Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:32:05 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  International General Discussion (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 ... 64
Author Topic: Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins  (Read 159562 times)
Citizen Hats
lol-i-wear-hats
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 680
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #500 on: April 30, 2014, 02:24:02 PM »


Nothing surprising, in the aftermath of Redford resignation. It will tighten later, through.

The Liberals in 4th is surprising. You'd think they'd be challenging the Tories for 2nd considering.


I would expect a lot of Red-PCs to 'go home' as a it were, but I never did like Raj Sherman all that much
Logged
Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,978
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #501 on: April 30, 2014, 02:45:37 PM »

lol
Logged
MaxQue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,600
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #502 on: April 30, 2014, 05:58:18 PM »

I thought NDG was a bunch of yuppies. How'd he even get a quarter of the vote?

I posted about him in the 2013 election thread, noting he had a tendency to say wierd things and than he was born in Bristol, UK.

He is also there since decades. Reputation built in part on painting white circles around potholes in 1998 to force the city to repair them quicker.

Defeated in 1990 for the Democratic Coalition for Loyola ward. Elected in 1994 for Montrealers Party for Loyola ward, elected as an independent in 1998, reeelected as Union Montreal in 2001. Defeated when he ran for borough mayorship in 2005 (for Team Jeremy Searle). Tried coming back in 2009 in his ward, as an independent, lost, but won back in 2013.

Article about him from 2009 (in English): http://www.lesactualites.ca/01_anciensite/?site=CDN&section=page&1=C090826&2=C090826_JeremySearle

He denied than the issue was his alcoholism and than the odor of alcohol during the council was from drunk journalists.

He said than he had an issue with alcohol, like he has an issue with his age (he thinks he is 2 times too old).
He also said than people not drinking alcohol during supper are losers.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/montreal/201404/30/01-4762414-probleme-dalcool-le-conseiller-searle-se-defend-et-en-rajoute.php

That guy is dangerous.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #503 on: April 30, 2014, 06:15:34 PM »

Resize the image please.
Logged
Citizen Hats
lol-i-wear-hats
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 680
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #504 on: April 30, 2014, 06:33:35 PM »


sorry, didn't realize it was quite so gigantic
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #505 on: April 30, 2014, 09:00:55 PM »

Q1 fundraising # are out. Tories $4.5 million, Grits 3.8, Dippers 2.5.
Logged
DC Al Fine
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,085
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #506 on: May 01, 2014, 07:16:40 AM »


Nothing surprising, in the aftermath of Redford resignation. It will tighten later, through.

Indeed. I'm curious how much of a bump Prentice will give them.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #507 on: May 01, 2014, 08:24:00 AM »

Tensions are rising between the government and Supreme Court, but little anyone can do since the Constitution's the ultimate source.
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,823
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #508 on: May 01, 2014, 11:03:21 AM »

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/toronto/rob-ford-takes-leave-as-new-drug-video-emerges/article18354671/

And we now have another Rob Ford video, which was shot in sisters basement, and involves the Toronto mayor taking a drag from a copper colored pipe.

Ford is now taking a "leave of absence"

God help Toronto and God help Canada if he is re-elected
Logged
Njall
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,019
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #509 on: May 01, 2014, 02:55:55 PM »


Nothing surprising, in the aftermath of Redford resignation. It will tighten later, through.

Indeed. I'm curious how much of a bump Prentice will give them.

A big one, if we're lucky.  One thing to note from that poll is that a quarter of the sample was undecided, and if this is anything like polls we saw leading up to the 2012 election (including from around the time that Stelmach stepped down), a large amount of those undecideds are past PC voters who are at this point unsure about whether they'll come home.  From that perspective, a big bump from Prentice could certainly make a comeback possible.  The WRP is definitely ahead at the moment, and there's absolutely no denying that.  However, PC fundraising numbers are still strong, and assuming that this poll is right, the WRP is still within the margin or error of their 2012 result (when you factor in all respondents).

Here's the poll document, for anyone who's interested.  Total sample results were 38% WRP, 25% undecided, 16% PC, 12% NDP, 8% Liberal, 1% other
Logged
Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,978
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #510 on: May 01, 2014, 03:34:20 PM »

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/toronto/rob-ford-takes-leave-as-new-drug-video-emerges/article18354671/

And we now have another Rob Ford video, which was shot in sisters basement, and involves the Toronto mayor taking a drag from a copper colored pipe.

