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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Silurian)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 39835 times)
Maxwell
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« Reply #625 on: November 12, 2013, 09:25:50 pm »

Yep, they're calling it: The Dem's next big hope is dead in Oklahoma

Mayor Dewey Bartlett (R): 57%, 35,687 Votes
Former Mayor Kathy Taylor (D): 43%, 27,059 Votes

With 83% of the Precincts in, this race is pretty much over.

City Auditor, however, is neck and neck, but it looks like the opposition candidate (who seems to be a Fiscally Conservative Dem) may have the upper hand over Dewey's hand-picked favorite:

Cathy Criswell (D): 52%, 28,569 votes
Clift Richards (R): 48%, 26,706 votes
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cinyc
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« Reply #626 on: November 12, 2013, 09:42:36 pm »

The Fairfax County provisionals went 160-103 Herring.   So the final tally going into the recount should be Herring +163.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #627 on: November 12, 2013, 11:05:25 pm »

The Fairfax County provisionals went 160-103 Herring.   So the final tally going into the recount should be Herring +163.

Cry
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johnbuterbaugh
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« Reply #628 on: November 12, 2013, 11:14:26 pm »

njelections.org just released the U.S. Senate special election results by municipality.

Also this:
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Miles
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« Reply #629 on: November 13, 2013, 01:21:13 am »

Tulsa by precinct:

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smoltchanov
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« Reply #630 on: November 13, 2013, 02:36:01 am »

Miles, what will you say about Arkansas SD-21 election? I know that Republican nominee is very much a "tea party man" (big minus from my personal view, but, probably, not too much from NE Arkansas people view) and that, contrary to the norm, more people voted in Republican primary then in Democratic. What about Democratic nominee (Rockwell)? A Democrat must be of rather conservative type (IMHO) to have a chance there.
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Miles
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« Reply #631 on: November 13, 2013, 05:48:57 am »

Miles, what will you say about Arkansas SD-21 election? I know that Republican nominee is very much a "tea party man" (big minus from my personal view, but, probably, not too much from NE Arkansas people view) and that, contrary to the norm, more people voted in Republican primary then in Democratic. What about Democratic nominee (Rockwell)? A Democrat must be of rather conservative type (IMHO) to have a chance there.

Wow, the runoff was super close. Rockwell won by 24 votes and Cooper won by 67 votes.

Rockwell strikes me as a type of business-oriented Democrat that could win here.

This is one of those areas that hasn't had Republican local representation since Reconstruction...I hate to see these seats flip.
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cinyc
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« Reply #632 on: November 13, 2013, 03:06:35 pm »

Presumably final update from the Virginia State Board of Elections' Website before the recount:

Obenshain   1,103,613   49.88%   
Herring   1,103,777   49.89%   
Write-in   4,926   0.22%   
Total Votes   2,212,316

Herring +164
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shua
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« Reply #633 on: November 14, 2013, 01:01:25 pm »

The caucuses for the special election in Lt Gov-elect Ralph Northam's 6th district will be on Nov 16 for the Democrats and Nov 21 for the Republicans. Any voter in the district will be allowed to vote in either - or both!
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Miles
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« Reply #634 on: November 14, 2013, 01:10:11 pm »

The caucuses for the special election in Lt Gov-elect Ralph Northam's 6th district will be on Nov 16 for the Democrats and Nov 21 for the Republicans. Any voter in the district will be allowed to vote in either - or both!

Democrats have three candidates
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I personally like McClellan the most.
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Miles
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« Reply #635 on: November 14, 2013, 05:47:06 pm »

Turnout for the Gov. race 2009 vs. 2013

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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #636 on: November 14, 2013, 06:47:19 pm »

The caucuses for the special election in Lt Gov-elect Ralph Northam's 6th district will be on Nov 16 for the Democrats and Nov 21 for the Republicans. Any voter in the district will be allowed to vote in either - or both!

