Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide

[mvd10]

Is Berlusconi even allowed to hold office?

No. Rumour has it that president of the European Parliament Antonio Tajani (also a former Berlusconi aide) will become PM if Berlusconi wins the elections. Ironically Tajani advocated for European taxes just today, and I don't think that will go over well with LN.

[mvd10]

Have we ever seen this in European history, post 1848?

seeing as the first social democratic government in the world was in Australia in 1904, I'd say yeah.

And let's not forget the late 1990s when all but 2 (or 3?) European countries were governed by the left. Or the 1980s when the right was in power basically everywhere.

[mvd10]

On the chart I'm slightly to the right of NcI

Ranking:
68% NcI
68% +Europa
65% Forza Italia
60% PD

[mvd10]

Were there any polls with crosstabs that show differences between different demographic groups?

[mvd10]

Were there any polls with crosstabs that show differences between different demographic groups?

I found an article on POLITICO that has crosstabs by professional background and others: https://www.politico.eu/article/italy-angry-election-2018-anti-establishment/

Also, this study about how the Italian electorate see Europe and themselves is quite interesting and has some crosstabs: https://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/fileadmin/files/BSt/Publikationen/GrauePublikationen/EZ_eupinions_brief_Italy_27.02.2018.pdf

Thanks! It's telling how PD overperforms with white-collar workers and even entrepeneurs. In recent years European social democratic parties have become much more "white-collar" but this is a huge gap (and as far as I know left-wing parties never made huge inroads with entrepeneurs). Left-right paradigm turned upside down or is it more complex?

[mvd10]

This reminds me of all the dubious Belgian polls during the last day of the first round of the French presidential election. Wasn't it something like Fillon 27% Le Pen 24% lol?