Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 15, 2019, 12:46:36 am
News: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginia)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 27 Print
Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 40856 times)
User157088589849
BlondeArtisit
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 493


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: November 05, 2013, 07:08:34 pm »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,931
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: November 05, 2013, 07:11:38 pm »

Feeling pretty good about my McAuliffe +5% prediction.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: November 05, 2013, 07:13:15 pm »

Here's a good chart of county result benchmarks, based on the last three elections and a hypothetical T-Mac 7.5% win: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AvOrrxBeaarVdFQ1NGJLa1UyMVpRYjZTTVZ1aVE2V0E&toomany=true#gid=0
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: November 05, 2013, 07:13:56 pm »

FIRST VOTES ARE BEING COUNTED OMG
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,931
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2013, 07:14:56 pm »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.

Let's see how Christie does. Cuccinelli was always going to go over like a lead ballon with blacks.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: November 05, 2013, 07:16:16 pm »

lol, Obamacare (48-50) is more popular in Virginia than Obama himself (46-53)
Logged
memphis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,990


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: November 05, 2013, 07:17:07 pm »

Only 1% of voters lack a high school diploma, but 63% have at least a Bachelor's? Pants on fire!
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,378
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: November 05, 2013, 07:19:18 pm »

Northam is leading Jackson with the same vote that has Cuccinelli up by a little bit, lol!
Logged
njwes
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 379
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: November 05, 2013, 07:19:55 pm »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.

Nah that's pretty par for the course for the last 4 decades, give or take 5%
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: November 05, 2013, 07:20:30 pm »

New wave of exit poll numbers coming in, Obama's approval is now 48-52 in the updated exits.

Looks like a lot of Democratic late voters. Hallelujah!
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,713
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: November 05, 2013, 07:21:56 pm »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.

Not with Cooch.
Logged
memphis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,990


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: November 05, 2013, 07:25:09 pm »

So, it looks like Big Mac will win fairly comfortably and without much suspense. Anybody care to predict individual counties/ind cities to make it more interesting? Can he carry Virginia Beach? Anything west of I-81?
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,378
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: November 05, 2013, 07:26:32 pm »

Here's a good chart of county result benchmarks, based on the last three elections and a hypothetical T-Mac 7.5% win: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AvOrrxBeaarVdFQ1NGJLa1UyMVpRYjZTTVZ1aVE2V0E&toomany=true#gid=0

Not much use considering it doesn't take 3rd party vote for the numerical benchmarks.
Logged
User157088589849
BlondeArtisit
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 493


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: November 05, 2013, 07:29:06 pm »

Has any republican ever got lower than 5% of the vote from the african community in a state wide election?
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,597
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: November 05, 2013, 07:30:05 pm »

Has any republican ever got lower than 5% of the vote from the african community in a state wide election?

Maybe McCain or Gilmore in 2008.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: November 05, 2013, 07:32:07 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2013, 07:33:40 pm by Lіef »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,931
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: November 05, 2013, 07:32:18 pm »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.

Nah that's pretty par for the course for the last 4 decades, give or take 5%

That's not quite true. Republicans never really did this poorly with blacks pre-Obama. When Bill Clinton beat Bob Dole in a blowout in '96, he only won the black vote 84%-12% for example.
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,378
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: November 05, 2013, 07:35:43 pm »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...

Obenshain better do substantially better than Cooch in the NOVA counties yet to report or he's toast.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: November 05, 2013, 07:36:43 pm »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...

Obenshain better do substantially better than Cooch in the NOVA counties yet to report or he's toast.

Yeah, though to be fair that's exactly where you'd expect him to do better than Cooch. So we'll see...
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,241
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: November 05, 2013, 07:37:41 pm »

Who else thinks the dem will get 60+ on Jackson?
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,378
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: November 05, 2013, 07:38:55 pm »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...

Obenshain better do substantially better than Cooch in the NOVA counties yet to report or he's toast.

Yeah, though to be fair that's exactly where you'd expect him to do better than Cooch. So we'll see...

Oh I agree totally. But my point is he should also be doing better than a single point over Cooch even downstate, so......
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,711
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: November 05, 2013, 07:40:29 pm »

Who else thinks the dem will get 60+ on Jackson?

I think its actually quite likely.
Logged
cinyc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,855


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: November 05, 2013, 07:42:00 pm »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...

Obenshain better do substantially better than Cooch in the NOVA counties yet to report or he's toast.

Yeah, though to be fair that's exactly where you'd expect him to do better than Cooch. So we'll see...

Oh I agree totally. But my point is he should also be doing better than a single point over Cooch even downstate, so......

Obenshain is doing 5-6 points better than Cooch according to the State Board of Elections' numbers, which are running ahead of the AP tally.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: November 05, 2013, 07:42:31 pm »

First big Dem victory of the night. Dems capture the St. Petersburg mayor's office from the GOP in Florida; good warm up act for the House special.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,711
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: November 05, 2013, 07:42:45 pm »

With 9% in...

McAuliffe (D): 39.5%
Cuccinelli (R): 52.0%
Sarvis (L): 8.4%

Herring (D): 42.1%
Obershain (R): 57.9%

Northam (D): 48.5%
Jackson (R): 51.5%

Some rural republican parts are in. Seeing as these are rural republican parts, these are not good for republicans!
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 27 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC