Political effects of the McCartney murder?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« on: March 05, 2005, 05:14:51 AM »
What d'yi all think?
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patrick1
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2005, 05:47:00 AM »

Sinn Fein will probably suffer some votes to SDLP.  There has been a whole series of missteps from bank robberies, to provos in Colombia etc. and now this.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2005, 05:56:26 AM »
What's especially damaging to Sinn Fein is the fact that the McCartney family are (or were) mostly Sinn Fein voters.
I reckon this'll have a bigger effect in Belfast than the rest of NI (making Belfast South look very interesting) but I could be wrong.

It'll also be interesting to see what this does to the Unionist vote... I have a nasty feeling that it could help the DUP a lot Sad
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patrick1
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2005, 06:10:18 AM »
Quote from: Retired Al on March 05, 2005, 05:56:26 AM

It'll also be interesting to see what this does to the Unionist vote... I have a nasty feeling that it could help the DUP a lot Sad



U.U.P. is in such disarray that  anything that happens  which buys into the DUP rhetoric will win them votes.  I'll have to give my friends in Ballymena a call and see how Ian Kyle's support is these days.  They actually lived next door to the Neeson's.  Ack our Liam.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2005, 06:32:22 AM »
Any chance of a UUP wipeout? Most of their seats are pretty marginal nowadays...
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2005, 07:44:35 AM »
Quote from: Retired Al on March 05, 2005, 06:32:22 AM
Any chance of a UUP wipeout? Most of their seats are pretty marginal nowadays...

Probably not. My prediction has them down to 3.

It's the SDLP we've got to worry about- they could go down to 1.
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