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Author Topic: German Elections & Politics  (Read 662056 times)
RedPrometheus
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« Reply #3250 on: January 21, 2018, 10:18:03 AM »

I’m a delegate at the conference and I am now 100% certain that the delegates will approve the coalition talks. Andrea Nahles speech really changed the mood in the hall.

Oh, we have a V.I.P. here Cheesy
Will the vote be secret or will it be like a roll call?

There might be a vote to have a secret ballot but I expect that to fail. The delegates will vote by raising their voting cards. If the majority is unclear the counting commission will count each vote.
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #3251 on: January 21, 2018, 10:19:09 AM »

I’m a delegate at the conference and I am now 100% certain that the delegates will approve the coalition talks. Andrea Nahles speech really changed the mood in the hall.

Oh, we have a V.I.P. here Cheesy
Will the vote be secret or will it be like a roll call?

There might be a vote to have a secret ballot but I expect that to fail. The delegates will vote by raising their voting cards. If the majority is unclear the counting commission will count each vote.

Majority is not certain. I’m quite surprised.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3252 on: January 21, 2018, 10:19:56 AM »

I’m a delegate at the conference and I am now 100% certain that the delegates will approve the coalition talks. Andrea Nahles speech really changed the mood in the hall.

Oh, we have a V.I.P. here Cheesy
Will the vote be secret or will it be like a roll call?

There might be a vote to have a secret ballot but I expect that to fail. The delegates will vote by raising their voting cards. If the majority is unclear the counting commission will count each vote.

Majority is not certain. I’m quite surprised.

Wow! You're a fast writer. Or Phoenix is really slow. Tongue
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3253 on: January 21, 2018, 10:20:34 AM »

I’m a delegate at the conference and I am now 100% certain that the delegates will approve the coalition talks. Andrea Nahles speech really changed the mood in the hall.

Oh, we have a V.I.P. here Cheesy
Will the vote be secret or will it be like a roll call?

There might be a vote to have a secret ballot but I expect that to fail. The delegates will vote by raising their voting cards. If the majority is unclear the counting commission will count each vote.

Yeah, just saw it. It's a roll call.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3254 on: January 21, 2018, 10:31:37 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2018, 10:35:17 AM by Ἅιδης »

It's a yes. Angry

362 yes
279 no
1 abstention
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« Reply #3255 on: January 21, 2018, 10:32:59 AM »

56% of the delegates vote in favour of the grand coalition.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3256 on: January 21, 2018, 10:37:18 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2018, 10:41:54 AM by Oryxslayer »


Only 56% approve...unless the SPD are able to get more at the table during the actual agreement, I don't see how this will be accepted when put to the more skeptical membership vote. But I didn't see how the party could accept it at the conference when their polls were slipping simply by agreeing to it, and they ended up finding the votes. So perhaps we will see the party dance their way to destruction.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3257 on: January 21, 2018, 10:41:49 AM »

The socialist workers' song folklore at the end was just embarrassing and humiliating. 😡
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #3258 on: January 21, 2018, 10:43:21 AM »

The socialist workers' song folklore at the end was just embarrassing and humiliating. 😡

What did they sing? The Internationale? Because that seems extremely common among socialdemocratic parties all around Europe.
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #3259 on: January 21, 2018, 10:43:58 AM »

The socialist workers' song folklore at the end was just embarrassing and humiliating. 😡

Though it is a tradition to sing it after party conferences I didn’t do it this time Wink
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #3260 on: January 21, 2018, 10:45:25 AM »

The socialist workers' song folklore at the end was just embarrassing and humiliating. 😡

What did they sing? The Internationale? Because that seems extremely common among socialdemocratic parties all around Europe.

“wenn wir schreiten seit an seit” - it’s the official party anthem. Only the Jusos sing the International at the end of their conferences Wink
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« Reply #3261 on: January 21, 2018, 10:49:33 AM »

The socialist workers' song folklore at the end was just embarrassing and humiliating. 😡

Though it is a tradition to sing it after party conferences I didn’t do it this time Wink

How did you vote, Hermann?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3262 on: January 21, 2018, 10:54:20 AM »

So, let me get this straight:

* Merkel/CDU-CSU was expected to win easily, but then had a very mediocre (= bad) election result and got humiliated.

