The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:03:25 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 27
Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 46977 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #75 on: November 05, 2013, 08:08:36 PM »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.

Let's see how Christie does. Cuccinelli was always going to go over like a lead ballon with blacks.

21% of blacks, 45% of Hispanics.

That's amazing! Can't wait to see the white margin


Do you know when the votes will start rolling in?
[/quote]

Soon.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #76 on: November 05, 2013, 08:09:18 PM »

McAuliffe getting 70% in Arlington. Cuccinelli dominating Southwestern Virginia, and Cuccinelli narrowly leading Virginia Beach.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #77 on: November 05, 2013, 08:09:30 PM »

NBC declares Northam the winner in Virginia.
Logged
sg0508
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #78 on: November 05, 2013, 08:10:07 PM »

Again, what was Kean's percentage he's trying to break? My guess a month ago was Christie at 59%.
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #79 on: November 05, 2013, 08:11:05 PM »

Can't wait to see how my hometown voted.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #80 on: November 05, 2013, 08:11:26 PM »

Think Virginia might turn out closer than expected...
Logged
Lurker
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 765
Norway
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #81 on: November 05, 2013, 08:12:17 PM »

Is McAuliffe doing better or worse than Obama's 2012 numbers? I read somebody saying he was slightly underperforming Obama, is this correct?

If so, this election could be really close after all ("Shy Cuccinelli voters"?).

He's doing about the same so far, maybe slightly (1% or so) worse. But very little of Northern Virginia is in yet. He'll presumably outperform Obama 2012 there.

Thanks.

Looks like this will be much closer than most of the polls predicted. I thought that the polls might have been slightly off here; presumably the chance of that happening is higher in a low turnout race  like this than, say, a presidential election.

Sad to see that Virginia might actually elect Cuccinelli governor.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #82 on: November 05, 2013, 08:12:46 PM »

Think Virginia might turn out closer than expected...

Don't get pessimistic, Hampton Roads and Northern Virginia has a LOT to come in yet.
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #83 on: November 05, 2013, 08:13:29 PM »

Again, what was Kean's percentage he's trying to break? My guess a month ago was Christie at 59%.

71%.
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,618
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #84 on: November 05, 2013, 08:15:06 PM »

Hang on, but isn't Obenshain supposed to overperform Cuccinelli more so in NoVa than Appalachia? If he's going 7 ahead now, it seems possible that could rise to 8-9, which should definitely be enough to overcome Herring.

Does seem interesting that Cuccinelli-McAuliffe is going to likely be at Obama levels (worse in Appalachia, better in NoVa, should even out). Obama only won Virginia by 4%; that's a good deal less than the 7-8 margin predicted for McAuliffe. Very premature to be discussing this, but any thoughts on why this is the case? Issues with the polls themselves, or was there movement in the final days? If the latter, why?

NBC declares Northam the winner in Virginia.

#upset

Again, what was Kean's percentage he's trying to break? My guess a month ago was Christie at 59%.

Kean was reelected 70-29 in 1985, but I don't think that was ever realistic in the modern day New Jersey. For either party.
Logged
Beezer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,902


Political Matrix
E: 1.61, S: -2.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #85 on: November 05, 2013, 08:16:28 PM »

47% McAuliffe
45% Cuccinelli

CNN Exit Poll
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #86 on: November 05, 2013, 08:16:43 PM »

NBC now classifying Virginia as "too close to call." Not good.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #87 on: November 05, 2013, 08:17:31 PM »

47% McAuliffe
45% Cuccinelli

CNN Exit Poll

NBC now classifying Virginia as "too close to call." Not good.

Wow, looks like the last minute boost for Cuccinelli could actually be true.
Logged
sg0508
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #88 on: November 05, 2013, 08:19:38 PM »

Relax.  Six point win for McAuliffe.
Logged
Lurker
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 765
Norway
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #89 on: November 05, 2013, 08:21:01 PM »

There will be less than 1% point separating McAuliffe and Cuccinelli, I think. This looks damn close.
Logged
User157088589849
BlondeArtisit
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 493


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #90 on: November 05, 2013, 08:21:47 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2013, 08:23:51 PM by BlondeArtisit »

Anyone noticing that McAuliffe is doing better in smaller population counties and doing worse in the big counties???

Looks like a Clinton map, focused on small pockets rather than an army of urbanized vote carpet bombers sweeping the election away.

Numbers are not great from Loudoun and Prince William. These usually are the ones to stare at. Seem slightly down on the dems.
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #91 on: November 05, 2013, 08:22:23 PM »

Sarvis appears to be holding up as well.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #92 on: November 05, 2013, 08:23:10 PM »

AG race has tightened to 54.6% - 45.4% with only 33% in. Not good for the republicans.
Logged
sg0508
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #93 on: November 05, 2013, 08:23:30 PM »

Think about it this way.  When was the last time that a candidate was NEVER ahead in any poll the month prior to election day and somehow won?
Logged
Beezer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,902


Political Matrix
E: 1.61, S: -2.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #94 on: November 05, 2013, 08:23:58 PM »

Dean Young up 11-7 in AL-1.
Logged
User157088589849
BlondeArtisit
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 493


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #95 on: November 05, 2013, 08:24:34 PM »

Think about it this way.  When was the last time that a candidate was NEVER ahead in any poll the month prior to election day and somehow won?

Al Gore 2000 and he did win. Best political comeback ever!!! New Mexico, Oregon, Iowa and Florida all wafer thin margins but good enough!
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #96 on: November 05, 2013, 08:24:59 PM »

Loudon and Prince William are bellweathers. T-Mac leads by about 1% in both so far.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #97 on: November 05, 2013, 08:25:47 PM »

McAwful indeed.
Logged
H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,406
Korea, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -1.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #98 on: November 05, 2013, 08:26:05 PM »

The results right now in Virginia are terrible so far...
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #99 on: November 05, 2013, 08:26:57 PM »

Loudon and Prince William are bellweathers. T-Mac leads by about 1% in both so far.

There are some very Republican areas in those counties and we have no idea where the vote is coming in from.

I do think Sarvis is going to save T-Mac.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 27  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 12 queries.