IA: Harper (R): Braley up single-digits on Republicans

[Miles]

Article.

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Obama's approval is 34/55. FWIW, SMOR has Obama at the same -21 spread in LA.

[morgieb]

I don't like Harper, and the Obama approvals seem way off. So I'm still OK with this race.

[krazen1211]

I don't like Harper, and the Obama approvals seem way off. So I'm still OK with this race.

White flight from the Democratic party can result in such approvals.

[Miles]

I don't like Harper, and the Obama approvals seem way off. So I'm still OK with this race.

Polling commissioned by conservative partisan groups can result in such approvals.

[RogueBeaver]

IA was gone once Latham passed.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

IA was gone once Latham passed.

^This.

Though I wouldn't underestimate the effect of ObamaCare. The media's been on a rampage and anti-Obama blitz for the past month, and somewhat rightly so.

[IceSpear]

This could've been a race had Republicans landed a good recruit. But the GOP isn't going to waste their money on a 3rd tier candidate when they have so many other good targets.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The Republicans have a better shot here then in either Michigan or Colorado in my opinion. Granted they have other opporunities so much so that this is eighth in the list but 1) You need alternates in case of candidate implosion and 2) how secure is 51 heading into 2016? Not Very!

[IceSpear]

The Republicans have a better shot here then in either Michigan or Colorado in my opinion. Granted they have other opporunities so much so that this is eighth in the list but 1) You need alternates in case of candidate implosion and 2) how secure is 51 heading into 2016? Not Very!

I think Michigan is a better target. Although it's a few points bluer than Iowa, they have a good candidate there, whereas whoever emerges from Iowa will be a Some Guy.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The Republicans have a better shot here then in either Michigan or Colorado in my opinion. Granted they have other opporunities so much so that this is eighth in the list but 1) You need alternates in case of candidate implosion and 2) how secure is 51 heading into 2016? Not Very!

I think Michigan is a better target. Although it's a few points bluer than Iowa, they have a good candidate there, whereas whoever emerges from Iowa will be a Some Guy.

I think the combination of demographics/PVI make Iowa just slightly easier nut to crack irregardless of candidate quality though.