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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 39576 times)
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« on: November 05, 2013, 10:45:06 pm »

Looks like Republicans finally offed Nelson Albano in NJ-01's Assembly race. No other turnovers yet, but Inverso-Greenstein is super close, as is everything in Dem-held NJ-38.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2013, 10:51:59 pm »

Barbara Buono's super-Democratic Middlesex County open seat is still really close, too, 52-48, with 39% rptg
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2013, 10:53:06 pm »

Who the f[inks] are these people wasting a Tuesday night cheering for Terry McAuliffe?!?

business contacts, obvi
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2013, 11:16:10 pm »

Dems held all 24 of their seats in the New Jersey State Senate, GOP held their 16. No change.
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« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2013, 04:53:10 am »

In New Jersey: The GOP will pick up an Assembly seat in the southernmost LD01. They currently lead for a second seat in Bergen County's LD38 (Paramus), but provisional ballots in Dem-friendly towns may erase that pickup still. In Atlantic County's LD02 (Atlantic City), Republicans appear to have lost an Assembly seat in an upset.

There's was no partisan change in the NJ State Senate, which was a bit of a disappointment for the GOP. Minority Leader Tom Kean Jr. fended off a leadership challenge from Sen. Kevin O'Toole by a 10 to 6 caucus vote; Christie was supposedly siding with O'Toole.
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« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2013, 01:23:16 am »

"Any questions?"

I have one: in what warped universe is Jim Gilmore considered a moderate?

I guess in the same one where Mitch McConnell and Saxby Chambliss are considered RINOs.

For reals. The correct distinction would be "Tea Party Zealot" vs "Mainstream Conservative."
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« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2013, 12:18:42 am »

Here is the Hudson Data. Notice the MASSIVE swing in Union City because of the Stack machine help but also the huge swing in Hoboken which seems to be trending Republican at the top of the ticket with the exception of the Booker-Lonegan race. The Harrison mayoral endorsement made for a mini Union City in that town. The smaller swing toward Christie in Bayonne and Kearny (only two below trend) is interesting.


Hudson County Data for Gov Race (W/o Provisionals)
Town     Buo  Chr   Total        Margin       Swing       Trend (Vs. State)
Bayonne 5262   5302   10564   0.38%   15.94%   -2.86%
East Newark 145   75   220   -31.82%   19.44%   0.64%
Guttenberg 732   638   1370   -6.86%   41.88%   23.08%
Harrison 755   893   1648   8.37%   53.63%   34.83%
Hoboken 5467   6439   11906   8.16%   42.18%   23.38%
Jersey City 20225   9709   29934   -35.13%   23.39%   4.59%
Kearny 2655   2624   5279   -0.59%   14.35%   -4.45%
North Bergen 6764   4278   11042   -22.51%   30.27%   11.47%
Secaucus 1723   2207   3930   12.32%   28.39%   9.59%
Union City 4624   6604   11228   17.63%   75.18%   56.38%
Weehawken 1395   1065   2460   -13.41%   32.00%   13.20%
WNY 3168   2403   5571   -13.73%   32.93%   14.13%

Naturally, the areas of Hudson where Christie did best are those with the most middle class and affluent white voters (Hoboken). Union City is especially interesting because it's 84.7% Hispanic. There's a huge concentration of Cuban voters there that haven't voted Republican since 1985.
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