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| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virgini)
| | |-+  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 39458 times)
Lief 🐋
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« on: November 05, 2013, 05:57:59 pm »

Early VA exit polls: electorate demographics are like 2012's, not 2009's

40% of voters are Democrats and 30% are non-white. Dominating.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2013, 06:44:34 pm »

NYC Early Exit Polls:

Voters approve of Bloomberg 52-45

Despite this, 70% say they would rather a new direction than a continuation of his policies

Voters disapprove of stop-and-frisk 55-39

Despite this, Ray Kelly's approval is at 65%

And unlike in Virginia, where everyone hates everyone, 87% of voters chose their candidate because they liked him

http://www.nytimes.com/news/election-2013/2013/11/05/new-york-exit-poll-ready-for-change/?smid=tw-share
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2013, 07:01:18 pm »

NBC: T-MAC LEADS EARLY EXIT POLLS, TOO EARLY TO CALL
LT GOV, AT GEN ALSO TOO EARLY TOO CALL

T-Mac: 50
Kook: 43
Sarvis: 7
« Last Edit: November 05, 2013, 07:03:34 pm by Lіef »Logged
Lief 🐋
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2013, 07:04:29 pm »

T-Mac leads women 54-38, Kook leads men 47-46
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2013, 07:07:45 pm »

Here are the VA exit poll results: http://www.nytimes.com/projects/elections/2013/general/virginia/exit-polls.html

Not sure if there's anything for Lt. Gov or Attorney General.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2013, 07:13:15 pm »

Here's a good chart of county result benchmarks, based on the last three elections and a hypothetical T-Mac 7.5% win: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AvOrrxBeaarVdFQ1NGJLa1UyMVpRYjZTTVZ1aVE2V0E&toomany=true#gid=0
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2013, 07:13:56 pm »

FIRST VOTES ARE BEING COUNTED OMG
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2013, 07:16:16 pm »

lol, Obamacare (48-50) is more popular in Virginia than Obama himself (46-53)
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2013, 07:20:30 pm »

New wave of exit poll numbers coming in, Obama's approval is now 48-52 in the updated exits.

Looks like a lot of Democratic late voters. Hallelujah!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2013, 07:32:07 pm »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...
« Last Edit: November 05, 2013, 07:33:40 pm by Lіef »Logged
Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2013, 07:36:43 pm »

7% in, Kook leads by 14%, the Lt Gov race is a tie, and Obenshain leads by 15%

Interesting that Obenshain doesn't seem to be doing any better than Kook so far...

Obenshain better do substantially better than Cooch in the NOVA counties yet to report or he's toast.

Yeah, though to be fair that's exactly where you'd expect him to do better than Cooch. So we'll see...
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2013, 07:42:31 pm »

First big Dem victory of the night. Dems capture the St. Petersburg mayor's office from the GOP in Florida; good warm up act for the House special.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2013, 07:45:02 pm »

Fairfax coming in now; T-Mac running about at Obama 2012 margins.
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2013, 07:48:52 pm »

I don't think Terry is going to win by high single-digits. He's not doing much better (in some cases worse actually) than 2012 Obama.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2013, 07:54:40 pm »

Here are the VA House results: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2013/by_state/VA_House_of_Delegates_1105.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2013, 07:58:16 pm »

Is McAuliffe doing better or worse than Obama's 2012 numbers? I read somebody saying he was slightly underperforming Obama, is this correct?

If so, this election could be really close after all ("Shy Cuccinelli voters"?).

He's doing about the same so far, maybe slightly (1% or so) worse. But very little of Northern Virginia is in yet. He'll presumably outperform Obama 2012 there.
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2013, 08:03:41 pm »

Christie right at 60% in the exit poll.
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2013, 08:05:04 pm »

Christie improved quite a bit with blacks (winning 19%) but his numbers with Hispanics aren't that much better than generic Republican (31%).
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2013, 08:09:30 pm »

NBC declares Northam the winner in Virginia.
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2013, 08:11:26 pm »

Think Virginia might turn out closer than expected...
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2013, 08:16:43 pm »

NBC now classifying Virginia as "too close to call." Not good.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2013, 08:24:59 pm »

Loudon and Prince William are bellweathers. T-Mac leads by about 1% in both so far.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2013, 08:37:21 pm »

61% reporting:

Kook +3.5%
Obenshain +6%
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2013, 08:42:39 pm »

I think T-Mac will win by 3% or so. Which means a pure tossup for AG, if the relationship between those two races stays the same.
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« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2013, 08:45:59 pm »

They always change the exit polls. They compare the results from the precincts they polled once they come in to their survey results. That's how they're then able to call the race before 100% of votes are counted.
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