Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide

[RodPresident]

Alfano could be more trustful for PD establishment than members of own party. If a majority of PD caucus want, government can survive until 2018. Government could be ended if Renzi, after winning leadership, gets control of caucus and a poll advantadge that makes safe to go for country. Alfano will heir control of Monti coalition and he'll keep them until bitter end.

[RodPresident]

To go into that maneuver, I think that Renzi got PD grassroots to go in a way more legitimate and that he would have strength to impose things to NCD. Government isn't a great coalition since Berlusconi left it and NCD needs to remain to not be politically crushed in early elections. Letta was a guarantor of a great coalition and man who enabled government to survive Berlusconi threats. Now, he's more a liability than an asset. A failure in EP elections is in question too, because a defeat with Letta as PM would be bad to Renzi too. He wants to do something in "honeymoon" to go in a strong position to prevent a FI or M5S victory.

[RodPresident]

With Renzi government so solid, should be time for Napolitano get out of Quirinale? Or he'll remain, as a Presidential Election would be a mess?

[RodPresident]

I'd like to see Centre-Right vs. M5S in a run-off.

[RodPresident]

For Grillo, joining Greens would be more more coherent and not so harming than joining leftists or liberals.

[RodPresident]

Any further on what M5S is hoping to achieve from this election. On the last page there was an article posted saying they were considering a pact with Lega Nord, who are already part of the Right coalition?? If the Right don't manage a majority, what then? Possibility enough right-leaning M5S members defect, or effectively provide them confidence?

By now, who's most likely PM? Would Berlusconi's people accept to keep Gentiloni to not have Renzi again? And would a M5S minority work?