IA-Quinnipiac: Braley leads by 3-11 points
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  IA-Quinnipiac: Braley leads by 3-11 points
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Author Topic: IA-Quinnipiac: Braley leads by 3-11 points  (Read 860 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: December 18, 2013, 07:42:51 AM »

In the 2014 Senate race, U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley, the Democrat, gets 43 percent, while U.S. Attorney Matt Whitaker, the Republican, gets 40 percent.

Braley tops other possible Republican contenders:

    44 - 38 percent over State Sen. Joni Ernst;
    46 - 37 percent over businessman Mark Jacobs;
    44 - 36 percent over former U.S. Senate aide David Young;
    45 - 34 percent over radio commentator Sam Clovis;
    46 - 40 percent over political activist Bob Vander Plaats.

...

President Barack Obama gets a negative 38 - 59 percent job approval rating among Iowa voters, according to a poll released today, his lowest score in the state and one of his lowest in any state or national survey conducted by Quinnipiac University.

This compares to a negative 41 - 55 percent approval rating in a July 22 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

President Obama gets negative scores of 30 - 67 percent among men, 45 - 51 percent among women, 7 - 93 percent among Republicans and 31 - 62 percent among independent voters. Democrats approve 82 - 15 percent.

...

From December 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,617 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=1990
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: December 18, 2013, 06:27:29 PM »

Republicans really screwed up here (and in Colorado). Would've been great 2nd tier races for them in the event of a wave.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: December 18, 2013, 09:20:31 PM »

It seems Whitaker makes it interesting, but still starts behind.
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morgieb
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« Reply #3 on: December 18, 2013, 09:24:17 PM »

Republicans really screwed up here (and in Colorado). Would've been great 2nd tier races for them in the event of a wave.
They're still winnable in a wave. But they should've made them a race, and they don't look like being so in neutral circumstances.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: December 18, 2013, 09:59:34 PM »

This race is definitely in reach for Republicans if we can nominate an appealing candidate and if they are able to define themself before Braley can.
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Vosem
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« Reply #5 on: December 18, 2013, 10:53:36 PM »

Did they do a primary test? I don't think I've seen a single one with the actual field. I'm inclined to think Whitaker is the frontrunner (and he'd be able to beat Braley in a big enough wave, imo, unlike Young or Clovis), but I'd like to see some polling confirmation.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: December 19, 2013, 11:18:07 AM »

This Senate race looks much like the open-seat in Michigan -- the Democratic Representative running for the US Senate has an early small lead over people who have either statewide or no voting records. Low approvals for President Obama don't cripple the apparent Democratic nominee. What is different in Iowa is

(1) that the Iowa Republicans have a contest for the nomination, and  the wild-and-crazy fellow could win. Even if the wild-and-crazy fellow doesn't win, he can force the debate into unpopular areas. 

(2) the incumbent Republican Governor of Iowa  has avoided controversial positions adequately enough to avoid becoming a brittle target in November. Democrats can concentrate their efforts on one race in Iowa.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #7 on: January 02, 2014, 03:02:26 PM »

Republicans really screwed up here (and in Colorado). Would've been great 2nd tier races for them in the event of a wave.
They're still winnable in a wave. But they should've made them a race, and they don't look like being so in neutral circumstances.
Hopefully they can.  I'm kind of bummed none of the higher-profile Republicans got into the race.
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