Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 25, 2019, 11:15:37 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 27 Print
Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 39695 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,132
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #500 on: November 06, 2013, 09:57:01 am »

What happens if there's a vote tie ?

Is a lot drawn ?
Logged
Fuzzybigfoot
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,211
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #501 on: November 06, 2013, 10:00:14 am »

It looks like Prince Williams County is the last county to have a precinct out! 
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,199
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #502 on: November 06, 2013, 10:01:01 am »

One more in...

Precincts in: 2,540/2,541

Mark Obenshain (R) - 1,099,198 votes
Mark Herring (D) - 1,099, 054 votes

Obenshain +144

Looks like this will come down to the very last precinct.

Well there will still be some absentee and provisional votes that will be added, as someone mentioned upthread, Obama's margin grew by about 1% after election day.
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,268
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #503 on: November 06, 2013, 10:01:32 am »

It looks like Prince Williams County is the last county to have a precinct out! 

Based on where it is on the map it could be a Republican area though Sad
Logged
Fuzzybigfoot
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,211
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #504 on: November 06, 2013, 10:10:55 am »

It looks like Prince Williams County is the last county to have a precinct out! 

Based on where it is on the map it could be a Republican area though Sad

Uh oh!  Link? 
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,700
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #505 on: November 06, 2013, 10:17:01 am »

The last precinct is in mecklenburg county and that precinct voted >60% Republican in 2012. Herring has to win the vote by mail / provisional vote. Either way there will still be a recount.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,668
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #506 on: November 06, 2013, 10:18:53 am »

So absentees and a recount. Dun dun duuuuun.
Logged
rbt48
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,051


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #507 on: November 06, 2013, 10:42:39 am »
« Edited: November 06, 2013, 10:46:52 am by rbt48 »

Huffington Post has these numbers with all precincts in:

Mark Obenshain  1,099,412
Mark Herring  1,099,126

That is a lead of 286 votes.

If there are provisional votes to be counted, they almost always lean D.  If there are absentee ballots, I'd guess they would be a wash.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,700
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #508 on: November 06, 2013, 10:56:13 am »

The Virginia board of elections has it at

1,099,302 Obenshain
1, 098,984 Herring

A margin of 314 votes
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,723
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #509 on: November 06, 2013, 11:11:24 am »

So, what do you expect with absentees? How many voted would Herring/Obenshain get?
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,199
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #510 on: November 06, 2013, 11:15:47 am »

So, what do you expect with absentees? How many voted would Herring/Obenshain get?

In Virginia, historically absentees skew towards metropolitan areas and especially towards NoVA.  They've almost always benefited the Dems as votes are finalized.  Now I don't know if the BoEs have gotten more efficient at processing absentees.  I doubt it.  I wouldn't be surprised if there are still 15,000 votes or more to processed.
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,723
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #511 on: November 06, 2013, 11:19:26 am »

So, bad news for Obenshain?
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,618
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #512 on: November 06, 2013, 11:28:09 am »

The absentees have been counted already, no? It's just provisionals we're waiting for.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,199
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #513 on: November 06, 2013, 11:32:37 am »

The absentees have been counted already, no? It's just provisionals we're waiting for.

Absentees can be received through election day.  Some counties can count everything election night, bigger counties tend to add some absentees later. 
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 62,455
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #514 on: November 06, 2013, 11:46:40 am »

There are still 3 Republicans in the NY City Council. In addition to the two Islanders, Ulrich survived in Queens. So, only one pick-up for the Dems. Still, 48:3 is a decent performance for them Smiley

Though district 48 turned out to be not close at all in the end: D 55.1, R 39.1. You Russians are crazy.
Logged
rbt48
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,051


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #515 on: November 06, 2013, 12:36:42 pm »

Anyone have final Nassau County (NY) results including the County Legislature?
Logged
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,634
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #516 on: November 06, 2013, 01:17:19 pm »

Interesting that VA polling was 4.2% too D in 2013 and 4.1% too D in 2009.  I think this was more a matter of public pollsters failing to account for how skewed odd-year vs. presidential turnout is than anything about McAuliffe, Cuccinelli or Obama. 
Logged
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,634
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #517 on: November 06, 2013, 01:18:52 pm »

Also I'm curious as to whether McAuliffe carried any of the 8 R-held congressional districts?  Based on the map I think only CD-10 would be in doubt.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,618
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #518 on: November 06, 2013, 01:22:44 pm »

Interesting that VA polling was 4.2% too D in 2013 and 4.1% too D in 2009.  I think this was more a matter of public pollsters failing to account for how skewed odd-year vs. presidential turnout is than anything about McAuliffe, Cuccinelli or Obama. 

