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  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 40933 times)
sg0508
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« Reply #50 on: November 05, 2013, 07:44:29 pm »

Two very interesting notes from the VA Exit Polls:

1) Democrats now outweigh Republicans in VA? Hmmmmm.  Wow if true even though the democrats have been on a roll in the past few cycles (outside of 2010).

2) Those with post-graduate degrees favored the democrats bigtime.  Wow.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #51 on: November 05, 2013, 07:45:02 pm »

Fairfax coming in now; T-Mac running about at Obama 2012 margins.
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Badger
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« Reply #52 on: November 05, 2013, 07:45:25 pm »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...

Obenshain better do substantially better than Cooch in the NOVA counties yet to report or he's toast.

Yeah, though to be fair that's exactly where you'd expect him to do better than Cooch. So we'll see...

Oh I agree totally. But my point is he should also be doing better than a single point over Cooch even downstate, so......

Obenshain is doing 5-6 points better than Cooch according to the State Board of Elections' numbers, which are running ahead of the AP tally.

Thanks Cynic. That's brighter news for Obenshain, but probably still a bit short.
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sg0508
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« Reply #53 on: November 05, 2013, 07:46:27 pm »

With 9% in...

McAuliffe (D): 39.5%
Cuccinelli (R): 52.0%
Sarvis (L): 8.4%

Herring (D): 42.1%
Obershain (R): 57.9%

Northam (D): 48.5%
Jackson (R): 51.5%

Some rural republican parts are in. Seeing as these are rural republican parts, these are not good for republicans!
Northern VA always reports later.  The GOP would need to be near 60% in the rurals areas to win. Not even a contest.
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Vosem
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« Reply #54 on: November 05, 2013, 07:47:05 pm »

So, extrapolating from what we have now, probably Jackson loses by double-digits, Cuccinelli high single-digits, and Obenshain low single-digits? Shame.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #55 on: November 05, 2013, 07:48:52 pm »

I don't think Terry is going to win by high single-digits. He's not doing much better (in some cases worse actually) than 2012 Obama.
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #56 on: November 05, 2013, 07:54:15 pm »

So, extrapolating from what we have now, probably Jackson loses by double-digits, Cuccinelli high single-digits, and Obenshain low single-digits? Shame.
The Christieslide in NJ will make up for a fairly narrow loss in a toss up state.
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« Reply #57 on: November 05, 2013, 07:54:25 pm »

Virginia House (leading so far):

GOP: 48
DEM: 18

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #58 on: November 05, 2013, 07:54:40 pm »

Here are the VA House results: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2013/by_state/VA_House_of_Delegates_1105.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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Lurker
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« Reply #59 on: November 05, 2013, 07:56:31 pm »

Is McAuliffe doing better or worse than Obama's 2012 numbers? I read somebody saying he was slightly underperforming Obama, is this correct?

If so, this election could be really close after all ("Shy Cuccinelli voters"?).
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Miles
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« Reply #60 on: November 05, 2013, 07:58:03 pm »

Cooch is sweeping Appalachia Sad
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #61 on: November 05, 2013, 07:58:16 pm »

Is McAuliffe doing better or worse than Obama's 2012 numbers? I read somebody saying he was slightly underperforming Obama, is this correct?

If so, this election could be really close after all ("Shy Cuccinelli voters"?).

He's doing about the same so far, maybe slightly (1% or so) worse. But very little of Northern Virginia is in yet. He'll presumably outperform Obama 2012 there.
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sg0508
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« Reply #62 on: November 05, 2013, 07:59:27 pm »

It's very unusual though for the presidency to remain in democratic hands and then the following year for the democrats to sweep VA clean.  

Is the Old Dominion becoming the next of a line of states (i.e. CO, OR, MN, etc) where the GOP is becoming unelectable with an empty cabinet?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #63 on: November 05, 2013, 08:01:02 pm »

Chris Christie projected winner.
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sg0508
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« Reply #64 on: November 05, 2013, 08:02:13 pm »

And the polls have closed in NJ.  Christie projected based upon exit polls.  What was Kean's percentage he's looking to exceed?
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #65 on: November 05, 2013, 08:02:23 pm »

Have they even counted the votes yet? Or was this a joke? Tongue
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #66 on: November 05, 2013, 08:02:34 pm »


How did you find out?

Excellent news anyways. Cheesy
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #67 on: November 05, 2013, 08:02:52 pm »

Have they even counted the votes yet? Or was this a joke? Tongue

Two words: Exit polls.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #68 on: November 05, 2013, 08:03:18 pm »


Watching MSNBC live.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #69 on: November 05, 2013, 08:03:41 pm »

Christie right at 60% in the exit poll.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #70 on: November 05, 2013, 08:05:04 pm »

Christie improved quite a bit with blacks (winning 19%) but his numbers with Hispanics aren't that much better than generic Republican (31%).
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shua
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« Reply #71 on: November 05, 2013, 08:05:58 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2013, 08:08:07 pm by shua »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.

Let's see how Christie does. Cuccinelli was always going to go over like a lead ballon with blacks.

21% of blacks, 45% of Hispanics.  (from CNN exits)
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Miles
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« Reply #72 on: November 05, 2013, 08:06:58 pm »

Almost all of Buchanan Couty is in and T-Mac is losing 66-32, worse than Obama Tongue
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #73 on: November 05, 2013, 08:07:05 pm »

Christieslide!
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #74 on: November 05, 2013, 08:07:53 pm »

Have they even counted the votes yet? Or was this a joke? Tongue

Two words: Exit polls.
[/quote]

Do you know when the votes will start rolling in?
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