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  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 39775 times)
DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« on: November 06, 2013, 02:27:53 am »



Going to the 51st state initiative, counties in green voted to secede, counties in red voted to stay with Colorado.

The green counties have a combined population of less than 30,000 people. How will they justify splitting off?

Also, in the unlikely event that they do secede, CO-4's current representative, Cory Gardner, will have to either retire or move, as he lives in one of those green counties (Yuma County, to be exact).

Kick 'em out, declare them a territory and take away their farm subsidies.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2013, 10:01:01 am »

One more in...

Precincts in: 2,540/2,541

Mark Obenshain (R) - 1,099,198 votes
Mark Herring (D) - 1,099, 054 votes

Obenshain +144

Looks like this will come down to the very last precinct.

Well there will still be some absentee and provisional votes that will be added, as someone mentioned upthread, Obama's margin grew by about 1% after election day.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2013, 11:15:47 am »

So, what do you expect with absentees? How many voted would Herring/Obenshain get?

In Virginia, historically absentees skew towards metropolitan areas and especially towards NoVA.  They've almost always benefited the Dems as votes are finalized.  Now I don't know if the BoEs have gotten more efficient at processing absentees.  I doubt it.  I wouldn't be surprised if there are still 15,000 votes or more to processed.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2013, 11:32:37 am »

The absentees have been counted already, no? It's just provisionals we're waiting for.

Absentees can be received through election day.  Some counties can count everything election night, bigger counties tend to add some absentees later. 
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2013, 09:47:19 pm »


Especially if the tiebreaker is a steel cage match.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2013, 08:47:20 pm »

The vboe website has the Obenshain margin down to 59 votes.  The blogger notlarrysabato has the margin at 15 votes.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2013, 11:11:36 am »

The latest numbers from the Virginia State Board of Elections, which includes the missing Fairfax absentees:

Obenshain   1,103,436   49.88%   
Herring   1,103,381   49.88%   
Write-in   5,145   0.23%   
Total Votes   2,211,962

Or Obenshain +55.

The results don't include the known provisional ballots from Richmond city, which should net Herring another 11 votes, leaving Obenshain with a 44-vote lead.

Provisionals are still out from 44 localities, including Fairfax County, which has up to 490 that might be counted.  And canvassing is still going on, so some other errors might be out there.

According to Wasserman, there was another error, this time in Richmond which when corrected will give Herring an 82 vote lead.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2013, 11:57:54 am »

The latest numbers from the Virginia State Board of Elections, which includes the missing Fairfax absentees:

Obenshain   1,103,436   49.88%   
Herring   1,103,381   49.88%   
Write-in   5,145   0.23%   
Total Votes   2,211,962

Or Obenshain +55.

The results don't include the known provisional ballots from Richmond city, which should net Herring another 11 votes, leaving Obenshain with a 44-vote lead.

Provisionals are still out from 44 localities, including Fairfax County, which has up to 490 that might be counted.  And canvassing is still going on, so some other errors might be out there.

According to Wasserman, there was another error, this time in Richmond which when corrected will give Herring an 82 vote lead.

This entire race is so confusing.

Well, you're not old enough to remember, but once upon a time there was this Presidential race between a man made of wood and a man with no brain and it came down to the state of Florida and mythical things called "hanging chads" and "butterfly ballots".... that was confusing.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2013, 12:22:21 pm »

What exactly does the VA election law say if there's an exact tie ?

Will the SBOE draw lots, will the candidates engage in an old-school duel like below ?



Or does the law not say what needs to be done in a scenario like this, because some side will rig the election anyway ?

It goes to the general assembly, so a tie would go to the Rs. 
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2013, 10:33:57 pm »

The current lead is .000769%

If the report of the Richmond precinct is true then Herring will have 100 vote lead before Fairfax provisionals, if not, then it's still pretty grey as provisionals can be erratic.  And of course, there could still be other errors out there and a recount is inevitable.
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2013, 10:59:34 pm »

I wonder how those people who did write in votes feel?

Some of those of those write-ins probably were for Obenshain or Herring, and probably misspelled too.  I don't think that they get counted for the candidate.  
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DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez
dingojoe
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« Reply #11 on: November 15, 2013, 01:07:46 am »

Turnout for the Gov. race 2009 vs. 2013



I'm surprised there were so many places with greatly increased turnout.  People did not like these candidates.

Part of the change in turnout was population gain or loss.  Plus, it was a more competitive campaign.
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