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  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginia)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 40861 times)
Miles
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« on: November 05, 2013, 07:58:03 pm »

Cooch is sweeping Appalachia Sad
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2013, 08:06:58 pm »

Almost all of Buchanan Couty is in and T-Mac is losing 66-32, worse than Obama Tongue
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2013, 08:58:00 pm »

RRH says Obenshain is running behind their benchmarks.
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2013, 09:10:58 pm »

Dean Young starts up 51-49 with 21% in.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2013, 09:35:24 pm »

Byrne up with 51%. Lets hope that holds.
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2013, 09:49:39 pm »

Obenshain down to 50.8%.
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Miles
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2013, 11:34:32 am »

The swing map for the southwest:

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2013, 01:03:11 pm »


Hey Miles, could you check results/swing for VA-10 (the westernmost NOVA seat)?  It looks like McAuliffe did much better than Obama there and the winner may be in doubt.

Yeah, I'll do that next.
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2013, 01:44:02 pm »

I want to go back and double check this because they renamed a few precincts in Prince William County, but it looks like Cooch won CD10 by about 2,000 votes.

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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2013, 04:16:30 pm »

CD2 was mirror image of CD10; McAuliffe won by about 2K votes:

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Miles
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« Reply #10 on: November 09, 2013, 02:29:56 am »

The 2-party swing in Fairfax/Arlington Counties and the surrounding municipalities from 2012 to 2013:


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Miles
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« Reply #11 on: November 09, 2013, 08:54:33 am »

Virginia Beach/Hampton. I would have included Suffolk, but it had too many precinct shape changes that I didn't want to deal with.

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Miles
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« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2013, 07:27:58 pm »

Its a few days old, but here's a Youtube video of Wasserman explaining the AG race.
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Miles
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« Reply #13 on: November 11, 2013, 01:22:09 pm »

Black voters turned out in disproportionately high numbers while hispanic/young turnout was relatively low; the black vote likely saved McAuliffe:

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Miles
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« Reply #14 on: November 11, 2013, 01:40:54 pm »

Dave Wasserman ‏@Redistrict 36s
BREAKING: #ShockoeSlipUp gives Herring (D) #VAAG lead by 99 votes.>> MT @JoeStGeorge Herring total from 501 is 983.
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Miles
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« Reply #15 on: November 11, 2013, 05:22:39 pm »

If Obenshain loses, who does the GOP have as a Governor candidate for next election?

Bill Bolling if he hasn't severed all ties with the party by that point. Deeds also won the nomination for governor after losing the attorney general race by a similar margin as Obenshain.

Bolling would likely have a tough time at the convention. Allen is probably done with politics.

A name being floated around over at RedRacingHorses, who I think actually may be good, is Rigell.
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Miles
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« Reply #16 on: November 11, 2013, 08:10:13 pm »

I have the utmost confidence the RPV will use a primary for the nomination process in 2017. I don't know about next year for the Senate race against Warner, but I am confident they will after that. I'm highly certain they have learned from the Jackson situation.

I think so too, but maybe not if this is the Republicans' conclusion from last week:

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #17 on: November 12, 2013, 12:53:47 am »

JohnnyLongtorso, who used to post here and is one of my all-time favorites, did a good diary over at DKE on the Democrat's failure to make tangible gains in the House of Delegates.
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Miles
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« Reply #18 on: November 13, 2013, 01:21:13 am »

Tulsa by precinct:

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Miles
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« Reply #19 on: November 13, 2013, 05:48:57 am »

Miles, what will you say about Arkansas SD-21 election? I know that Republican nominee is very much a "tea party man" (big minus from my personal view, but, probably, not too much from NE Arkansas people view) and that, contrary to the norm, more people voted in Republican primary then in Democratic. What about Democratic nominee (Rockwell)? A Democrat must be of rather conservative type (IMHO) to have a chance there.

Wow, the runoff was super close. Rockwell won by 24 votes and Cooper won by 67 votes.

Rockwell strikes me as a type of business-oriented Democrat that could win here.

This is one of those areas that hasn't had Republican local representation since Reconstruction...I hate to see these seats flip.
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Miles
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« Reply #20 on: November 14, 2013, 01:10:11 pm »

The caucuses for the special election in Lt Gov-elect Ralph Northam's 6th district will be on Nov 16 for the Democrats and Nov 21 for the Republicans. Any voter in the district will be allowed to vote in either - or both!

Democrats have three candidates
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I personally like McClellan the most.
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Miles
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« Reply #21 on: November 14, 2013, 05:47:06 pm »

Turnout for the Gov. race 2009 vs. 2013

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #22 on: November 14, 2013, 07:10:34 pm »

Miles!  I almost didn't recognize you.  When did you become a Republican?!

Could you tell it was me by my signature? Wink

Its a Forum Community thing. Its not permanent; some of us are showing solidarity with the Mods.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #23 on: November 14, 2013, 07:59:22 pm »


Hey Miles, I have one more request for you.  In light of the upcoming special elections, could you do McAuliffe/Cuccinelli numbers for SD-06 (Northam), SD-33 (Herring) and just in case, SD-26 (Obenshain)?

McAuliffe-Cuccinelli-Sarvis

SD06: 52-41-7
SD26: 35-59-6
SD33: 55-39-6

Calculations.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #24 on: November 17, 2013, 12:24:30 am »

The turnout maps looks a lot like the swing map to me:



I know I happened to use red for more votes, but still.
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