Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide

[jaichind]

EUR dropping now on trends that M5S and LN might be over-performing exit polls ...

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

For anyone who knows: do PaP and/or CasaPound have a chance of making it into Parliament?

No.

[Andrea]

Second projection for La7 (40% of the sampled polling stations) for Senate

5 Stars 33.6

PD 18.3

Lega 17.4

Forza Italia 14.1

Brothers of Italy 4.0

Free and Equal 3.3

+Europa 2.3

[jaichind]

For anyone who knows: do PaP and/or CasaPound have a chance of making it into Parliament?

No.

What is the PR threshold for seats

[Oryxslayer]

Very early senatorial results 269/61401 precincts, heavily biased towards Friuli, Liguria, Lombardy, Tuscany, Venice, and especially Piedmont, aka the North:

41.66% Right:
-25.79% Lega
-12.01% Forza

25.82% M5S

25.05% Left
-21.10% PD

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

One bright spot could be that this may be the end of Silvio, if he had really managed to fall so far below the League.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Senate 439 precincts reporting:
Right - 39.32% (LN 22, FI 12)
M5S -  30.43%
Left - 22.92% ( PD 19)

[Leftbehind]

Other left: why you so weak?

The old Refoundation vote is literally dead and the people who have led subsequent splinters have tended to be charmless apparatchiks well past their political sell by date and so have not done well at bringing votes from the PD with them (or getting them back from the Five Star Clown Car for that matter).

I appreciate the response, but it was just a moan. I'm depressingly aware of the state of the Italian left by now.

[jaichind]

One bright spot could be that this may be the end of Silvio, if he had really managed to fall so far below the League.

Too bad.  I was looking forward to Bunga Bunga II.

[jaichind]

YouTrend:
According to the average projections, 5 Star Movement and the League together reach about 49% of vote share. Plus the other far right party (Brothers of Italy – FDI) they reach well ver 50%

[Andrea]

Rai and Mediaset first projections  (low coverage, 5-7%)

PD a bit better but still below 20% (Mediaset's projection have them above it)

Lega a bit worse but still above FI

[DavidB.]

Don't know how to word the way I feel about this. Cautiously optimistic but expecting to be disappointed?

[Classic Conservative]

So like how do we find the results because I have no clue on how to navigate the election website.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Well these results are going to suck.

[jaichind]

So like how do we find the results because I have no clue on how to navigate the election website.

Same here.  I can only get to turnout figures but not real results.

I am referring to http://elezioni.interno.gov.it/camera/votanti/20180304/votantiCI

[Oryxslayer]

We are now over 1% of senatorial precincts counted! The results are still biased towards the north and Piedmont in particular, but we now have significant stuff from places like Abruzzia, Campaignia, and Marche.

727/61401:

Right - 38.23%
-21% League
-13% Forza

M5S - 29.69%

Left - 24.29%
-20.5% PD


Also, as has been said many times, M5S and Lega could join a coalition, however they agree on almost nothing besides migrants. More likely if M5S is to govern is M5S+PD Supply/confidence.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Well, this is BAD.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Why doesn't Salvini shave? I remember when fascists used to have some form of style for their facial hair, not gross neckbeards.

[Oryxslayer]

Val D'Aosta is done counting voters. Went from 77.08% in 2013 to 72.40% turnout.

[jaichind]

RAI Projection Senate based on 16% sample

Center-Right   36.0%
Five Star Movement   32.2%
Center-Left   23.4%
Free and Equal   3.5%
Others   4.9%

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I blame Renzi and his stupid referendum. I mean, the rise of the fascists isn't entirely his fault, but his blunder and his resignation definitely accelerated the rise.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wait, so Salvini might actually become the fu**** Prime Minister?

Wasn't Zaia supposedly the choice of Premier for Lega in the event they'd overtake FI?

I don't know, but whoever it is, it's gonna suck.

[jaichind]

Looking at some random results it seems that LN is actually getting 6%-7% of the vote in the South.  This is very impressive.

[DavidB.]

Why doesn't Salvini shave? I remember when fascists used to have some form of style for their facial hair, not gross neckbeards.

I think he's hot

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Why doesn't Salvini shave? I remember when fascists used to have some form of style for their facial hair, not gross neckbeards.

I think he's hot

Fascism isn't sexy.