Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide

[Beezer]

What am I looking at with that map?

[Beezer]

[Beezer]

Basta Euro as well?

[Beezer]

Le's just say the exit polls are not exactly moving in Renzi's favor

[Beezer]

No vote ahead by around 100.000 votes right now with 1,329 of 61,551 precincts counted (I guess).

[Beezer]

No ahead by 150.000 votes now...when do we call it?

[Beezer]

Italians and punctuality...

[Beezer]

Renzi needs a better emoji adviser.

[Beezer]

i think this was the brave and right thing to do.

renzi did "occupy" the title or prime minister to achieve things.

if the people don't want to make italy more competetive and able to survive, it's their own decision.

Wasn't one of Renzi's more recent moves to increase pensions and lower the retirement age? Sounds like the guy was a real reformer...

[Beezer]

It's like Christmas Eve. Where are them polls?

[Beezer]

[Beezer]

M5S, Lega and FdL likely have a majority with these numbers. Is such a coalition possible?

When you look at voter's selfplacement, there is a relatively little overlap betweeen M5S and Lega. I know a single-axis political model does not explain everything in this day and age, but it does suggest that the vast bulk of M5S voters consider themselves leftwing, so a coalition with Lega and FdL will likely be problematic. M5S are also generally more divided across the spectrum than the other parteis, which is another reason why they are weary of any coalition.

Do you happen to have a source for that graph?

[Beezer]

https://medium.com/@jamesdennison_7425/how-might-undecided-italians-vote-tomorrow-bd24c8670b1f

Thanks.

[Beezer]

All of this seems rather dubious from a democratic point of view. "Hey, you didn't specifically campaign on this issue, therefore this potential cabinet minister can't join the government."

Of course this also feeds into the whole populist narrative that the mainstream supports democracy as long as you vote for the right people. And then - to add insult to injury - Mattarella names a former IMF employee as PM?

[Beezer]

All of this seems rather dubious from a democratic point of view. "Hey, you didn't specifically campaign on this issue, therefore this potential cabinet minister can't join the government."

Of course this also feeds into the whole populist narrative that the mainstream supports democracy as long as you vote for the right people. And then - to add insult to injury - Mattarella names a former IMF employee as PM?

Plot twist: Mattarella is a deep cover mole working for the populists to make the establishment look bad.

Moreover I think everybody is well aware of the position on Europe and the euro that both the M5S and Lega hold. It's not like they've never talked about the impact the euro has had on the Italian economy...