* She then limped along to talk with the FDP and Greens, which failed utterly.

* The SPD had a chance to go into opposition and rebuild and let Merkel "auflaufen" (= in English something like "let herself disassemble along the way").

* Instead, the SPD chose to betray voters and start talks with her and contrary to Merkel it's now themselves who are aufgelaufen (=> hitting the wall at full speed in this split vote).

How stupid is the SPD ?
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Zinneke
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« Reply #3263 on: January 21, 2018, 11:30:16 AM »

So, let me get this straight:

* Merkel/CDU-CSU was expected to win easily, but then had a very mediocre (= bad) election result and got humiliated.

* She then limped along to talk with the FDP and Greens, which failed utterly.

* The SPD had a chance to go into opposition and rebuild and let Merkel "auflaufen" (= in English something like "let herself disassemble along the way").

* Instead, the SPD chose to betray voters and start talks with her and contrary to Merkel it's now themselves who are aufgelaufen (=> hitting the wall at full speed in this split vote).

How stupid is the SPD ?

Schulz comes from a political culture (the EU) where he benefited greatly from his GroKo with the EPP, and he never had to look over his shoulder electorally. Also, I think his speech indicated that it was only to pursue the talks.

I personally, despite not wanting the GroKo, understand the political logic behind it, especially after what one of the German posters said on here about the average age of the SPD rank and file.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3264 on: January 21, 2018, 11:44:39 AM »

So, let me get this straight:

* Merkel/CDU-CSU was expected to win easily, but then had a very mediocre (= bad) election result and got humiliated.

* She then limped along to talk with the FDP and Greens, which failed utterly.

* The SPD had a chance to go into opposition and rebuild and let Merkel "auflaufen" (= in English something like "let herself disassemble along the way").

* Instead, the SPD chose to betray voters and start talks with her and contrary to Merkel it's now themselves who are aufgelaufen (=> hitting the wall at full speed in this split vote).

How stupid is the SPD ?

Schulz comes from a political culture (the EU) where he benefited greatly from his GroKo with the EPP, and he never had to look over his shoulder electorally. Also, I think his speech indicated that it was only to pursue the talks.

I personally, despite not wanting the GroKo, understand the political logic behind it, especially after what one of the German posters said on here about the average age of the SPD rank and file.

The thing with constant Grand Coalitions is that they could turn into political incest (see Austria) , or in the case of Germany - political BDSM - and that people/parties will start to hate each other after a long time together.

So, it is refreshing to have another government option here and then, even if it involves the FPÖ or the AfD. Here is where I don't understand the Germans and their desire for "keeping the Far Right out of office no matter what". It seems the Germans are the Vulcans of Europe ("do not allow any emotions and kill any political incorrectness immediately because it would be a sign of instability"). On the other hand, Austrians have no such "Vulcan" reservations.
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oddfellowslocal151
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« Reply #3265 on: January 21, 2018, 11:53:47 AM »

So, let me get this straight:

* Merkel/CDU-CSU was expected to win easily, but then had a very mediocre (= bad) election result and got humiliated.

* She then limped along to talk with the FDP and Greens, which failed utterly.

* The SPD had a chance to go into opposition and rebuild and let Merkel "auflaufen" (= in English something like "let herself disassemble along the way").

* Instead, the SPD chose to betray voters and start talks with her and contrary to Merkel it's now themselves who are aufgelaufen (=> hitting the wall at full speed in this split vote).

How stupid is the SPD ?

Schulz comes from a political culture (the EU) where he benefited greatly from his GroKo with the EPP, and he never had to look over his shoulder electorally. Also, I think his speech indicated that it was only to pursue the talks.

I personally, despite not wanting the GroKo, understand the political logic behind it, especially after what one of the German posters said on here about the average age of the SPD rank and file.

The thing with constant Grand Coalitions is that they could turn into political incest (see Austria) , or in the case of Germany - political BDSM - and that people/parties will start to hate each other after a long time together.

So, it is refreshing to have another government option here and then, even if it involves the FPÖ or the AfD. Here is where I don't understand the Germans and their desire for "keeping the Far Right out of office no matter what". It seems the Germans are the Vulcans of Europe ("do not allow any emotions and kill any political incorrectness immediately because it would be a sign of instability"). On the other hand, Austrians have no such "Vulcan" reservations.

