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  NY-Siena: Hillary leads a highly popular Christie by 16, Cuomo trails
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Author Topic: NY-Siena: Hillary leads a highly popular Christie by 16, Cuomo trails  (Read 714 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 18, 2013, 08:05:38 am »

If the 2016 election for president was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]

56% Clinton
40% Christie

If the 2016 election for president was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]

47% Christie
42% Cuomo

...

I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name:

63-25 favorable - Christie (+38)
67-31 favorable - Clinton (+36)
61-32 favorable - Cuomo (+29)

...

Siena College Research Institute
November 11-14, 2013
806 New York State Registered Voters
MOE +/- 3.5%

http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20November%202013%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf

http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY1113%20Crosstabs.pdf
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2013, 01:50:15 pm »

If the 2016 election for president was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]

56% Clinton
40% Christie

If the 2016 election for president was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]

47% Christie
42% Cuomo

...

I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name:

63-25 favorable - Christie (+38)
67-31 favorable - Clinton (+36)
61-32 favorable - Cuomo (+29)

...

Siena College Research Institute
November 11-14, 2013
806 New York State Registered Voters
MOE +/- 3.5%

http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20November%202013%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf

http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY1113%20Crosstabs.pdf

The age breakdown is off. They show the GOP doing as well among youngs as among olds.
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morgieb
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« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2013, 05:47:35 pm »

I'm not one to question polls, but Christie leading Cuomo is a bit WTF.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2013, 05:52:40 pm »

I'm not one to question polls, but Christie leading Cuomo is a bit WTF.

Yeah, it's bogus. The GOP has no chance whatsoever in New York. At all.
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Beet
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« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2013, 05:53:15 pm »

Christie's going to be a big problem for the Democrats. He's weighing heavily on the minds of party leaders.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2013, 05:57:45 pm »

Christie vs. Clinton by age:
18-34: Clinton +14
35-54: Clinton +10
55+: Clinton +22

Christie vs. Cuomo by age:
18-34: tie
35-54: Christie +12
55+: Christie +1

Also, even leaving aside the odd fact that Christie leads Cuomo, Clinton's overall 16 point lead over Christie would be the narrowest victory for the Dems in New York in a presidential race in over 20 years.....despite the fact that it's (sort of) her home state.
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Scott
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« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2013, 06:44:06 pm »

Does Siena have a good record?  I mean, this is a uni poll...
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JRP1994
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« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2013, 07:55:00 pm »

1) I highly question this poll. Let's get some more pollsters there, and check back in a year or so.

2) If this poll is accurate, Cuomo may be the DEMs equivalent of Ted Cruz - not ideologically, but insofar as he is an electoral disaster waiting to happen.
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #8 on: November 18, 2013, 08:51:36 pm »

Christie's going to be a big problem for the Democrats. He's weighing heavily on the minds of party leaders.

Seriously?  Why do Democrats hate fat people so much?

No Republican has a chance in New York.  They would have a better shot in California or Illinois, which says something because both of those are unattainable as well.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #9 on: November 18, 2013, 10:11:04 pm »

New York: Christie +5% over Cuomo

New Jersey: Christie +15% over Cuomo (PPP, 11/26-28/2012)

Could Christie win multiple New England states against Cuomo?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: November 19, 2013, 06:53:19 pm »

No Republican has a chance in New York.  They would have a better shot in California or Illinois, which says something because both of those are unattainable as well.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2013, 07:24:56 pm »

No Republican has a chance in New York.  They would have a better shot in California or Illinois, which says something because both of those are unattainable as well.
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Beet
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« Reply #12 on: November 19, 2013, 07:26:17 pm »

Christie's going to be a big problem for the Democrats. He's weighing heavily on the minds of party leaders.

Seriously?  Why do Democrats hate fat people so much?

Apologies. I am actually against the negative stigmatization of fat people. I guess the crack came just too easily to pass up, but I shouldn't have said it.
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #13 on: November 19, 2013, 08:06:50 pm »

Unless the Democratic nominee was a complete disaster, no Republican is winning New York. Democrats aren't exactly thrilled with Cuomo, but they'd hold their nose and vote for him.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: November 19, 2013, 08:32:13 pm »

Interesting. Probably a junk poll though.
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