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  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginia)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 40823 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #75 on: November 05, 2013, 08:08:36 pm »

95-5 black voters. That is a shocking stat for the republican party to take in.

Let's see how Christie does. Cuccinelli was always going to go over like a lead ballon with blacks.

21% of blacks, 45% of Hispanics.

That's amazing! Can't wait to see the white margin


Do you know when the votes will start rolling in?
[/quote]

Soon.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #76 on: November 05, 2013, 08:09:18 pm »

McAuliffe getting 70% in Arlington. Cuccinelli dominating Southwestern Virginia, and Cuccinelli narrowly leading Virginia Beach.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #77 on: November 05, 2013, 08:09:30 pm »

NBC declares Northam the winner in Virginia.
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sg0508
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« Reply #78 on: November 05, 2013, 08:10:07 pm »

Again, what was Kean's percentage he's trying to break? My guess a month ago was Christie at 59%.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #79 on: November 05, 2013, 08:11:05 pm »

Can't wait to see how my hometown voted.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #80 on: November 05, 2013, 08:11:26 pm »

Think Virginia might turn out closer than expected...
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Lurker
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« Reply #81 on: November 05, 2013, 08:12:17 pm »

Is McAuliffe doing better or worse than Obama's 2012 numbers? I read somebody saying he was slightly underperforming Obama, is this correct?

If so, this election could be really close after all ("Shy Cuccinelli voters"?).

He's doing about the same so far, maybe slightly (1% or so) worse. But very little of Northern Virginia is in yet. He'll presumably outperform Obama 2012 there.

Thanks.

Looks like this will be much closer than most of the polls predicted. I thought that the polls might have been slightly off here; presumably the chance of that happening is higher in a low turnout race  like this than, say, a presidential election.

Sad to see that Virginia might actually elect Cuccinelli governor.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #82 on: November 05, 2013, 08:12:46 pm »

Think Virginia might turn out closer than expected...

Don't get pessimistic, Hampton Roads and Northern Virginia has a LOT to come in yet.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #83 on: November 05, 2013, 08:13:29 pm »

Again, what was Kean's percentage he's trying to break? My guess a month ago was Christie at 59%.

71%.
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Vosem
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« Reply #84 on: November 05, 2013, 08:15:06 pm »

Hang on, but isn't Obenshain supposed to overperform Cuccinelli more so in NoVa than Appalachia? If he's going 7 ahead now, it seems possible that could rise to 8-9, which should definitely be enough to overcome Herring.

Does seem interesting that Cuccinelli-McAuliffe is going to likely be at Obama levels (worse in Appalachia, better in NoVa, should even out). Obama only won Virginia by 4%; that's a good deal less than the 7-8 margin predicted for McAuliffe. Very premature to be discussing this, but any thoughts on why this is the case? Issues with the polls themselves, or was there movement in the final days? If the latter, why?

NBC declares Northam the winner in Virginia.

#upset

Again, what was Kean's percentage he's trying to break? My guess a month ago was Christie at 59%.

Kean was reelected 70-29 in 1985, but I don't think that was ever realistic in the modern day New Jersey. For either party.
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Beezer
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« Reply #85 on: November 05, 2013, 08:16:28 pm »

47% McAuliffe
45% Cuccinelli

CNN Exit Poll
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #86 on: November 05, 2013, 08:16:43 pm »

NBC now classifying Virginia as "too close to call." Not good.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #87 on: November 05, 2013, 08:17:31 pm »

47% McAuliffe
45% Cuccinelli

CNN Exit Poll

NBC now classifying Virginia as "too close to call." Not good.

Wow, looks like the last minute boost for Cuccinelli could actually be true.
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sg0508
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« Reply #88 on: November 05, 2013, 08:19:38 pm »

Relax.  Six point win for McAuliffe.
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« Reply #89 on: November 05, 2013, 08:21:01 pm »

There will be less than 1% point separating McAuliffe and Cuccinelli, I think. This looks damn close.
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User157088589849
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« Reply #90 on: November 05, 2013, 08:21:47 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2013, 08:23:51 pm by BlondeArtisit »

Anyone noticing that McAuliffe is doing better in smaller population counties and doing worse in the big counties???

Looks like a Clinton map, focused on small pockets rather than an army of urbanized vote carpet bombers sweeping the election away.

Numbers are not great from Loudoun and Prince William. These usually are the ones to stare at. Seem slightly down on the dems.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #91 on: November 05, 2013, 08:22:23 pm »

Sarvis appears to be holding up as well.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #92 on: November 05, 2013, 08:23:10 pm »

AG race has tightened to 54.6% - 45.4% with only 33% in. Not good for the republicans.
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sg0508
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« Reply #93 on: November 05, 2013, 08:23:30 pm »

Think about it this way.  When was the last time that a candidate was NEVER ahead in any poll the month prior to election day and somehow won?
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Beezer
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« Reply #94 on: November 05, 2013, 08:23:58 pm »

Dean Young up 11-7 in AL-1.
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User157088589849
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« Reply #95 on: November 05, 2013, 08:24:34 pm »

Think about it this way.  When was the last time that a candidate was NEVER ahead in any poll the month prior to election day and somehow won?

Al Gore 2000 and he did win. Best political comeback ever!!! New Mexico, Oregon, Iowa and Florida all wafer thin margins but good enough!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #96 on: November 05, 2013, 08:24:59 pm »

Loudon and Prince William are bellweathers. T-Mac leads by about 1% in both so far.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #97 on: November 05, 2013, 08:25:47 pm »

McAwful indeed.
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National Progressive
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« Reply #98 on: November 05, 2013, 08:26:05 pm »

The results right now in Virginia are terrible so far...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #99 on: November 05, 2013, 08:26:57 pm »

Loudon and Prince William are bellweathers. T-Mac leads by about 1% in both so far.

There are some very Republican areas in those counties and we have no idea where the vote is coming in from.

I do think Sarvis is going to save T-Mac.
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