Yes, what could possibly make the Germans hesitant about the Far Right?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #3266 on: January 21, 2018, 11:56:52 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2018, 12:02:17 PM by Tender Branson »

So, let me get this straight:

* Merkel/CDU-CSU was expected to win easily, but then had a very mediocre (= bad) election result and got humiliated.

* She then limped along to talk with the FDP and Greens, which failed utterly.

* The SPD had a chance to go into opposition and rebuild and let Merkel "auflaufen" (= in English something like "let herself disassemble along the way").

* Instead, the SPD chose to betray voters and start talks with her and contrary to Merkel it's now themselves who are aufgelaufen (=> hitting the wall at full speed in this split vote).

How stupid is the SPD ?

Schulz comes from a political culture (the EU) where he benefited greatly from his GroKo with the EPP, and he never had to look over his shoulder electorally. Also, I think his speech indicated that it was only to pursue the talks.

I personally, despite not wanting the GroKo, understand the political logic behind it, especially after what one of the German posters said on here about the average age of the SPD rank and file.

The thing with constant Grand Coalitions is that they could turn into political incest (see Austria) , or in the case of Germany - political BDSM - and that people/parties will start to hate each other after a long time together.

So, it is refreshing to have another government option here and then, even if it involves the FPÖ or the AfD. Here is where I don't understand the Germans and their desire for "keeping the Far Right out of office no matter what". It seems the Germans are the Vulcans of Europe ("do not allow any emotions and kill any political incorrectness immediately because it would be a sign of instability"). On the other hand, Austrians have no such "Vulcan" reservations.

Yes, what could possibly make the Germans hesitant about the Far Right?

Yeah, I know ... WW2.

But what is better ?

* letting the AfD govern together with the CDU/CSU, a coalition in which the conservatives have for example 36% and the AfD 12% and would therefore get just a quarter of power and cabinet posts ? And let them make mistakes and probably fail and drop to 5% after a few years ?

* excluding them forever and let them grow ... and grow ... and grow, until they cannot be ignored anymore ? This is exactly what happened in the US: the "Deplorables" (as the incredibly stupid Hillary called them), in the shadows and being unfairly treated for a long time, did rise up and turned out in droves because they didn't want to be ignored any longer. And the result was Trump.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3267 on: January 21, 2018, 12:04:30 PM »

So, let me get this straight:

* Merkel/CDU-CSU was expected to win easily, but then had a very mediocre (= bad) election result and got humiliated.

* She then limped along to talk with the FDP and Greens, which failed utterly.

* The SPD had a chance to go into opposition and rebuild and let Merkel "auflaufen" (= in English something like "let herself disassemble along the way").

* Instead, the SPD chose to betray voters and start talks with her and contrary to Merkel it's now themselves who are aufgelaufen (=> hitting the wall at full speed in this split vote).

How stupid is the SPD ?

Schulz comes from a political culture (the EU) where he benefited greatly from his GroKo with the EPP, and he never had to look over his shoulder electorally. Also, I think his speech indicated that it was only to pursue the talks.

I personally, despite not wanting the GroKo, understand the political logic behind it, especially after what one of the German posters said on here about the average age of the SPD rank and file.

The thing with constant Grand Coalitions is that they could turn into political incest (see Austria) , or in the case of Germany - political BDSM - and that people/parties will start to hate each other after a long time together.

So, it is refreshing to have another government option here and then, even if it involves the FPÖ or the AfD. Here is where I don't understand the Germans and their desire for "keeping the Far Right out of office no matter what". It seems the Germans are the Vulcans of Europe ("do not allow any emotions and kill any political incorrectness immediately because it would be a sign of instability"). On the other hand, Austrians have no such "Vulcan" reservations.

Yes, what could possibly make the Germans hesitant about the Far Right?

Yeah, I know ... WW2.

But what is better ?

* letting the AfD govern together with the CDU/CSU, a coalition in which the conservatives have for example 36% and the AfD 12% and would therefore get just a quarter of power and cabinet posts ? And let them make mistakes and probably fail and drop to 5% after a few years ?

* excluding them forever and let them grow ... and grow ... and grow, until they cannot be ignored anymore ?

