German Elections & Politics

[Enno von Loewenstern]

FW are polling surprisingly weak in Bavaria. In the latest bavarian poll for the EP election they're only at 3%, which makes it almost impossible to win two seats.

I have already posted it in the EP thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=170930.msg4163377#msg4163377

Regarding the FW, it is not that surprising. The higher the administrative level of the election, the lower their conferral by the voters and thus lower their election results. The Free Voters lack the unique selling point. Why should one vote FW in the EU elections? I guess they get 4-5% in Bavaria and 1.5 in Germany.

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Forsa

CDU/CSU 40 %
SPD 24 %
Greens 10 %
Left 10 %
AfD 6 %
----------------
FDP 4%
Others 6 %

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Emnid

CDU/CSU 39%
SPD 24 %
Greens 10 %
Left 10 %
AfD 6 %
FDP 5%
----------------
Others 6%

[Middle-aged Europe]

Results of the Tempelhof Airport referendum in Berlin:

Bill drafted by initiators of the referendum (THF 100%)
Yes 64.4%
No 35.6%

Alternate bill drafted by the Berlin state government
Yes 40.6%
No 59.4%

The former airport is currently used as a huge city park. The referendum dealt with the question whether parts of the former airport's area should be used to build appartments on it, resulting in a reduction of the park's area.

According to the THF 100% bill everything should stay as it is now (no appartment buildungs), and according to the state government bill the appartments should be build.

At least in part, the referendum also had become a vote of (no) confidence on Berlin mayor Klaus Wowereit who currently has a 70% disapproval rating or something like that.

Yesterday, I had also seen an editorial on SPIEGEL ONLINE which basically argued that building the appartments would essentially be a good idea, but given the continued proof of the Wowereit administration's general incompetence this government couldn't be trusted with implementing a project of such magnitude properly. So, SPIEGEL endorsed the THF 100% bill on the grounds that it would effectively postpone the building project until such time Wowereit is not in office any longer.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Btw, all boroughs of Berlin voted Yes/No on the Tempelhof referendum, except Marzahn-Hellersdorf where voters managed to approve of both bills... although the THF 100% bill ultimately won more votes than the state governmen's bill.

"THF 100%"
Yes 57.5%
No 42.5%

State government
Yes 51.5%
No 48.5%



And the clearest message came - as usual - from the borough of Friedrichhain-Kreuzberg:

"THF 100%"
Yes 77.0%
No 23.0%

State government
Yes 26.8%
No 73.2%

[Tender Branson]

Thought I could post this poll because it's funny:

Brandenburg state election (Sept. 14) - Infratest dimap poll for RBB

30% SPD [-3]
28% CDU [+8]
23% Left [-4]
  6% Greens [nc]
  6% AfD [+6]
  0% FDP [-7]
  7% Others

The FDP is not even listed among "others" anymore, it's explicitely shown at 0% ...

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/brandenburg.htm

[Tender Branson]

Since nobody is posting here anymore, just a quick poll average (7 different polls released in the last week):

39.6% CDU/CSU (-1.9%)
24.7% SPD (-1.0%)
10.7% Greens (+2.3%)
  8.7% Left (+0.1%)
  6.3% AfD (+1.6%)
  3.7% FDP (-1.1%)
  6.3% Others (no change)

[solarstorm]

"The Left " is a merger of the former communist SED (the party of the GDR regime), which later changed its name to PDS and the WASG.

Nope. The WASG was an autonomous party, which didn't have its roots in the PDS.

This changed after the then Chancellor Gerhard Schröder (SPD) undertook the necessary provably dispensable welfare state reforms.

[politicus]

"The Left " is a merger of the former communist SED (the party of the GDR regime), which later changed its name to PDS, and the WASG.

Nope. The WASG was an autonomous party, which didn't have its roots in the PDS.

You seem to have very bad reading comprehension solarstorm. Enno writes that it was a merger of PDS and WASG.

[Middle-aged Europe]

July 3, 2014: The Bundestag passes the first minmum wage law in German history.

[minionofmidas]

[Middle-aged Europe]

But the authorites didn't manage to find any meth at his home during their search! Granted, he could have flushed it down the toilet beforehand, just like he did with his career.

WWWWD (What would Walter White do?)

[Tender Branson]

New Saxony (August 31) state election poll (Infratest dimap for MDR)



Gov. Tillich (CDU) has the highest approval rating of all politicians (71-19):



The current government is CDU-FDP, but voters prefer CDU-SPD next time:

[Tender Branson]

New Thuringia (September 14) state election poll (INSA for the Thüringische Landeszeitung)

33% CDU
25% Left
18% SPD
  7% AfD
  6% Greens
  3% FDP
  2% Pirates
  2% FW
  4% Others

The current government is CDU-SPD.

[Tender Branson]

New Thuringia (September 14) state election poll by Infratest dimap for MDR:



Direct vote for Governor:



Job approval ratings of frontrunners:



Preferred coalition after the election (Would this coalition be good or bad for Thüringen ?":

[minionofmidas]

Logging in specifically to share this...

Desperate times, desperate measures.



This is a real FDP campaign poster from Brandenburg. For once, a political poster that does not lie.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Middle-aged Europe]

Does reverse psychology work in political campaigns??

[Vosem]

No sow needs the FDP? As in female pig? I don't get it.

[Tender Branson]

No sow needs the FDP? As in female pig? I don't get it.

You cannot translate this literally into English. It's a German thing to say, like in "Nobody needs me ! I might as well go and jump off a bridge ..." with a dose of frustration.

[Middle-aged Europe]

It's basically saying "the FDP is superfluous".

For the most part, their campaign is trying to troll the media.

[Tender Branson]

3 INSA state election polls for the BILD-tabloid:

Saxony state election (August 31)

40% CDU (nc)
19% Left (-2)
14% SPD (+4)
  6% AfD (+6)
  6% Greens (nc)
  5% FDP (-5)
  4% NPD (-2)
  6% Others

Brandenburg state election (September 14)

34% SPD (+1)
25% CDU (+5)
22% Left (-5)
  5% AfD (+5)
  5% Greens (-1)
  3% FDP (-4)
  6% Others

Thuringia state election (September 14)

34% CDU (+3)
26% Left (-1)
19% SPD (nc)
  6% Greens (nc)
  5% AfD (+5)
  4% FDP (-4)
  6% Others

[Tender Branson]

The Saxony state election is next Sunday and there are 2 new polls from Infratest dimap and FGW, both of which have the Nazis and the AFD gaining in the last weeks:

Infratest dimap

40.0% CDU
19.0% Left
14.0% SPD
  7.0% AfD
  6.5% Greens
  5.0% NPD
  3.5% FDP
  5.0% Others

FGW

39% CDU
20% Left
15% SPD
  7% AfD
  6% Greens
  5% NPD
  3% FDP
  5% Others

The most preferred coalition after the election is CDU-SPD (currently it's CDU-FDP):

[jaichind]

In Saxony, if FDP falls below 5%, will CDU go for a CDU-AfD alliance or will we have the CDU-SPD just like everywhere else.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

In Saxony, if FDP falls below 5%, will CDU go for a CDU-AfD alliance or will we have the CDU-SPD just like everywhere else.

I assume CDU-SPD. AfD probably prefers to be outside for now.

The wiki page for this election has a summary of potential coalitions, in slightly broken English.