Democrats have three candidates
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I personally like McClellan the most.

Hey Miles, I have one more request for you.  In light of the upcoming special elections, could you do McAuliffe/Cuccinelli numbers for SD-06 (Northam), SD-33 (Herring) and just in case, SD-26 (Obenshain)?
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JacobNC
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« Reply #637 on: November 14, 2013, 06:56:07 pm »

Miles!  I almost didn't recognize you.  When did you become a Republican?!
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Miles
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« Reply #638 on: November 14, 2013, 07:10:34 pm »

Miles!  I almost didn't recognize you.  When did you become a Republican?!

Could you tell it was me by my signature? Wink

Its a Forum Community thing. Its not permanent; some of us are showing solidarity with the Mods.
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Miles
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« Reply #639 on: November 14, 2013, 07:59:22 pm »


Hey Miles, I have one more request for you.  In light of the upcoming special elections, could you do McAuliffe/Cuccinelli numbers for SD-06 (Northam), SD-33 (Herring) and just in case, SD-26 (Obenshain)?

McAuliffe-Cuccinelli-Sarvis

SD06: 52-41-7
SD26: 35-59-6
SD33: 55-39-6

Calculations.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #640 on: November 14, 2013, 08:36:46 pm »

62% of the results in for Tulsa Mayor, and the results are strong for the incumbent mayor and bad for the Oklahoma Democrats next big hope:

Mayor Dewey Bartlett (R): 57%
Former Mayor Kathy Taylor (D): 43%

This is inspite of the endorsement of the city's biggest newspaper for Taylor, a former Republican city councilor for Taylor, and Taylor being able to spend over $3 Million in this mayors race. The race to look at more closely is the City Auditor race, where Dewey Bartlett's appointee may go down.


$3 million??? For a city of what, 1 million? Where the turnout will probably be what, 20%?
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PulaskiSkywayDriver
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« Reply #641 on: November 15, 2013, 12:00:36 am »

Here is the Hudson Data. Notice the MASSIVE swing in Union City because of the Stack machine help but also the huge swing in Hoboken which seems to be trending Republican at the top of the ticket with the exception of the Booker-Lonegan race. The Harrison mayoral endorsement made for a mini Union City in that town. The smaller swing toward Christie in Bayonne and Kearny (only two below trend) is interesting.


Hudson County Data for Gov Race (W/o Provisionals)
Town     Buo  Chr   Total        Margin       Swing       Trend (Vs. State)
Bayonne 5262   5302   10564   0.38%   15.94%   -2.86%
East Newark 145   75   220   -31.82%   19.44%   0.64%
Guttenberg 732   638   1370   -6.86%   41.88%   23.08%
Harrison 755   893   1648   8.37%   53.63%   34.83%
Hoboken 5467   6439   11906   8.16%   42.18%   23.38%
Jersey City 20225   9709   29934   -35.13%   23.39%   4.59%
Kearny 2655   2624   5279   -0.59%   14.35%   -4.45%
North Bergen 6764   4278   11042   -22.51%   30.27%   11.47%
Secaucus 1723   2207   3930   12.32%   28.39%   9.59%
Union City 4624   6604   11228   17.63%   75.18%   56.38%
Weehawken 1395   1065   2460   -13.41%   32.00%   13.20%
WNY 3168   2403   5571   -13.73%   32.93%   14.13%
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« Reply #642 on: November 15, 2013, 12:13:13 am »

Turnout for the Gov. race 2009 vs. 2013



I'm surprised there were so many places with greatly increased turnout.  People did not like these candidates.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #643 on: November 15, 2013, 12:18:42 am »

Here is the Hudson Data. Notice the MASSIVE swing in Union City because of the Stack machine help but also the huge swing in Hoboken which seems to be trending Republican at the top of the ticket with the exception of the Booker-Lonegan race. The Harrison mayoral endorsement made for a mini Union City in that town. The smaller swing toward Christie in Bayonne and Kearny (only two below trend) is interesting.


