Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 14, 2019, 11:42:46 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, x)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 40714 times)
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« on: November 05, 2013, 08:32:01 pm »

Usually the more suburban parts of the NOVA counties report first, the inner precincts report last.  So I think the margins might tick up more in the Democrats favor.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2013, 08:37:38 pm »

I don't think this is as close as everyone is saying, I'd be shocked if it's only 2 points.  McAuliffe is only behind by 3 points and 75% of Fairfax hasn't been counted.  Almost none of Charlottesville has been counted, there are still a lot of votes in Arlington and Alexandria as well...
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2013, 08:49:40 pm »

As I noted before would probably happen, McAuliffe's margin is expanding in the northern counties, especially Fairfax.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2013, 09:11:28 pm »

Nothing or hardly anything in from Charlottesville or Fairfax City.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2013, 09:15:04 pm »

McAuliffe is about even now, Fairfax County is still 1/3 out.  Why aren't they calling this yet?
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2013, 09:19:36 pm »

McAuliffe is about even now, Fairfax County is still 1/3 out.  Why aren't they calling this yet?

Ratings boost?

Maybe, but usually they like to brag about being the first to call a race... it seems safe to call this at this point.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2013, 09:21:30 pm »

Didn't realize the southeastern cities haven't really reported yet either.  They need to just call this.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2013, 09:23:28 pm »

McAuliffe might actually outperform Obama in Fairfax.  
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2013, 09:26:03 pm »

Margin continues to grow in all of the NOVA counties.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2013, 09:36:55 pm »

These networks are pathetic.  McAuliffe up 10,000 votes or so and almost all precincts left are in democratic areas and most STILL haven't called this.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2013, 09:44:38 pm »

Terry McAuliffe is officially the projected winner.

where's barfbag when we need him?

he's at home barfing into a bag.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2013, 10:01:53 pm »

Not convinced the libertarian hurt Cuccinelli as much as the GOP is spinning, he did best among 18-29 year olds who otherwise were going strongly for McAuliffe...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/local/2013-elections/exit-polls/



Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2013, 10:06:37 pm »

Don't start blaming Sarvis.  The reason why Republicans are voting for Sarvis are because of how extreme Cuccinelli is.  There is only one person to blame for the Republican's defeat and that is Cuccinelli (well, him and everyone who voted for him.)

This!!!!
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2013, 10:07:51 pm »

So McAuliffe's won this... oh well, you win some and you lose some. In an alternate universe where VA Governors can hold consecutive terms, I don't think McDonnell would have done as well as Cuccinelli did.

Still, McAuliffe didn't do as well as I thought he would, my prediction was:

McAuliffe: 49%
Cuccinelli: 46%
Sarvis: 4%


A 3 point margin can still happen, almost all the outstanding votes are from democratic precincts.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2013, 10:43:58 pm »

I like how Republicans are already spinning Cuccinelli's loss.  The fact is this was an off-year election where democratic turnout is always lower.  If you look at McAuliffe and the down ballot candidate's margins in most of the key districts they are roughly the same as Obama's, the only different is turnout was slightly higher in republican areas in relative terms.

The results here are actually terrible news for Republicans... they're finding it harder and harder to win statewide office in Virginia even in off year elections.  

Also, you have to assume the democrats are going to nominate someone less awful for President in 2016, whereas the republicans will probably nominate someone equally as awful as Cuccinelli.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2013, 10:48:32 pm »

how come nobody is talking about the hideous creature running for Lt. Governor and his impact on the race?  Looks like less people voted for Lt. Governor than for Attorney General.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2013, 10:51:45 pm »

looks like the exit polls show that the two biggest regional trends over 2009 were the far out DC suburbs moving further to the left and the southwestern part of the state moving further to the right.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2013, 11:02:29 pm »

it says 20 precincts left but when you look at the counties they are almost all reported.  I don't see any counties with a lot of precincts left.  I think that might be an error.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2013, 11:27:29 pm »

um, according to the Washington post site, most of the outstanding vote is in democratic counties.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2013, 11:30:19 pm »

Virginia is ridiculously gerrymandered.  Most of the democrats won with over 70% of the vote or were unopposed.  Most of the republicans won with 51-55% of the vote, even in areas that are democratic overall like NOVA.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2013, 11:36:02 pm »

wow margin is like 800 votes now.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2013, 11:39:50 pm »

where are the remaining precincts?  anyone know?
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2013, 11:43:00 pm »

there is obviously going to be a recount.  

didn't someone say there were also like 10,000 absentee ballots from Fairfax or some other big county?
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2013, 11:47:33 pm »

The prince William precincts will probably be the largest and the late reporting ones will all be in the more "urban" areas so they will be a big boost to the D depending how many.  The others will all probably go R except maybe Norfolk depending where it is.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 456


« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2013, 11:53:03 pm »

is Newport News all in?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC