October Presidential Elections - The road to 270
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Author Topic: October Presidential Elections - The road to 270  (Read 619 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: November 30, 2013, 02:28:33 PM »
« edited: November 30, 2013, 03:04:55 PM by Cris »

This is a simulation of October Presidential elections (two-preferred vote) with the electoral college.
The number of electoral votes for each state is calculate according to the Voter List of the election day.
A great thanks to homelycooking!



"Welcome to the election night coverage. We have two candidates, two tickets.
The ticket with former Vice President Duke (Independent from South Carolina) and Northeast Speaker (and former presidential candidate) Matt (Federalist from Vermont) has received the endorsement of Federalist Party.
After a combated primary, the Labor Party has endorsed the ticket with Northeast Representative Dr. Cynic (from the state of Pennsylvania) and former GM Adam Griffin (from the state of Georgia).
Who will win? For the latest polls, Duke is in the lead but a surprise is possible."




PS: Nebraska have 7 electoral votes, but in the map the electoral votes are 5.


Is 7.00 PM and the poll has just closed in 6 states.

In the state of Virginia the race is too close to call.

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In the Matt’s home state of Vermont, we can now project a big victory for Duke and him.

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In the Duke’s home state of South Carolina, we can now project the victory for him.

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In the Adam Griffin’s home state of Georgia, the race is too close to call.

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In the state of Kentucky, Duke is the winner.

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Also in the state of Indiana, Duke is the winner.

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The situation at this hour:



Duke/Matt – 51 electoral votes
Dr. Cynic/Adam Griffin – 0 electoral votes


Too close/too early to call – 47 electoral votes


270 to win.

"No surprise from the states of South Carolina (Duke's home state) and Vermont (Matt's home state). Virginia is too close to call, with a great 33,3% of exhausted votes, but is really inpropable a prevalence of exhausted votes. Negative signal for the Dr. Cynic's campaign that we can't project the Adam Griffin's home state of Georgia for him. The latest polls showed a big lead of Dr. Cynic in this state, but the night is still long."
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PJ
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« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2013, 02:59:00 PM »

Didn't Indiana write-in JCL?
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2013, 03:04:14 PM »


I have considered the two-preferred vote (for all states).
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Lumine
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« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2013, 03:06:21 PM »

I would prefer to see the map with DemPGH, DallasFan, JCL and myself included, but fantastic work, Cris!
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #4 on: November 30, 2013, 03:09:32 PM »

I would prefer to see the map with DemPGH, DallasFan, JCL and myself included, but fantastic work, Cris!

After this work, I will insert the map with all candidates. Smiley
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GAworth
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« Reply #5 on: December 02, 2013, 01:48:58 AM »

Keep up the good work, it is an interesting idea, and this map nerd loves it.
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Supersonic
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« Reply #6 on: December 02, 2013, 06:45:35 AM »

Ooh, this looks interesting. Cheesy
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #7 on: December 02, 2013, 02:10:08 PM »

Is 7.30 PM and the poll has closed in 3 states.

In the state of Ohio, we can now project that Duke has won.

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In West Virginia, Duke is the winner

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Also in the state of North Carolina, we can now project that Duke is the winner.

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We remember that in the state of Georgia (Adam Griffin’s home state) and Virginia is still too close to call.

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The situation at this hour:



Duke/Matt – 84 electoral votes

Dr. Cynic/Adam Griffin – 0 electoral votes


Too close/too early to call – 47 electoral votes


“Big victory for the Duke/Matt ticket in Ohio, West Virginia and North Carolina. This is a good signal for the Duke campaign, but in the great state of Virginia is still too close to call, with a parish of Duke's votes and Exhausted votes. Also is too close to call in Georgia. With the 67% reporting we have a parish but in the counties that haven't finished the scrutiny, Dr. Cynic is in the lead.”

Is 7.46 PM and we can now project that Dr. Cynic has won the state of Georgia.

