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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 39527 times)
Rocky Rockefeller
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« Reply #325 on: November 05, 2013, 10:20:36 pm »

in other news Christie's hit the 60% mark.
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« Reply #326 on: November 05, 2013, 10:20:47 pm »

The AG race is now at less than 1%, but it looks like Obenshain will sneak away with a victory.
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sg0508
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« Reply #327 on: November 05, 2013, 10:20:52 pm »

Neck and neck indeed for the AG office.  My goodness
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jaichind
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« Reply #328 on: November 05, 2013, 10:22:28 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2013, 10:24:42 pm by jaichind »

Well, if polls that showed R behind by 4 or 6 before the election had R and D close to being tied if  Sarvis were not running, then one can assume that R would win given the results tonight.
Technically true, but if that is the lesson Republicans take away from this, they should be prepared to continue to lose voters to Democrats and third party candidates.  

Third parties will always be on the ballot, keeping members are their party from voting for third parties should be among the simplest of tasks for a campaign.  The fact that Cuccinelli let so many voters go to a random Libertarian shows that he as a candidate is fundamentally flawed.

Republicans are free to deny their candidate had any flaws and that it's all Sarvis' fault.  However, they should be prepared to keep losing elections.

You make a very good point.  In fact this result shows the resiliency of the GOP brand.  To have a very flawed candidate after the whole shutdown fiasco and a third party candidate that took a bunch of votes away and still just lose by 1.5% or so is not that bad of a result.  But yes, if the GOP wants to win in Virgina they better come up with good candidates.
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RedSLC
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« Reply #329 on: November 05, 2013, 10:22:33 pm »

I'm guessing the AG race will come down to a recount. Guess who'll be in charge of that? Roll Eyes

Does anyone know the recount laws for Virginia?
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #330 on: November 05, 2013, 10:23:26 pm »

In other news, Mike Duggan is now projected to win the mayoral race in Detroit.  Going from a write-in candidate in the primary to mayor-elect is pretty amazing.  This makes him the first Caucasian to win that race in over 40 years.
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jaichind
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« Reply #331 on: November 05, 2013, 10:24:00 pm »

Westchester County Executive

ASTORINO(R)    54%
BRAMSON(D)     46%

with 24% of the vote counted.  I suspect it will be like this the rest of the night.  Astorino wins reelection.  
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #332 on: November 05, 2013, 10:24:10 pm »

I'm guessing the AG race will come down to a recount. Guess who'll be in charge of that? Roll Eyes

Does anyone know the recount laws for Virginia?

Don't most states generally only proceed to a recount if the margin is less than 0.5%? Usually if it's greater than that a candidate can request a recount but the campaign must pay for it, not the state.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #333 on: November 05, 2013, 10:25:22 pm »

Who has the NYC Mayoral results by borough?
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Rocky Rockefeller
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« Reply #334 on: November 05, 2013, 10:26:14 pm »

In other news, Mike Duggan is now projected to win the mayoral race in Detroit.  Going from a write-in candidate in the primary to mayor-elect is pretty amazing.  This makes him the first Caucasian to win that race in over 40 years.

Congrats Mayor Duggan!

Also I should congratulate Christie and De Blasio while I'm at it!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #335 on: November 05, 2013, 10:26:36 pm »

NYT has it by precinct: http://www.nytimes.com/projects/elections/2013/general/nyc-mayor/map.html
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #336 on: November 05, 2013, 10:26:48 pm »

In the NJ Governor's Race, theirs actually many areas left to count that are mostly from suburban and rural (high Christie numbers) so I do indeed think he will get above 60% at the end of the night.
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Holmes
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« Reply #337 on: November 05, 2013, 10:29:46 pm »

Ugh, Republican attorneys general. Come on Herring...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #338 on: November 05, 2013, 10:30:20 pm »

