PPP to poll MS and MT this weekend

[Tender Branson]

The MS 2016 numbers should be interesting ...

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/11/montana-and-mississppi-question-suggestions.html

[eric82oslo]

Could be interesting indeed. Although I'm certainly not holding my breath.

[badgate]

Thank God they aren't doing Kentucky.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Mississippi could be very interesting.  If there is one state in the deep south that could make the GOP sweat, it might be Mississippi after the closer-than-expected election of 2012.  However, that was with a black Obama on the ticket.  With him not on the ticket, that could also swing it back to pre-Obama levels.  I'm predicting the latter, but would not be surprised by the former.

[windjammer]

Some bad news in MT I guess...

And for MS, I hope they will poll Hood, Taylor and Childers!

[ElectionsGuy]

Montana results should be interesting for the Senate and for 2016. As for Mississippi, the Senate and President results will be interesting as far as % goes, but predictable.

[Tender Branson]

Mississippi could be very interesting.  If there is one state in the deep south that could make the GOP sweat, it might be Mississippi after the closer-than-expected election of 2012.  However, that was with a black Obama on the ticket.  With him not on the ticket, that could also swing it back to pre-Obama levels.  I'm predicting the latter, but would not be surprised by the former.

The MS poll might actually show a lead for the Republicans, well within 10% or even closer than that (maybe the Southern candidates Paul and Rubio up 5-10, while the Romney-like Christie and the not so well known Cruz about tied with Hillary):

MS is getting increasingly more "black". Blacks account for 38% of the population is MS and they account for 43% of all annual births in MS.

This means the percentage of Blacks will naturally increase until 2016, which helps the Democratic candidate there.

Also, I think Obama's black coalition will also come out for Hillary, because the Clintons have historically been strong with Blacks.

[pbrower2a]

Any liberal-leaning Democrat is going to win the vast majority of the black vote in Mississippi.  If whites in Mississippi voted like whites in Kentucky or West Virginia, then Mississippi would be an easy pickup for Hillary Clinton. Of course even that asks for a lot.

Barack Obama is the definitive city-slicker politician who just can't appeal to rural votes, and it is obvious that something else about him engendered some fears among Southern whites. Hillary doesn't bring about those fears.   

[Tender Branson]

Mississippi could be very interesting.  If there is one state in the deep south that could make the GOP sweat, it might be Mississippi after the closer-than-expected election of 2012.  However, that was with a black Obama on the ticket.  With him not on the ticket, that could also swing it back to pre-Obama levels.  I'm predicting the latter, but would not be surprised by the former.

The MS poll might actually show a lead for the Republicans, well within 10% or even closer than that (maybe the Southern candidates Paul and Rubio up 5-10, while the Romney-like Christie and the not so well known Cruz about tied with Hillary):

MS is getting increasingly more "black". Blacks account for 38% of the population is MS and they account for 43% of all annual births in MS.

This means the percentage of Blacks will naturally increase until 2016, which helps the Democratic candidate there.

Also, I think Obama's black coalition will also come out for Hillary, because the Clintons have historically been strong with Blacks.

PPP twittered that Cruz leads among MS Republicans but indeed leads Hillary by only 2 points there.

[Flake]

Mississippi could be very interesting.  If there is one state in the deep south that could make the GOP sweat, it might be Mississippi after the closer-than-expected election of 2012.  However, that was with a black Obama on the ticket.  With him not on the ticket, that could also swing it back to pre-Obama levels.  I'm predicting the latter, but would not be surprised by the former.

The MS poll might actually show a lead for the Republicans, well within 10% or even closer than that (maybe the Southern candidates Paul and Rubio up 5-10, while the Romney-like Christie and the not so well known Cruz about tied with Hillary):

MS is getting increasingly more "black". Blacks account for 38% of the population is MS and they account for 43% of all annual births in MS.

This means the percentage of Blacks will naturally increase until 2016, which helps the Democratic candidate there.

Also, I think Obama's black coalition will also come out for Hillary, because the Clintons have historically been strong with Blacks.

PPP twittered that Cruz leads among MS Republicans but indeed leads Hillary by only 2 points there.

Wow.

[eric82oslo]

PPP twittered that Cruz leads among MS Republicans but indeed leads Hillary by only 2 points there.

Why didn't they release the 2016 numbers with the rest of the poll numbers though? Same thing with Montana also... They keep the numbers for themselves just for fun?

[Tender Branson]

PPP twittered that Cruz leads among MS Republicans but indeed leads Hillary by only 2 points there.

Why didn't they release the 2016 numbers with the rest of the poll numbers though? Same thing with Montana also... They keep the numbers for themselves just for fun?

They always release it over 2 days.