AK-Harper(R): Begich close with Sullivan, Treadwell, stomps Miller

[Miles]

Report.

Begich- 43%
Sullivan- 41%

Begich- 43%
Treadwell- 42%

Begich- 55%
Miller- 28%

Begich's approval is iffy 39/42. Obama is at 35/57 though.

Sullivan and Treadwell are each about evenly split between favorable/unfavorable/no opinion. Miller's favorables are 15/66.

[publicunofficial]

A Harper Poll paid for by Karl Rove isn't likely to be the most unbiased thing, but it looks promising for Begich so far.

[ElectionsGuy]

Looks like yet another exciting Senate Race in Alaska next year! The only goofy things in here are the electorate being 88% white and a massive under sample of young people (that's normal for polling though). Otherwise looks good.

[PolitiJunkie]

Looks like yet another probably unsurprising Senate Race in Alaska next year! The only goofy things in here is that the poll is by Harper and is paid for by Karl Rove.

Fixed it for you.

[morgieb]

LOL Miller.

I'd do some nasty things to see him get nominated.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Imagine if Miller had won in 2010. With numbers like that he would be easily shoving Kirk down a peg or two as the most vulnerable GOP Senator in 2016.

[Vosem]

But, getting to reality for a second, it's really not good news for Begich to be stuck in the low 40s in a Republican state against challengers who are worse-known than he is. Begich seems to have three realistic paths to victory: Miller being nominated, the national environment getting better for Democrats, or Sullivan/Treadwell collapsing. All are possible, to be fair, but none seem particularly likely.

[Mehmentum]

But, getting to reality for a second, it's really not good news for Begich to be stuck in the low 40s in a Republican state against challengers who are worse-known than he is. Begich seems to have three realistic paths to victory: Miller being nominated, the national environment getting better for Democrats, or Sullivan/Treadwell collapsing. All are possible, to be fair, but none seem particularly likely.

But, this poll is paid for by Karl Rove, so I'd take what it say with a grain of salt.

[ElectionsGuy]

But, getting to reality for a second, it's really not good news for Begich to be stuck in the low 40s in a Republican state against challengers who are worse-known than he is. Begich seems to have three realistic paths to victory: Miller being nominated, the national environment getting better for Democrats, or Sullivan/Treadwell collapsing. All are possible, to be fair, but none seem particularly likely.

But, this poll is paid for by Karl Rove, so I'd take what it say with a grain of salt.

Because something is paid for by Karl Rove automatically means its a crap poll? PPP had Begich +4 a few months/weeks ago, not too different.

[CnstutnlCnsrvatv]

joe miller will be the nominee and the next senator from the great state of alaska! and hopefully in 2016 palin will primary the hippie communist gay liberal markowsky, and will ride ted'cruz's presidential lnadslide to victory

[Niemeyerite]

joe miller will be the nominee and the next senator from the great state of alaska! and hopefully in 2016 palin will primary the hippie communist gay liberal markowsky, and will ride ted'cruz's presidential lnadslide to victory

Agreed.

[Miles]

joe miller will be the nominee and the next senator from the great state of alaska! and hopefully in 2016 palin will primary the hippie communist gay liberal markowsky, and will ride ted'cruz's presidential lnadslide to victory

Sigh, if only most if the Republican primary voters in Alaska next year thought like CnstutnlCnsrvatv.

[Mehmentum]

But, getting to reality for a second, it's really not good news for Begich to be stuck in the low 40s in a Republican state against challengers who are worse-known than he is. Begich seems to have three realistic paths to victory: Miller being nominated, the national environment getting better for Democrats, or Sullivan/Treadwell collapsing. All are possible, to be fair, but none seem particularly likely.

But, this poll is paid for by Karl Rove, so I'd take what it say with a grain of salt.

Because something is paid for by Karl Rove automatically means its a crap poll? PPP had Begich +4 a few months/weeks ago, not too different.

Eh, I don't trust PPP that much either.  Regardless, if a poll is paid for by someone with obvious political investment in a particular result, it absolutely should be taken with a grain of salt.

[LeBron]

lol at Miller's approval rating. I just hope him or Sarah Palin gets the nomination to guarantee this seat being safe for the Democrats. A Treadwell primary win would prevent the Democrats from focusing in on Montana, Arkansas, West Virginia, Kentucky, or Georgia more, so with that being said, let's go Miller! xD

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Any poll of Alaska should be questioned for rather obvious reasons mind you.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Walsh and Begich races will be bellweathers and we can switch seats winning in MnT and losing in AK.