The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread

[sg0508]

As usual, the GOP will likely be ahead in early returns in VA as downstate usually reports first.  Then, they will get swamped up north and that will be that.  It used be a democratic sweep in the Old Dominion, which is a very poor sign for the GOP in my opinion.

As for NJ, the only question will be, will Christie break Kean's record?

[sg0508]

Two very interesting notes from the VA Exit Polls:

1) Democrats now outweigh Republicans in VA? Hmmmmm.  Wow if true even though the democrats have been on a roll in the past few cycles (outside of 2010).

2) Those with post-graduate degrees favored the democrats bigtime.  Wow.

[sg0508]

With 9% in...

McAuliffe (D): 39.5%
Cuccinelli (R): 52.0%
Sarvis (L): 8.4%

Herring (D): 42.1%
Obershain (R): 57.9%

Northam (D): 48.5%
Jackson (R): 51.5%

Some rural republican parts are in. Seeing as these are rural republican parts, these are not good for republicans!

Northern VA always reports later.  The GOP would need to be near 60% in the rurals areas to win. Not even a contest.

[sg0508]

It's very unusual though for the presidency to remain in democratic hands and then the following year for the democrats to sweep VA clean.  

Is the Old Dominion becoming the next of a line of states (i.e. CO, OR, MN, etc) where the GOP is becoming unelectable with an empty cabinet?

[sg0508]

And the polls have closed in NJ.  Christie projected based upon exit polls.  What was Kean's percentage he's looking to exceed?

[sg0508]

Again, what was Kean's percentage he's trying to break? My guess a month ago was Christie at 59%.

[sg0508]

Relax.  Six point win for McAuliffe.

[sg0508]

Think about it this way.  When was the last time that a candidate was NEVER ahead in any poll the month prior to election day and somehow won?

[sg0508]

45% in...Cucinelli by 5%.  Of course, there are no live maps this year to show where the counted votes are coming from.

[sg0508]

And here comes northern VA.  57% in now and the candidates are near even.

[sg0508]

I wonder if VA Beach is fully counted.  Cucinelli by 3 pts there.

[sg0508]

If the exit poll holds up (big if) Christie's margin of victory is going to be smaller than basically any of the public polls showed.

Keep in mind that he's the minority party.  Most undecided voters probably broke democratic today and in addition, some democrats in a blue state will always come home. I predicted he wouldn't hit 60%.  We'll see if I'm right.

[sg0508]

Mac going away now.

[sg0508]

That AG race could be neck and neck.  Wow.

[sg0508]

A call may be imminent.

[sg0508]

That A/G race is really something.  Wow.

[sg0508]

And that's that.

[sg0508]

Amendment 66, the big tax hike in Colorado, is going down in flames.

And that with a more than ten-to-one spending gap, too. Not only does that make Michael Bloomberg 0-for-3 in Colorado elections this year, but it is also a major loss for Governor Hickenlooper and suggests that Colorado's conservative rebellion is strong.

Thank GOD.

The CO GOP is near dead.  I'll continue to believe that until they win another big statewide race...last time being '04 when Bush beat Kerry by 4.7% points.

[sg0508]

Christie hovering right at 60%

[sg0508]

Neck and neck indeed for the AG office.  My goodness

[sg0508]

The VA AG race could actually end up a tie lol.

[sg0508]

When it's that close, there is no way that the results are "legit".  You can't trust officials in this country.  That's what is very scary.

As for Nassau County (my home), the GOP cleaned up here last night.