The main problem with this is the AfD doesn't even want a Merkel coalition, even if it was a possibility rather then political taboo. Their whole stick, aside from the anti-migrant anti-EU part, is being strong anti-Merkel. They don't want a coalition with the "cooperationist" CDU. Even if these bridges could be passed, they would still need the FDP on board to cross 50%.

No, the options right now are:

Grand Coalition (shudder)
Jamaica, or Black/Green in the event of new elections
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3268 on: January 21, 2018, 12:07:21 PM »

So, let me get this straight:

* Merkel/CDU-CSU was expected to win easily, but then had a very mediocre (= bad) election result and got humiliated.

* She then limped along to talk with the FDP and Greens, which failed utterly.

* The SPD had a chance to go into opposition and rebuild and let Merkel "auflaufen" (= in English something like "let herself disassemble along the way").

* Instead, the SPD chose to betray voters and start talks with her and contrary to Merkel it's now themselves who are aufgelaufen (=> hitting the wall at full speed in this split vote).

How stupid is the SPD ?

Schulz comes from a political culture (the EU) where he benefited greatly from his GroKo with the EPP, and he never had to look over his shoulder electorally. Also, I think his speech indicated that it was only to pursue the talks.

I personally, despite not wanting the GroKo, understand the political logic behind it, especially after what one of the German posters said on here about the average age of the SPD rank and file.

The thing with constant Grand Coalitions is that they could turn into political incest (see Austria) , or in the case of Germany - political BDSM - and that people/parties will start to hate each other after a long time together.

So, it is refreshing to have another government option here and then, even if it involves the FPÖ or the AfD. Here is where I don't understand the Germans and their desire for "keeping the Far Right out of office no matter what". It seems the Germans are the Vulcans of Europe ("do not allow any emotions and kill any political incorrectness immediately because it would be a sign of instability"). On the other hand, Austrians have no such "Vulcan" reservations.

Yes, what could possibly make the Germans hesitant about the Far Right?

Yeah, I know ... WW2.

But what is better ?

* letting the AfD govern together with the CDU/CSU, a coalition in which the conservatives have for example 36% and the AfD 12% and would therefore get just a quarter of power and cabinet posts ? And let them make mistakes and probably fail and drop to 5% after a few years ?

* excluding them forever and let them grow ... and grow ... and grow, until they cannot be ignored anymore ? This is exactly what happened in the US: the "Deplorables" (as the incredibly stupid Hillary called them), in the shadows and being unfairly treated for a long time, did rise up and turned out in droves because they didn't want to be ignored any longer. And the result was Trump.

The main problem with this is the AfD doesn't even want a Merkel coalition, even if it was a possibility rather then political taboo. Their whole stick, aside from the anti-migrant anti-EU part, is being strong anti-Merkel. They don't want a coalition with the "cooperationist" CDU. Even if these bridges could be passed, they would still need the FDP on board to cross 50%.

No, the options right now are:

Grand Coalition (shudder)
Jamaica, or Black/Green in the event of new elections

Where did I write "Merkel coalition" ? The AfD would be willing to work with CDU/CSU if Merkel were history.

And there are other people in the CDU/CSU who would be willing to work with them ... assuming the AfD is growing up a bit and becomes more disciplined, like the FPÖ.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #3269 on: January 21, 2018, 12:08:20 PM »

Yeah, what Oryxslayer said... the AfD doesn't even want to govern right now.

At their last federal congress there was a guy running for the party chairmanship who supported that the AfD joins governments with other parties and in the end he wasn't elected by the delegates mainly because he wanted the AfD to enter coalitions with other parties.

At the moment, the AfD - or at least definitely a majority of the AfD - understands itself as a opposition force against "the system". Part of being a opposition force against "the system" is that you don't enter into alliances with the political parties of "the system" (which includes basically everbody else).

So, it's a moot point really.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #3270 on: January 21, 2018, 12:09:27 PM »

56% on a card vote? Christ. That is a strikingly low figure.
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #3271 on: January 21, 2018, 01:53:39 PM »

56% on a card vote? Christ. That is a strikingly low figure.

It is
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3272 on: January 21, 2018, 01:58:17 PM »


How did you vote, Hermann?
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #3273 on: January 21, 2018, 02:27:03 PM »


I voted against another Grand Coalition.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3274 on: January 22, 2018, 07:31:17 PM »

Forsa poll:



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