus Christie's waged a far better campaign. Neither one is in doubt, however.
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2013, 11:56:57 AM »
Normally I'd say Booker, and it should be Booker, but since Christie manipulated election laws massively to ensure that they were not on the same ballot, and put the special election on some random Wednesday in October that would cost an extra $24 Million (with the primaries included), it could go either way. Fcuking Christie...
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2013, 01:01:42 PM »
Quote from: PolitiJunkie on September 28, 2013, 11:56:57 AM
Normally I'd say Booker, and it should be Booker, but since Christie manipulated election laws massively to ensure that they were not on the same ballot, and put the special election on some random Wednesday in October that would cost an extra $24 Million (with the primaries included), it could go either way. Fcuking Christie...

This. It would've been Booker, but a Wednesday October election is about as obscure as you can get, which helps the party that gets most of its votes from old white men.
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badgate
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2013, 10:33:53 PM »
It should be Booker, but considering that it's a special election which I suspect a decent amount of New Jersians don't know about (as opposed to Christie's reelection the next f***ing month), I voted Christie.
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20RP12
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2013, 11:47:34 AM »
Christie's got 60-70% in some polls, right?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2013, 06:19:39 PM »
Quote from: Big Wiggly Style on September 29, 2013, 11:47:34 AM
Christie's got 60-70% in some polls, right?

nowhere near 70.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2013, 06:59:12 PM »
Probably Christie, which is pretty weird. Christie will probably win in the high 50's and Booker will probably win in the mid 50's.
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20RP12
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2013, 07:48:38 PM »

haha i thought that because i remembered in some polls the Democrat polling at like 29% oh well
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2013, 09:36:06 AM »
Christie wins 55%-45%
Booker wins 60%-40%

Answer is Christie, because Democrats will come home for Buono, which Republicans won't necessarily do for Lonegan
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2013, 11:09:25 AM »
Booker wins the Senate race 57-38.

Christie wins reelection as Governor 62-36.

The NJ Dems have all but conceded the Governor's Mansion to Christie since like forever.
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Badger
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« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2013, 04:16:41 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on September 28, 2013, 11:10:03 AM
Hilariously embarrassing for Booker that this is even a question.

How so? Especially considering Christie set the Senate race to a special day rather than November?

Admittedly, I bet even if put on the same day Christie would've still outpaced Booker, but only by a point or three.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2013, 07:22:54 PM »
Quote from: Badger on October 03, 2013, 04:16:41 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on September 28, 2013, 11:10:03 AM
Hilariously embarrassing for Booker that this is even a question.

How so? Especially considering Christie set the Senate race to a special day rather than November?

Admittedly, I bet even if put on the same day Christie would've still outpaced Booker, but only by a point or three.

Yes, I'll concede that the unusual Special hurts Booker's margin but Cory is a rock star in a Dem state running against Steve Lonegan. This is Obama vs. Keyes-esque.
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2013, 09:58:42 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on October 03, 2013, 07:22:54 PM
Quote from: Badger on October 03, 2013, 04:16:41 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on September 28, 2013, 11:10:03 AM
Hilariously embarrassing for Booker that this is even a question.

How so? Especially considering Christie set the Senate race to a special day rather than November?

Admittedly, I bet even if put on the same day Christie would've still outpaced Booker, but only by a point or three.

Yes, I'll concede that the unusual Special hurts Booker's margin but Cory is a rock star in a Dem state running against Steve Lonegan. This is Obama vs. Keyes-esque.

The difference being that Obama vs. Keyes happened on ELECTION DAY, moreover a presidential election. If Booker vs. Lonegan happened on the same day as the 2012 presidential election, Booker would almost certainly crack 70 (the percentage Obama received against Keyes).
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2013, 10:15:07 PM »
Quote from: PolitiJunkie on September 28, 2013, 11:56:57 AM
Normally I'd say Booker, and it should be Booker, but since Christie manipulated election laws massively to ensure that they were not on the same ballot, and put the special election on some random Wednesday in October that would cost an extra $24 Million (with the primaries included), it could go either way. Fcuking Christie...

Surely, this isn't the only reason Booker isn't leading Lonegan by as much as he should...
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2013, 10:37:42 PM »
How saturated is the TV with ads on this one?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2013, 07:52:52 AM »
Quote from: Former Moderate on October 03, 2013, 10:37:42 PM
How saturated is the TV with ads on this one?

Definitely not heavy. Some Booker ads. They mention voting on Wednesday, October 16th but this is a type of race where I'd have a special ad almost entirely emphasizing the strange date (like the Murkowski write in ad). Maybe we'll see that next week though.

I haven't seen or heard that Lonegan has many ads out but I know some conservative group has one out highlighting his life story.
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20RP12
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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2013, 02:39:48 PM »
I've seen one commercial for Steve Lonegan and I've seen one for an Independent candidate.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2013, 03:36:13 PM »
I say Booker, if only because Buono is a better opponent than Lonegan.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2013, 04:13:39 PM »
Quote from: Big Wiggly Style #AnarchyintheUS on October 04, 2013, 02:39:48 PM
I've seen one commercial for Steve Lonegan and I've seen one for an Independent candidate.

Wait, for real? One of the Independent candidates has enough money for ads? I glanced at the group of candidates the other day and it seemed like the usual NJ third party candidate freak show.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2013, 04:25:31 PM »
Quote from: angryGreatness on October 04, 2013, 03:36:13 PM
I say Booker, if only because Buono is a better opponent than Lonegan.

Well, if you think about it Christie is probably a better frontrunner than Booker.
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barfbag
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2013, 07:52:32 PM »
I don't know of anyone who thinks either of them stand a chance at losing.
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Rowan
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« Reply #23 on: October 08, 2013, 04:03:06 PM »
Haven't seen any TV ads at all for Booker or Lonegan. Seen some Christie ones. Buono hasn't been on TV since May and says she won't be until after the special.
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cinyc
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« Reply #24 on: October 08, 2013, 04:20:37 PM »
Quote from: Rowan on October 08, 2013, 04:03:06 PM
Haven't seen any TV ads at all for Booker or Lonegan. Seen some Christie ones. Buono hasn't been on TV since May and says she won't be until after the special.

Lonegan has been running an ad tying Booker to Obamacare on the New York stations for the past week or two, at least during the local newscasts.  Christie has been running ads on New York TV for months.  I haven't seen any Booker or Buono ads on local TV - but they both might be up on New Jersey cable or in the Philadelphia market.
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