Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,688
|
|
« on: November 19, 2013, 03:52:24 PM » |
|
Mississippi could be very interesting. If there is one state in the deep south that could make the GOP sweat, it might be Mississippi after the closer-than-expected election of 2012. However, that was with a black Obama on the ticket. With him not on the ticket, that could also swing it back to pre-Obama levels. I'm predicting the latter, but would not be surprised by the former.
The MS poll might actually show a lead for the Republicans, well within 10% or even closer than that (maybe the Southern candidates Paul and Rubio up 5-10, while the Romney-like Christie and the not so well known Cruz about tied with Hillary):
MS is getting increasingly more "black". Blacks account for 38% of the population is MS and they account for 43% of all annual births in MS.
This means the percentage of Blacks will naturally increase until 2016, which helps the Democratic candidate there.
Also, I think Obama's black coalition will also come out for Hillary, because the Clintons have historically been strong with Blacks.
PPP twittered that Cruz leads among MS Republicans but indeed leads Hillary by only 2 points there.
Wow.
|