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The situation at this hour:



Duke/Matt – 84 electoral votes

Dr. Cynic/Adam Griffin – 18 electoral votes


Too close/too early to call – 29 electoral votes


“Great victory for the labor ticket in the state of Georgia. In the next poll closing, we have a important states for Dr. Cynic campaign, Pennsylvania (his home state) for example.”
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2013, 04:43:02 AM »

This looks really cool!
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #9 on: December 06, 2013, 03:05:13 PM »

Is 8:00 PM and the poll has just closed in 16 states.

In the state of Florida, the race is too early to call, but Duke is in the lead.

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In the state of Maryland, the race is too close to call.

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Also in the Dr. Cynic’s home state of Pennsylvania, is too close to call.

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In the state of Illinois, we can now project that Dr. Cynic is the winner.

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In Massachusetts, the race is too close to call.

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In the state of Missouri, Duke is the winner

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In the state of New Jersey, we project that the race is ended in a draw.

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Also in the state of Rhode Island, we project that the race is ended in a draw.

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In Tennessee we can now project that Duke has won.

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In the state of Alabama, we project the victory for Dr. Cynic

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In Connecticut, Duke is the winner

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Also in the state of Delaware, Duke is the winner.

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In Maine the victory is for “the People Team”

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In the state of New Hampshire, the victory is for Duke

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Also, Mr. Duke wins Oklahoma

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Also, Mr. Duke has won in Washington DC

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We remember that in the state of Virginia is still too close to call.
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The situation at this hour:



Duke/Matt – 122 electoral votes

Dr. Cynic/Adam Griffin – 37 electoral votes

Tie – 14 electoral votes


Too close/too early to call – 95 electoral votes


"In the Dr. Cynic's home state of Pennsylvania, surprisingly, is too close to call. The polls were showed that Dr. Cynic was in big lead in this state. Also is too close to call in Massachusetts, Maryland and in the state of Florida, Duke is in the lead.
Big lead for Duke in the electoral votes count, but the races in Pennsylvania, Massachusetts and Maryland (for a total of 48 votes) can change the night."
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #10 on: December 06, 2013, 04:59:19 PM »
« Edited: December 07, 2013, 05:04:56 PM by HagridOfTheDeep »

If we want to shake things up, this system could be pretty interesting for our elections, actually. Mobility rules would have to change, but, at the same time, an Operation Cottonfield type of thing would just concentrate EVs somewhere else and hurt the party's chances wherever the EVs were taken from.
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hawkeye59
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« Reply #11 on: December 07, 2013, 11:14:28 AM »

This is actually very interesting, but I think that we could have a problem with ties.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #12 on: December 07, 2013, 05:08:26 PM »

I mean, it's so preliminary at the moment, but we could probably figure something out...

Cris, what exactly is your methodology here? If this was to become a voting system, I guess individual states' EVs would be assigned by preferential elections within the state, right? I'd be curious to see how this system would've applied to other past elections too.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #13 on: December 07, 2013, 05:14:01 PM »
« Edited: December 07, 2013, 05:32:19 PM by Talleyrand »

I mean, it's so preliminary at the moment, but we could probably figure something out...

Cris, what exactly is your methodology here? If this was to become a voting system, I guess individual states' EVs would be assigned by preferential elections within the state, right? I'd be curious to see how this system would've applied to other past elections too.

If we did any sort of electoral college in a presidential election, wouldn't it have to be done by region? I couldn't imagine how we could support it by state, especially when we have 50 states, and a 150 citizens. It is certainly an interesting idea, but my fear is that most regions would become safe for one party or another (it certainly isn't that way now) and we'd end up with one or two competitive regions, which could dull up the game. I'd love to hear more about it though if people can get something concrete going.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #14 on: December 07, 2013, 05:24:18 PM »

It wouldn't work with the regions I don't think, mostly for the reasons you stated. It would get too locked in. State-by-state may look strange at first going by the small number of people in each state, but if the EVs reflected registration numbers, it would arguably be fair... And it may add some importance to the state a person registers in. Inner-region moves could provide interesting opportunities for strategizing. It's sort of the same as our system now but with a bit more risk. I don't think it would inherently favour one party over the other either.

To be honest, I don't even know why I'm so excited by this. It just looks really neat. My interest with Atlasia is at zero right now, so why not at least think about something different?

(If this is full of mistakes, I apologize... I'm on my phone. Tongue)
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