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Author Topic: FL-PPP: Crist up 12  (Read 1235 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: October 01, 2013, 08:04:44 am »

Leads Scott 50-38. Scott's at 55/33 unfavorable, Crist 43/42.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - de Gaulle



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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2013, 09:00:10 am »

I want to know who the 8% of Obama voters who are planning on voting for Scott are, Cubans-Americans?
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Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Harris
3. Klobuchar
4. Gillibrand
5. Castro
6. Buttigieg
7. Booker
8. Delaney
9. Gabbard
LeBron FitzGerald
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2013, 09:14:04 am »

Yet even with that killer approval rating, Nan Rich still trails Scott by a one point margin, 37-36. So even at Scott's probably worst possible approval of 33% in a swing state like Florida, Scott still has an advantage and Rich and the Democrats are pretty much out of luck if she gets unopposed in the primary because then the race would tilt R. Exactly why Crist or maybe Sink need to step up and beat her because it will be lean Democratic if it's one of them and the Florida Governor Mansion will likely be held by a Democrat for the first time in over a decade.
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sjoyce
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2013, 10:38:38 am »

Exactly why Crist or maybe Sink need to step up and beat her because it will be lean Democratic if it's one of them and the Florida Governor Mansion will likely be held by a Democrat for the first time in over a decade.

Sink has declined, as has Dyer, Iorio, Nelson, Buckhorn, and basically everyone else who's anyone else. Charlie's the only one who hasn't.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2013, 01:31:15 pm »

Crist's is at 43/42 favorable.
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RedSLC
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2013, 01:34:04 pm »

I want to know who the 8% of Obama voters who are planning on voting for Scott are, Cubans-Americans?

Probably. Could be that they just didn't like Romney in particular because of the whole "self-deportation" thing. Could also be the MOE.
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Economic score: -4.71 -> -5.74 -> -6.26 -> -7.42
Social score: -6.52 -> -7.91 -> -8.61 -> 8.78
Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2013, 01:56:40 pm »

New Poll: Florida Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2013-09-29

Summary: D: 50%, R: 38%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2013, 07:18:19 pm »

I want to know who the 8% of Obama voters who are planning on voting for Scott are, Cubans-Americans?

You can always count on 5-10% "cross party" support no matter who the candidates are. Probably from people who just randomly click buttons or who say they're one party but are actually another.
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Bevinevitable
IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2013, 07:21:58 pm »

Yet even with that killer approval rating, Nan Rich still trails Scott by a one point margin, 37-36. So even at Scott's probably worst possible approval of 33% in a swing state like Florida, Scott still has an advantage and Rich and the Democrats are pretty much out of luck if she gets unopposed in the primary because then the race would tilt R. Exactly why Crist or maybe Sink need to step up and beat her because it will be lean Democratic if it's one of them and the Florida Governor Mansion will likely be held by a Democrat for the first time in over a decade.

Huh? How is it good news for Rick Scott that he leads someone that is unknown to 70% of the state by a single point? The only thing that number shows is that a lot of people who will almost certainly vote against Scott say undecided because they have no clue who Nan Rich is.
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Flake
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2013, 09:36:16 pm »

Yet even with that killer approval rating, Nan Rich still trails Scott by a one point margin, 37-36. So even at Scott's probably worst possible approval of 33% in a swing state like Florida, Scott still has an advantage and Rich and the Democrats are pretty much out of luck if she gets unopposed in the primary because then the race would tilt R. Exactly why Crist or maybe Sink need to step up and beat her because it will be lean Democratic if it's one of them and the Florida Governor Mansion will likely be held by a Democrat for the first time in over a decade.

Huh? How is it good news for Rick Scott that he leads someone that is unknown to 70% of the state by a single point? The only thing that number shows is that a lot of people who will almost certainly vote against Scott say undecided because they have no clue who Nan Rich is.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2013, 11:25:07 pm »

This race completely depends on Crist. If he runs, Lean D. If he doesn't, Toss-up. I don't think I've seen many other democrats that poll significantly better than Scott like Crist does, and that's actually kind of embarrassing given the disapproval.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2013, 11:29:09 pm »

Scott also has loads of money and can dump it in all the right markets. If someone like Rich who doesn't seem to be an inspiring candidate who can fundraise, than she could lose to a really unpopular Scott. 33% approval may be a road too far, but who knows in this political battle field? He could win if he runs up her negatives hard too.

If it's Crist though, it probably is a road too far.
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morgieb
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« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2013, 02:46:32 am »

I want to know who the 8% of Obama voters who are planning on voting for Scott are, Cubans-Americans?
Reckon some of them might be people who don't trust Crist and dislike him enough to vote for Scott.
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