No surprise. Honestly, I'd rather support Smith, since Brown would just be seen as a carpetbagger if he ran.
And BTW: Shaheen may be ahead right now, but it's still early, which gives the GOP enough time to turn this race around. I hope they do.
Doesn't bode well for you guys... Your best bet is finding a Ron Johnson-type - all the first-tier and most of the second-tier candidates have declined. Baldasaro isn't a good candidate at all despite having ten years of political experience. He's basically the Louie Gohmert of my state's house. Rubens is weak, Smith has been too far away from NH, and Testerman's views aren't compatible with NH. Finding someone with business experience (like Fred Tausch or Bill Binnie) would be your best bet at a pickup. I can tell you right now that it looks like the NHGOP is banking on a Scott Brown run.
As for the poll, as much as I'd like to believe it, it's ARG. Oldies has a better chance at believing a PPP poll than I do believing this.