Yet pollsters got the Lt. Gov and AG races more or less correct. Probably a "shy tory" effect for Kooch.
Logged
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,634
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #519 on: November 06, 2013, 01:27:18 pm »

Interesting that VA polling was 4.2% too D in 2013 and 4.1% too D in 2009.  I think this was more a matter of public pollsters failing to account for how skewed odd-year vs. presidential turnout is than anything about McAuliffe, Cuccinelli or Obama. 

Yet pollsters got the Lt. Gov and AG races more or less correct. Probably a "shy tory" effect for Kooch.

Good point.  Northam still getting his 10 point win and Herring still getting a tie suggests something personal about McAuliffe.  Maybe the Ewww factor was more even than we realized.  This is also the first election where NOVA truly swung everything.  Cuccinelli wins without Fairfax.
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 22,669
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #520 on: November 06, 2013, 01:31:31 pm »

Terry McAuliffe is a joke piece of trash. I'm so going to love his disastrous term as Governor.

Has Pretentious Public Polling put out a statement about how horribly wrong they were?

Someone's butthurt.

It's ok. I anxiously await the snake oil salesman's unpopulararity bringing down the VA Dems.

By the way, you really don't have to comb through my posts and throw jabs.

You'll notice from my posting history I was actively following this thread. Don't flatter yourself.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,697


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #521 on: November 06, 2013, 02:05:04 pm »

Terry McAuliffe is a joke piece of trash. I'm so going to love his disastrous term as Governor.

Has Pretentious Public Polling put out a statement about how horribly wrong they were?

Someone's butthurt.

It's ok. I anxiously await the snake oil salesman's unpopulararity bringing down the VA Dems.

By the way, you really don't have to comb through my posts and throw jabs.

You'll notice from my posting history I was actively following this thread. Don't flatter yourself.

I've noticed in other threads, you respond/bump older posts of mine when returning from one of your extended periods away from this place. Wink
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,618
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #522 on: November 06, 2013, 02:14:01 pm »

Kooch has not called T-Mac and has no plans to do so. The poor guy must be too busy crying that he won't get to oppress women for the next four years.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/terry-mcauliffe-elected-governor-of-virginia-after-bitter-race-against-ken-cuccinelli/2013/11/06/6d8a8c9a-46b0-11e3-b6f8-3782ff6cb769_story.html?hpid=z1
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,446
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #523 on: November 06, 2013, 02:22:44 pm »
« Edited: November 06, 2013, 02:32:34 pm by Landslide Lyndon »

Kooch has not called T-Mac and has no plans to do so. The poor guy must be too busy crying that he won't get to oppress women for the next four years.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/terry-mcauliffe-elected-governor-of-virginia-after-bitter-race-against-ken-cuccinelli/2013/11/06/6d8a8c9a-46b0-11e3-b6f8-3782ff6cb769_story.html?hpid=z1

Good to know that Kookinelli on a scale of douchbaggery reaches the lofty heights of Marilyn Musgrave.
Logged
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52,697


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #524 on: November 06, 2013, 02:26:44 pm »

Kooch has not called T-Mac and has no plans to do so. The poor guy must be too busy crying that he won't get to oppress women for the next four years.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/terry-mcauliffe-elected-governor-of-virginia-after-bitter-race-against-ken-cuccinelli/2013/11/06/6d8a8c9a-46b0-11e3-b6f8-3782ff6cb769_story.html?hpid=z1

Good to know that Kookinelli on a scale of douchbaggery he reaches the lofty heights of Marilyn Musgrave.

Sheesh. A few more missteps and Terry might start to sweat. Cuccinelli would be closing in on him in yet another contest!
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 27 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC