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  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 39618 times)
Miles
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« Reply #600 on: November 11, 2013, 01:40:54 pm »

Dave Wasserman ‏@Redistrict 36s
BREAKING: #ShockoeSlipUp gives Herring (D) #VAAG lead by 99 votes.>> MT @JoeStGeorge Herring total from 501 is 983.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #601 on: November 11, 2013, 02:24:58 pm »

Dave Wasserman ‏@Redistrict 36s
BREAKING: #ShockoeSlipUp gives Herring (D) #VAAG lead by 99 votes.>> MT @JoeStGeorge Herring total from 501 is 983.

Well if Herring wins, it would be the first time since 1965 that VA democrats would have won the 3 executive offices, the 2 senate seats and the presidential race before the gubernational election Cheesy.
 
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #602 on: November 11, 2013, 02:56:25 pm »

Herring now leads by 115 votes, after the Richmond board has finished its re-canvassing.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #603 on: November 11, 2013, 03:25:54 pm »

So we know that VA will have 2 special elections for the tied state senate no matter who wins the AG race.  Do we have McAuliffe/Cuccinelli stats for:

SD-33 (Herring)- was ~59% Obama 2012
SD-26 (Obenshain)- was ~60% Romney
SD-06 (Northam)- was ~57% Obama 2012
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #604 on: November 11, 2013, 05:19:34 pm »

If Obenshain loses, who does the GOP have as a Governor candidate for next election?

Bill Bolling if he hasn't severed all ties with the party by that point. Deeds also won the nomination for governor after losing the attorney general race by a similar margin as Obenshain.
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Flake
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« Reply #605 on: November 11, 2013, 05:21:33 pm »

So, four precincts, according to Dave Wasserman, are incorrect, all of which are in Richmond city.  Precinct 603 is expected to give Herring one vote, Precinct 607 is expected to give Herring six votes, Precinct 802 is expected to give Herring nine votes, which if those go as planned, Obenshain wins by one vote vote.

However, Precinct 501 is expected to give Herring 116 votes, so Herring is expected to win the state by 115 votes overall.

Fairfax elections guy:

Img


Img
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Miles
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« Reply #606 on: November 11, 2013, 05:22:39 pm »

If Obenshain loses, who does the GOP have as a Governor candidate for next election?

Bill Bolling if he hasn't severed all ties with the party by that point. Deeds also won the nomination for governor after losing the attorney general race by a similar margin as Obenshain.

Bolling would likely have a tough time at the convention. Allen is probably done with politics.

A name being floated around over at RedRacingHorses, who I think actually may be good, is Rigell.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #607 on: November 11, 2013, 05:26:33 pm »

If Obenshain loses, who does the GOP have as a Governor candidate for next election?

Ken Cuccinelli.

(Seriously)
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IceSpear
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« Reply #608 on: November 11, 2013, 05:27:48 pm »

If Obenshain loses, who does the GOP have as a Governor candidate for next election?

Bill Bolling if he hasn't severed all ties with the party by that point. Deeds also won the nomination for governor after losing the attorney general race by a similar margin as Obenshain.

Bolling would likely have a tough time at the convention. Allen is probably done with politics.

A name being floated around over at RedRacingHorses, who I think actually may be good, is Rigell.

Rigell wouldn't be able to win a convention either though. They selected E.W. Jackson for god's sake.
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True Federalist
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« Reply #609 on: November 11, 2013, 05:28:27 pm »

If Obenshain loses, who does the GOP have as a Governor candidate for next election?

Bill Bolling if he hasn't severed all ties with the party by that point. Deeds also won the nomination for governor after losing the attorney general race by a similar margin as Obenshain.

Bolling would likely have a tough time at the convention. Allen is probably done with politics.

A name being floated around over at RedRacingHorses, who I think actually may be good, is Rigell.

That assumes Rigell survives 2014. (I presume if he plans to run for governor in 2017, he won't run for reelection in 2016 when he'd face an even tougher battle.)  Rigell is potentially vulnerable, especially if we get a second shutdown.
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Mayor Steve Pearce
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« Reply #610 on: November 11, 2013, 07:23:54 pm »

Herring has taken the lead by 115.
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Flake
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« Reply #611 on: November 11, 2013, 07:52:03 pm »

Herring has taken the lead by 115.

So, four precincts, according to Dave Wasserman, are incorrect, all of which are in Richmond city.  Precinct 603 is expected to give Herring one vote, Precinct 607 is expected to give Herring six votes, Precinct 802 is expected to give Herring nine votes, which if those go as planned, Obenshain wins by one vote vote.

