Would Georgia be a D state without the mountains? (user search)
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  Would Georgia be a D state without the mountains? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Would Georgia be a D state without the mountains?  (Read 2002 times)
Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« on: December 26, 2013, 12:44:27 AM »

If y'all took the border down by about 50 miles, and every county that the 50 mile line touched would be ceded, Obama would have won the state in 2008 by three points, which was very similar to the 2012 result. Y'all would keep Cobb County (yay), but the line is pretty close to Athens, but they're still yours! Unfortunately, 1.5 million people live in these counties, so you'd lose either two or three congressional districts, depending on how fast Southern Georgia and the Atlanta metro area grows.

Georgia would look pretty weird:

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Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2013, 01:01:32 AM »

Looking at the 2008-2012 swing, it looks like Southern Georgia stayed relatively the same, but Northern Georgia trended strongly to the Republican, so this new and mountainless Georgia might have been won by the same percentage in 2012 as 2008.

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Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2013, 01:22:54 AM »

awesome guys! What if you only moved the border 30 miles south? This way you still have Cherokee and Forsyth counties.

If you include every county that was touched by the 30 mile line:



Then Obama would lose the Mountainless Georgia by a point.
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