Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins

[RogueBeaver]

Mostly great polling numbers out of QC.

[DC Al Fine]

New provincial CRA polls

Nova Scotia
Liberal: 57 (-3)
PC: 21 (+1)
NDP: 19 (+1)
Green: 3 (+1)

PEI
Liberal: 53 (nc)
PC: 23 (+6)
NDP: 21 (-1)
Green: 3 (-4)

Nothing particularly interesting. The upswing for the PEI Tories is the result of them not being in the middle of a civil war anymore.

[RogueBeaver]

Harper names QC Court of Appeal justice Clement Gascon to Supreme Court as Fish successor.

[RogueBeaver]

Awful: ongoing shooting in Moncton.

[RogueBeaver]

3 Mounties killed, 2 w/non-life threatening injuries.

[Hatman 🍁]

[RogueBeaver]

RCMP says shooter still at large.

[RogueBeaver]

Moncton mayor will be holding a presser in a few minutes.

[RogueBeaver]

Hospital says 2 victims in stable condition.

[Hatman 🍁]

Suspect is a gun nut, surprise, surprise.

[Tender Branson]

Reminds me of that Austrian case last year ...

Horrible.

[Hatman 🍁]

Moncton is in lockdown mode today, schools are shut down, public transit shut down, people are encouraged to stay in their homes, especially in the neighbourhood where the RCMP officers were shot.

[Hatman 🍁]

CBC News livestream: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/moncton-shooting-manhunt-on-for-killer-of-3-rcmp-officers-1.2665707

[Hatman 🍁]

Police have surrounded a building. People making fun of CBC for showing pictures of the area, because people can easily look it up (police are telling people to not reveal their locations).

[RogueBeaver]

National Post profiles one of the murdered Mounties. He has a young family with a second child on the way.

[Hash]

Our Dear Leader had some trouble figuring out how to shake two hands at the same time (the picture doesn't do justice, but a video is hilarious):



vs.

[Hatman 🍁]

Suspect about to be in detention!

[Hatman 🍁]

Unconfirmed reports that the suspect is being taken into custody.

[DC Al Fine]

New Brunswick poll is out:

Liberal: 53% (+10)!
PC: 28% (-3)
NDP: 16% (-5)
Green 4% (-1)

NDP still probably win a couple seats in Saint John with no numbers, but they won't make a substantial breakthrough.

[RogueBeaver]

NDP MP Manon Perreault is suspended from caucus due to criminal charges of false accusations of theft and misleading police.

[Hatman 🍁]

New Brunswick poll is out:

Liberal: 53% (+10)!
PC: 28% (-3)
NDP: 16% (-5)
Green 4% (-1)

NDP still probably win a couple seats in Saint John with no numbers, but they won't make a substantial breakthrough.

Hmm, more likely just the leader.

[MaxQue]

New Brunswick poll is out:

Liberal: 53% (+10)!
PC: 28% (-3)
NDP: 16% (-5)
Green 4% (-1)

NDP still probably win a couple seats in Saint John with no numbers, but they won't make a substantial breakthrough.

Hmm, more likely just the leader.

No, he announced he would run in his home city, in Fredericton West-Hanwell. It's a new riding, rurban, covering west Frederiction and rural areas, but I would guess a notional of 16% (NDP polled 16% in both former ridings (York and Fredericton-Silverwood).

[Hatman 🍁]

New Brunswick poll is out:

Liberal: 53% (+10)!
PC: 28% (-3)
NDP: 16% (-5)
Green 4% (-1)

NDP still probably win a couple seats in Saint John with no numbers, but they won't make a substantial breakthrough.

Hmm, more likely just the leader.

No, he announced he would run in his home city, in Fredericton West-Hanwell. It's a new riding, rurban, covering west Frederiction and rural areas, but I would guess a notional of 16% (NDP polled 16% in both former ridings (York and Fredericton-Silverwood).

I know that. I was saying that he will probably win his riding, but the NDP wont win anything else, even in Saint John.

[MaxQue]

New Brunswick poll is out:

Liberal: 53% (+10)!
PC: 28% (-3)
NDP: 16% (-5)
Green 4% (-1)

NDP still probably win a couple seats in Saint John with no numbers, but they won't make a substantial breakthrough.

Hmm, more likely just the leader.

No, he announced he would run in his home city, in Fredericton West-Hanwell. It's a new riding, rurban, covering west Frederiction and rural areas, but I would guess a notional of 16% (NDP polled 16% in both former ridings (York and Fredericton-Silverwood).

I know that. I was saying that he will probably win his riding, but the NDP wont win anything else, even in Saint John.

I have huge doubts he will win in Frederiction. It's a quite weak area for NDP. I would think than if Cardy (the leader wins), they won Saint Jonh Harbour and at least another Saint John riding. Personally, I think they'll win nothing.

[Hatman 🍁]

New Brunswick poll is out:

Liberal: 53% (+10)!
PC: 28% (-3)
NDP: 16% (-5)
Green 4% (-1)

NDP still probably win a couple seats in Saint John with no numbers, but they won't make a substantial breakthrough.

Hmm, more likely just the leader.

No, he announced he would run in his home city, in Fredericton West-Hanwell. It's a new riding, rurban, covering west Frederiction and rural areas, but I would guess a notional of 16% (NDP polled 16% in both former ridings (York and Fredericton-Silverwood).

I know that. I was saying that he will probably win his riding, but the NDP wont win anything else, even in Saint John.

I have huge doubts he will win in Frederiction. It's a quite weak area for NDP. I would think than if Cardy (the leader wins), they won Saint Jonh Harbour and at least another Saint John riding. Personally, I think they'll win nothing.

I don't know. He nearly won the Rothesay by-election, which is the richest riding in the province. I do think he picked the wrong Fredericton riding though. According to this: http://blunt-objects.blogspot.ca/2014/05/new-brunswick-provincial-redistribution.html he should be running in Fredericton South, not Fredericton West-Hanwell.

The south side of Fredericton is quite left leaning, the NDP won the area in the federal election.