Hudson County Data for Gov Race (W/o Provisionals)
Town     Buo  Chr   Total        Margin       Swing       Trend (Vs. State)
Bayonne 5262   5302   10564   0.38%   15.94%   -2.86%
East Newark 145   75   220   -31.82%   19.44%   0.64%
Guttenberg 732   638   1370   -6.86%   41.88%   23.08%
Harrison 755   893   1648   8.37%   53.63%   34.83%
Hoboken 5467   6439   11906   8.16%   42.18%   23.38%
Jersey City 20225   9709   29934   -35.13%   23.39%   4.59%
Kearny 2655   2624   5279   -0.59%   14.35%   -4.45%
North Bergen 6764   4278   11042   -22.51%   30.27%   11.47%
Secaucus 1723   2207   3930   12.32%   28.39%   9.59%
Union City 4624   6604   11228   17.63%   75.18%   56.38%
Weehawken 1395   1065   2460   -13.41%   32.00%   13.20%
WNY 3168   2403   5571   -13.73%   32.93%   14.13%

Naturally, the areas of Hudson where Christie did best are those with the most middle class and affluent white voters (Hoboken). Union City is especially interesting because it's 84.7% Hispanic. There's a huge concentration of Cuban voters there that haven't voted Republican since 1985.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
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« Reply #644 on: November 15, 2013, 01:07:46 am »

Turnout for the Gov. race 2009 vs. 2013



I'm surprised there were so many places with greatly increased turnout.  People did not like these candidates.

Part of the change in turnout was population gain or loss.  Plus, it was a more competitive campaign.
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Miles
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« Reply #645 on: November 17, 2013, 12:24:30 am »

The turnout maps looks a lot like the swing map to me:



I know I happened to use red for more votes, but still.
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johnbuterbaugh
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« Reply #646 on: November 18, 2013, 03:31:29 pm »

The population decrease and Creigh Deeds of Bath County not being a candidate resulted in fewer voters in Bath, Highland, and Allegany Counties. Southwest Virginia is experiencing population decline and, as a result, fewer voters. Loudoun and Prince William Counties are seeing significant population increase, and significantly more voters turned out as a result.
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Flake
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« Reply #647 on: November 19, 2013, 10:16:50 pm »

There is a vote right now in Albuquerque trying to restrict women's access to abortions.

No election day votes have been counted yet, but so far:

Absentee Voting:

For: 4,046
Against: 2,273
Total: 6,319

For: 69.73%
Against: 30.27%


Early Voting:
For: 18,078
Against: 25,719

Total: 43,797

For: 41.28%
Against: 58.72%


Total vote:

For: 44.15%
Against: 55.85%


Note: The election day vote is still not available.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #648 on: November 19, 2013, 10:21:20 pm »

There is a vote right now in Albuquerque trying to restrict women's access to abortions.

No election day votes have been counted yet, but so far:

Absentee Voting:

For: 4,046
Against: 2,273
Total: 6,319

For: 69.73%
Against: 30.27%


Early Voting:
For: 18,078
Against: 25,719

Total: 43,797

For: 41.28%
Against: 58.72%


Total vote:

For: 44.15%
Against: 55.85%


Note: The election day vote is still not available.

This will probably go down in flames.
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Flake
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« Reply #649 on: November 19, 2013, 10:26:19 pm »

There is a vote right now in Albuquerque trying to restrict women's access to abortions.

No election day votes have been counted yet, but so far:

Absentee Voting:

For: 4,046
Against: 2,273
Total: 6,319

For: 69.73%
Against: 30.27%


Early Voting:
For: 18,078
Against: 25,719

Total: 43,797

For: 41.28%
Against: 58.72%


Total vote:

For: 44.15%
Against: 55.85%


Note: The election day vote is still not available.

This will probably go down in flames.

I hope so.
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