Post your detailed 2013 General Election Predictions here

[Badger]

I've crunched the numbers and, after agonizing over the call, am ready to go out on a limb here:



Christie wins.

[Eraserhead]

I really hope something at least kind of interesting happens tonight.

[Hifly]

Virginia Senate
22 Democrats
18 Republicans

Where are these two Democratic gains coming from may I ask?

Well, you could theoretically have 21D/19R if Obenshain wins but McAuliffe rises to FDR/JFK approval levels by the special election and they pick up his 60% Romney seat while holding Northam's...

EDIT: Better idea- the 2 Obama/Kaine seat Republicans in the state senate announce tomorrow night that they are switching parties after a complete Democratic sweep of both their districts.

ie this cannot happen.

[Oakvale]

NJ: Christie wins by some boringly large margin.

VA: I think Terry McAuliffe likely wins by a couple of points but Governor Cooch remains frighteningly possible given that no-one's going to show up (probably).

NYC: lol

[Senator Cris]

VA - Governor

Terry McAuliffe (D) 48,5%
Ken Cuccinelli (R) 42,3%
Robert Sarvis (L)/Others 9,2%

NJ - Governor

Chris Christie (R) 63,9%
Barbara Buono (D) 34%
Others 2,1%

NYC - Mayor

Bill DeBlasio (D) 71,9%
Joe Lhota (R) 24,7%
Others 3,4%

[TX Conservative Dem]

VA Governor-McAuliffe by 5 points.
Houston Mayor-Parker wins without a runoff
Detroit Mayor-Duggan wins 55-45 over Napoleon
Atlanta Mayor-Reed wins reelection, positioning himself for the governorship in 2018

[Miles]

VA

Gov
T-Mac- 52%
Cuccinelli- 43%
Sarvis- 5%

LG
Northam- 59%
Jackson- 38%

AG
Herring- 51.5%
Obenshain- 48.5%

NJ

Christie- 63%
Buono- 36%

NYC

de Blasio- 69%
Lhota- 28%

[nolesfan2011]

VA GOV: McAuliffe (D) 49% Cuccinelli (R) 41% Sarvis (L) 10%
VA LT Gov: Ralph Northam (D) 58% EW Jackson (R) 42%
VA AG: Mark Herring (D) 52% Mark Obenshain 48%

NJ GOV: Christie 59% Buono 39% Others 2% Christie will win every county in the state.

NYC Mayor: Deblasio 69% Lhota 28% Others 3%

AL-01 GOP Runoff: Young 52% Byrne 48%

[Beet]

Terry 50
Sarvis 4
Kook 46

[njwes]

NJ:

Christie 60%
Buono 38%
Others 2%

Christie wins all counties except Camden, Essex, and Hudson.

VA:

McAuliffe 51%
Cooch:45%
Sarvis: 4%

[njwes]

Christie will win every county in the state.

Don't see it happening but that would be a dream I think he'd have to be in the 65+% region for that to happen, and I'm not totally convinced he'll break 60

[ShadowRocket]

NJ:

Christie- 61%
Buono- 37%

NYC:

de Blasio- 68%
Lhota- 29%

VA:

McAuliffe- 49%
Cuccinelli- 45%
Sarvis- 6%

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

NJ:
Christie: 60%
Buono: 39%

VA:
McAuliffe: 50%
Cuccinelli: 43%
Sarvis: 6%

NYC:
DeBlasio: 69%
Lhota: 29%

[Grumpier Than Thou]

VA: McAuliffe - 47% Cuccinelli - 45% Sarvis - 7% Others - 1%

I will now accept my accolades.

[Mopsus]

New Jersey Governor:

Chris Christie (R) - 62%
Barbara Buono (D) - 36%

Virginia Governor:

Terry McAuliffe (D) - 49%
Ken Cuccinelli (R) - 44%
Robert Sarvis (L) - 6%

I predict that Democrats will win the other two statewide races in Virginia as well, though I don't have any numbers.

Actual results below (difference from my prediction shown in parentheses):

RESULTS:

New Jersey Governor:

Chris Christie (R) - 60% (-2%)
Barbara Buono (D) - 38% (+2%)

Virginia Governor:

Terry McAuliffe (D) - 48% (-1%)
Ken Cucinelli (R) - 45 (+1%)
Rob Sarvis (L) - 7% (+1%)

It looks as if my prediction that the Democrats would win the other two statewide races in Virginia will prove to be accurate as well, but we still have to wait for official confirmation...

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

NJ:
Christie: 60%
Buono: 39%

VA:
McAuliffe: 50%
Cuccinelli: 43%
Sarvis: 6%

NYC:
DeBlasio: 69%
Lhota: 29%

Actual results:

NJ:
Christie: 60% (---)
Buono: 38% (-1%)

VA:
McAuliffe: 48% (+2%)
Cuccinelli: 43% (-2%)
Sarvis: 6% (---)

NYC:
DeBlasio: 73% (-4%)
Lhota: 29% (+5%)

[ElectionsGuy]

Sticking to the main statewide races.

New Jersey:

Governor: 61% Christie, 38% Buono
State Senate: Democrats maintain control
State House: Democrats maintain control

Virginia:

Governor: 51% McAuliffe, 43% Cuccinelli, 6% Sarvis
Lt. Governor: 59% Northam, 40% Jackson
Attorney General: 51% Herring, 49% Obershain
State House: Republicans maintain control
State Senate: Democrats gain control due to victory in Lt. Governor race (and possibly a gain or two of open seats)

NYC:

Mayor: 70% de Blasio, 27% Lhota

AL-1 Republican Primary Runoff:

53% Young, 47% Byrne

New Jersey:

Governor: 60% Christie (-1%), 38% Buono (0)
State Senate: Democrats Maintain Control (Correct)
State House: Democrats Maintain Control (Correct)

Virginia:

Governor: 48% McAuliffe (-3%), 45% Cuccinelli (+2%), 7% Sarvis (+1%)
Lt. Governor: 55% Northam (-4%), 45% Jackson (+5%)
Attorney General: 50% Herring (-1%), 50% Obershain (+1%)
State House: Republicans Maintain Control (Correct)
State Senate: Democrats gain control due to victory in Lt. Governor Race (Correct)

NYC:

Mayor: 73% de Blasio (+3%), 24% Lhota (-3%)

AL-1 Republican Primary Runoff:

53% Byrne (+6%), 47% Young (-6%)