USA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all by big margins (user search)
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  USA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all by big margins (search mode)
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Author Topic: USA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all by big margins  (Read 2278 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: October 02, 2013, 03:47:02 PM »

WTF. Are we looking at a Ronald Reagan landslide here?

And again, Clinton's strong favorables are because of her amazing numbers among Democrats, whereas Christie's are from his strong crossover support:

Christie favorability by party ID:
Dems: +19
GOP: +22
Indies: +22

Clinton favorability by party ID:
Dems: +86
GOP: -57
Indies: +13


Amazing, Christie has awful approval rating among GOP, but an outstanding approval rating among democrats and independents, hell he gets bipartisan support from everyone, and Clinton gets bipartisan support from republicans because Cristie's "too liberal". In the end though, all these independents and democrats who have a positive opinion of Christie would still vote Clinton.

The GOP needs to expose Hillary for who she is, but obviously they can't do that right now and its irrelevant to be talking about it right now until any kind of movement happens. Until then this is happy time for liberals.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2013, 07:37:13 PM »

Christie:



Clinton: 375
Christie: 163

56.5% Clinton
43.5% Christie

Paul:



Clinton: 411
Paul: 127

58.5% Clinton
41.5% Paul

Cruz:



Clinton: 467
Cruz: 71

61.5% Clinton

38.5% Cruz


These are by no means realistic, I just thought I would put maps together to picture the result.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2013, 08:49:56 PM »

Why would Rand lose Mississippi but win Montana? Makes no sense.

They are close together PVI wise. I didn't account for elasticity so Rand probably wouldn't lose Mississippi, Montana would be a pure toss-up still though.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2013, 11:07:43 PM »


If you say so. In here it would be about Hillary 51%, Cruz 48%. No doubt he could have a home state advantage (which I'm not factoring in), but given that Hillary wins against him by 23 points in the poll, I Texas would narrowly go Hillary.
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