German Elections & Politics

[Donnie]

RLP 18.3 in:

SPD           CDU           GRÜNE   FDP       LINKE       AfD         Sonstige
36,1%   33,8%      4,3%       6,1%         2,5%      12,1%   5,0%

[DavidB.]

ARD: "To understand the AfD result in all states, look at this"
Question 1: Are you afraid the influence of Islam will become too strong?
Question 2: Are you afraid crime in Germany will increase?

[Tender Branson]

Gov. Dreyer (SPD) beats Klöckner by 20% in the direct vote for Governor:



78% approve of the job she's doing:



I have really underestimated the "Governor-effect" in RP. This helped the SPD win additional ground, while the SPD in the other states crashed today.

[Cassius]

On a completely unrelated note (this has always puzzled me) why do some European countries place a comma in place of a point when listing percentages?

[DavidB.]

AfD to 14.9% in BaWü, SPD at 12.8%.

[Tender Branson]

Gov. Kretschmann had a huge pull-effect in BW.

Half of today's Green voters only voted Green because of Kretschmann.

[DavidB.]

On a completely unrelated note (this has always puzzled me) why do some European countries place a comma in place of a point when listing percentages?

because they (we) don't use English... these rules differ in every language.

[Tender Branson]

With the AfD approaching 15% in BW, the state results are now much more in line with my prediction ...

[Tender Branson]

Merkel's coalition "only" lost 22-23% today in population-rich BW. No need to worry ...

[jaichind]

Gov. Kretschmann had a huge pull-effect in BW.

Half of today's Green voters only voted Green because of Kretschmann.

I am surprised the Green vote held up so well.  Many Green voters can legitimately claim that  Kretschmann is Green-in-name-only.

[DavidB.]

Merkel's coalition "only" lost 22-23% today in population-rich BW. No need to worry ...

Wir schaffen das

[Tender Branson]

LOL, from the Sachsen-Anhalt exit poll:



"I'm relieved that now only few refugees are coming to Germany anymore."

"The number of refugees should be reduced on a continuing basis."

"Mainstream parties are not taking seriously the concerns of citizens on the refugee topic."

"Angela Merkel has made a huge mistake with her refugee policy."

...

"More is done for refugees/immigrants rather than for the native population."

(notice how Left-party voters are 2nd to the AfD on this question)

[Classic Conservative]

Is there a link to the results in English somewhere???

[Beezer]

AfD rising in RLP as well:



I suppose the exit polls may have fallen victim to a "shy AfD" effect.

[Tender Branson]

AfD tops 24% in Sachsen-Anhalt, NPD is around 3%.

AfD is first there among voters under 30, and just 2 points behind the CDU in the age group 30-60.

[jaichind]

The result in SA is ultra-bad news for Linke where AfD might end up displacing it as the main protest party, especially in its Eastern Germany base.

[Tender Branson]

The result in SA is ultra-bad news for Linke where AfD might end up displacing it as the main protest party, especially in its Eastern Germany base.

There are also indicators that many former Left voters voted AfD today ...

[Tender Branson]

I suppose the exit polls may have fallen victim to a "shy AfD" effect.

Definitely.

Which is funny, because in Austria's state elections last year the "exit polls" overestimated the FPÖ by about 5% in Vienna and 2% in Upper Austria.

[Tender Branson]

New ARD projection:

Sachsen-Anhalt

[jaichind]

The result in SA is ultra-bad news for Linke where AfD might end up displacing it as the main protest party, especially in its Eastern Germany base.

There are also indicators that many former Left voters voted AfD today ...

It seems to me that AfD can only get such a result today in SA only if a bunch of Linke voters swung over to AfD, especially with NPD at 3% itself.

[DavidB.]

Is there a link to the results in English somewhere???

You should be able to figure this out, I guess.

[jaichind]

Is there a link to the results in English somewhere???

You should be able to figure this out, I guess.

Yeah,  google translate should handle the rest.

[jaichind]

Oh no.  FDP is now projected to be right below 5% at SA.

[Tender Branson]

Rheinland-Pfalz

3173/4824 precincts counted

36.2% SPD
31.8% CDU
13.0% AfD
  6.1% FDP
  4.9% Greens
  2.7% Left
  5.2% Others

[jaichind]

What did the exit polls have for RLP in terms of vote transfers.  On paper it seems like Green->AfD but that seems unlikely and it is much more likely it was Green->SPD and SPD->AfD.