Virginia result ought to be mildly troubling for both parties, I think. The reasons are obvious enough for the Republicans (yet another winnable race has been pissed away due to the nomination of a fruitcake. This has become a structural problem rather than an occasional embarrassment), but the narrow margin given that and the general bad publicity for the Republicans of late should concern Democrats with regards to next year (even if a certain degree of that can be put down to McAwful being McAwful).
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #339 on: November 05, 2013, 10:31:47 pm »

With 98% in, Obenshain is leading 50.6-49.4. I can say now that I think Obenshain will narrowly squeak it out. Certainly something I was not expecting.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #340 on: November 05, 2013, 10:33:41 pm »

Texans are approving the creation of a state water fund by an overwhelming margin - 74% to 26% with 60% of precincts reporting - despite modest Tea Party opposition.

Harris County's bond proposal to renovate the Astrodome is failing so far with 53% voting against it.

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cinyc
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« Reply #341 on: November 05, 2013, 10:33:56 pm »

Westchester County Executive

ASTORINO(R)    54%
BRAMSON(D)     46%

with 24% of the vote counted.  I suspect it will be like this the rest of the night.  Astorino wins reelection.  


Nassau County Executive
Mangano (R) 61%
Suozzi (D) 39%
with 23% in

Rockland County Executive
Day (R) 49.30%
Fried (D) 48.83%
with 28% in
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shua
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« Reply #342 on: November 05, 2013, 10:34:27 pm »

I'm guessing the AG race will come down to a recount. Guess who'll be in charge of that? Roll Eyes

Does anyone know the recount laws for Virginia?

Don't most states generally only proceed to a recount if the margin is less than 0.5%? Usually if it's greater than that a candidate can request a recount but the campaign must pay for it, not the state.

That's basically right.  In Va there's no automatic recount.  A candidate can request a recount if the margin is 1% or less, once the election is certified (why they have to wait until then to do it, idk).  If it's less than 0.5% the campaign pays for it.
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ag
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« Reply #343 on: November 05, 2013, 10:34:35 pm »

With just 38 precincts left, Obenshain´s lead is back over 1% (22 thousand or so). He wins.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #344 on: November 05, 2013, 10:34:49 pm »

Virginia result ought to be mildly troubling for both parties, I think. The reasons are obvious enough for the Republicans (yet another winnable race has been pissed away due to the nomination of a fruitcake. This has become a structural problem rather than an occasional embarrassment), but the narrow margin given that and the general bad publicity for the Republicans of late should concern Democrats with regards to next year (even if a certain degree of that can be put down to McAwful being McAwful).

That fact that McAuliffe almost blew it against Cuccinelli, even with the government shutdown fresh in people's minds cannot be a good sign for Democrats.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #345 on: November 05, 2013, 10:35:01 pm »

Quote
Dave Wasserman ‏@Redistrict 2m
And in case those precincts don't put Herring (D) over the top, Newport News/Richmond/Prince William/Loudoun very well could.

Dave Wasserman still thinks Herring could pull it out.
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Rocky Rockefeller
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« Reply #346 on: November 05, 2013, 10:35:23 pm »

So what's going on with the Brooklyn DA?
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #347 on: November 05, 2013, 10:35:59 pm »

DeBlasio cracks 70% already with 9% of precincts reporting, leading 72-25. No surprise there.
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Icefire9
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« Reply #348 on: November 05, 2013, 10:36:18 pm »

Virginia result ought to be mildly troubling for both parties, I think. The reasons are obvious enough for the Republicans (yet another winnable race has been pissed away due to the nomination of a fruitcake. This has become a structural problem rather than an occasional embarrassment), but the narrow margin given that and the general bad publicity for the Republicans of late should concern Democrats with regards to next year (even if a certain degree of that can be put down to McAwful being McAwful).

That fact that McAuliffe almost blew it against Cuccinelli, even with the government shutdown fresh in people's minds cannot be a good sign for Democrats.
Well, McAuliffe is a really bad candidate as well. 
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #349 on: November 05, 2013, 10:38:46 pm »

Well, McAuliffe is a really bad candidate as well. 

Yes. Thus only slightly ominous, rather than 'oh sh[inks]t'.
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