However, Precinct 501 is expected to give Herring 116 votes, so Herring is expected to win the state by 115 votes overall.
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cinyc
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« Reply #612 on: November 11, 2013, 08:01:10 pm »

New numbers from the Virginia State Board of Elections website:

Obenshain   1,103,493   49.88%   
Herring   1,103,610   49.89%   
Write-in   5,152   0.23%   
Total Votes   2,212,255

Or Herring + 117
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Miles
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« Reply #613 on: November 11, 2013, 08:10:13 pm »

I have the utmost confidence the RPV will use a primary for the nomination process in 2017. I don't know about next year for the Senate race against Warner, but I am confident they will after that. I'm highly certain they have learned from the Jackson situation.

I think so too, but maybe not if this is the Republicans' conclusion from last week:

Img
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« Reply #614 on: November 11, 2013, 08:19:00 pm »

Problem isn't the mechanism but rather campaigns and/or candidates. All the infamous Pub nutters (not that Cooch is remotely in that league) won primaries. Only difference is that you'd have a gotten a decent LG candidate, probably Snyder.
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ModerateVAVoter
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« Reply #615 on: November 11, 2013, 08:24:23 pm »
« Edited: November 11, 2013, 08:31:55 pm by ModerateVAVoter »

Problem isn't the mechanism but rather campaigns and/or candidates. All the infamous Pub nutters (not that Cooch is remotely in that league) won primaries. Only difference is that you'd have a gotten a decent LG candidate, probably Snyder.

I still think had the RPV used a primary, it wouldn't have caused as much deep resentment and divide within the party, particularly with Bolling. There were plenty of Republicans I know who simply didn't vote for Cuccinelli because they thought he acquired the nomination through dishonest means. There were plenty of people I know who wrote in Bolling or stayed home (granted some Republicans came home to Cuccinelli towards the end).

I think the LG Candidate would have actually made a fair difference. Jackson dragged down the ticket with his quotes about religious diversity, Haiti and natural disasters, etc. which created more problems for the RPV to deal with.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #616 on: November 11, 2013, 08:30:01 pm »

Oh, I agree on LG, anyone but Jackson would've been fine, ideally Snyder.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #617 on: November 11, 2013, 08:43:11 pm »

I have the utmost confidence the RPV will use a primary for the nomination process in 2017. I don't know about next year for the Senate race against Warner, but I am confident they will after that. I'm highly certain they have learned from the Jackson situation.

I think so too, but maybe not if this is the Republicans' conclusion from last week:

Img


Gilmore also ran against the most popular figure in Virginia.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #618 on: November 11, 2013, 09:46:25 pm »

"Any questions?"

I have one: in what warped universe is Jim Gilmore considered a moderate?

I guess in the same one where Mitch McConnell and Saxby Chambliss are considered RINOs.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #619 on: November 11, 2013, 09:49:22 pm »

Republicans are inevitably going to nominate someone against Mark Warner, but how about an obvious sacrificial lamb who gets no coverage rather than someone who is going to embarrass the party all year?
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Miles
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« Reply #620 on: November 12, 2013, 12:53:47 am »

JohnnyLongtorso, who used to post here and is one of my all-time favorites, did a good diary over at DKE on the Democrat's failure to make tangible gains in the House of Delegates.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #621 on: November 12, 2013, 01:04:14 am »

JohnnyLongtorso, who used to post here and is one of my all-time favorites, did a good diary over at DKE on the Democrat's failure to make tangible gains in the House of Delegates.

Wow. That's really pathetic and annoying. Great article though.

It's really frustrating to look at how close a lot of those Republican wins were.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #622 on: November 12, 2013, 01:23:16 am »

"Any questions?"

I have one: in what warped universe is Jim Gilmore considered a moderate?

I guess in the same one where Mitch McConnell and Saxby Chambliss are considered RINOs.

For reals. The correct distinction would be "Tea Party Zealot" vs "Mainstream Conservative."
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Maxwell
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« Reply #623 on: November 12, 2013, 08:47:34 pm »

62% of the results in for Tulsa Mayor, and the results are strong for the incumbent mayor and bad for the Oklahoma Democrats next big hope:

Mayor Dewey Bartlett (R): 57%
Former Mayor Kathy Taylor (D): 43%

This is inspite of the endorsement of the city's biggest newspaper for Taylor, a former Republican city councilor for Taylor, and Taylor being able to spend over $3 Million in this mayors race. The race to look at more closely is the City Auditor race, where Dewey Bartlett's appointee may go down.
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cinyc
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« Reply #624 on: November 12, 2013, 09:10:38 pm »

Update from the Virginia State Board of Elections' website:

Obenshain   1,103,512   49.88%   
Herring   1,103,618   49.89%   
Write-in   5,125   0.23%   
Total Votes   2,212,255   

Or Herring +106.

That's before the 271 accepted Fairfax County provisional ballots are counted.  They are counting them right now.
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