So apparently Mississippi is now only two points more Republican than Colorado.
One (or both) of these polls are dead wrong.
Not necessarily.
I have already predicted that MS could be much closer than expected with Hillary on the ticket, because MS is relatively poor and there are population groups that would back Hillary more than Obama (poorer or middle-class white working women for example). Because Obama was a "Black", these groups either didn't vote for Obama or voted for him in smaller numbers.
On the other hand, Hillary would likely keep Obama's "black coalition" in MS, making her the overall stronger candidate there (but only slightly). I still think she'd only improve by a couple points at best.
Interesting also that Christie does much better than expected. I thought he'd be only tied in MS, because many tea-partiers might not vote for him or stay home. But considering the hated Hillary would be his opponent, that's not the case.
Also:
The MS poll might actually show a lead for the Republicans, well within 10% or even closer than that (maybe the Southern candidates Paul and Rubio up 5-10, while the Romney-like Christie and the not so well known Cruz about tied with Hillary):
MS is getting increasingly more "black". Blacks account for 38% of the population is MS and they account for 43% of all annual births in MS.
This means the percentage of Blacks will naturally increase until 2016, which helps the Democratic candidate there.
Also, I think Obama's black coalition will also come out for Hillary, because the Clintons have historically been strong with Blacks.
[/quote][/quote]
...
The fact that CO is moving strongly away from the Democrats now has probably to do with the legislative stuff in the state (gun votes etc.) and the Obamacare-f**kup.
So, I wouldn't rule out that both polls are more or less an accurate picture right now ...
