University of Arkansas: Hillary +2 on Generic R

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Unfortunately for Hillary Clinton, I don't think Generic Republican Candidate will be nominated.

[barfbag]

Unfortunately for Hillary Clinton, I don't think Generic Republican Candidate will be nominated.

Fortunately, you mean. Generic Republican would have defeated Obama in 2012, for example.

No unfortunately because Generic Republican Candidate won't be running. Obama was also fortunate if you're trying to make a pun.

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Romney won Arkansas in 2012 by about the same margin Obama won Maryland. Just for perspective.

Yeah, but Arkansas is very fond of the Clintons, most voters there are registered Democrats, and President Obama is very deeply hated up there.

This.

Its not an apples-to-apples comparison. Obama's huge losing margins in states like AR and WV are unique to him. Any R would get crushed in MD.

They aren't unique to him, but Hillary Clinton would have and certainly will do better if she runs again. I put WV and AR in the likely Republican column of light red states along with GA, SC, LA, and AZ. She could put most of these into play with the exception of maybe SC.