Ford is now taking a "leave of absence"

God help Toronto and God help Canada if he is re-elected

We've already discussed this in the Ontario municipal elections thread Smiley
Logged
Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #511 on: May 01, 2014, 04:55:07 PM »

As Njall notes, the issue in that poll is undecided voters, which will almost certainly (but not definitely) break for the progressives. This would no doubt be attributed to a bump from the new leader, but realistically, the new leader probably won't have contributed much to that, unless it's someone like Rajotte, or if Morton ran again (and won this time). Red Tories are not the ones deserting the party and therefore not the reason Wildrose is once more leading in the polls, so changing one red leader for another will likely have negligible impact on poll support.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #512 on: May 01, 2014, 05:07:50 PM »

Yes, Trudeau's honeymoon is over.
Logged
Citizen Hats
lol-i-wear-hats
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 680
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #513 on: May 01, 2014, 07:02:29 PM »


Of course the 'honeymoon's' over. It's been over for a while now.  Honeymoons don't last a year. After a while, it just becomes a 'lead' 
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #514 on: May 01, 2014, 07:13:24 PM »

A pretty typical Den Tandt column on JT overall.
Logged
DC Al Fine
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,085
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #515 on: May 02, 2014, 07:33:45 AM »

So I was playing as the Tories in the 1993 PM4E scenario and managed to scrape together a Tory minority with 88 seats Tongue
Logged
DC Al Fine
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,085
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #516 on: May 02, 2014, 10:27:46 AM »

New CROP poll

PLQ: 40% (-2)
CAQ: 23% (nc)
PQ: 22% (-3)
QS: 11% (+4)
ON: 1 (nc)
Other: 2 (+1)

NDP: 33 (+2)
Liberal: 32 (-1)
Bloc: 20 (+1)
Conservative: 12 (-1)
Green: 4 (-2)

As expected, QS is benefiting from the PQ's declined. I'm a bit surprised at PLQ as they don't appear to be having a honeymoon.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,609
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #517 on: May 02, 2014, 11:05:48 AM »

Well they did just get whacked with a new set of corruption scandals.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #518 on: May 02, 2014, 02:07:23 PM »

Atleo's resigned as AFN chief, saying he didn't want to be a lightning rod on education issues.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #519 on: May 02, 2014, 05:18:48 PM »

More on Harper-McLachlin. Buried lede: apparently use of the notwithstanding clause is  being "not seriously" discussed.
Logged
DC Al Fine
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,085
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #520 on: May 05, 2014, 07:39:06 PM »

The slider thing at the top of the election atlas website has spots for 1979-2011, but only has maps for 1988-2011. Weird. Hopefully we get maps soon Cheesy
Logged
Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,978
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #521 on: May 05, 2014, 07:50:53 PM »

The slider thing at the top of the election atlas website has spots for 1979-2011, but only has maps for 1988-2011. Weird. Hopefully we get maps soon Cheesy

No, there's maps there now! Cheesy
Logged
MaxQue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,600
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #522 on: May 05, 2014, 07:58:50 PM »

The slider thing at the top of the election atlas website has spots for 1979-2011, but only has maps for 1988-2011. Weird. Hopefully we get maps soon Cheesy

No, there's maps there now! Cheesy

No, there isn't. It's the just the scale which is broken. 1988 is 1979, 1993 is between 1980 and 1984, etc...
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #523 on: May 05, 2014, 08:07:43 PM »

Tory Sen. Don Meredith has a few issues.

Agreed w/Ivison. I mean really, screwing BTB just because Industry is feeling miserly...
Logged
Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,978
Canada


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #524 on: May 05, 2014, 08:09:20 PM »

The slider thing at the top of the election atlas website has spots for 1979-2011, but only has maps for 1988-2011. Weird. Hopefully we get maps soon Cheesy

No, there's maps there now! Cheesy

No, there isn't. It's the just the scale which is broken. 1988 is 1979, 1993 is between 1980 and 1984, etc...

Works for me, he does have maps for 1979-1984 now Smiley
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 16 17 18 19 20 [21] 22 23 24 25 26 ... 64  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.059 seconds with 12 queries.