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  International General Discussion (Moderators: Gustaf, afleitch, Hash, Both Sides)
  Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins
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Author Topic: Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins  (Read 132561 times)
DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1550 on: June 19, 2015, 08:05:58 pm »

Rempel has no interest in leadership.

News to me. Who does that leave? Rob Nicholson is the only other prominent Red I can think of, and I doubt he wants the job.

The next leadership convention is looking more and more like a Kenney landslide.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1551 on: June 19, 2015, 08:52:01 pm »

Lisa Raitt, maybe? She herself has left the door open. Nicholson seems a natural pick for interim leader.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1552 on: June 19, 2015, 09:57:38 pm »

Lisa Raitt, maybe? She herself has left the door open. Nicholson seems a natural pick for interim leader.

Raitt would get demolished over his "cancer is sexy" comment.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1553 on: June 19, 2015, 10:23:10 pm »

Lisa Raitt, maybe? She herself has left the door open. Nicholson seems a natural pick for interim leader.

Raitt would get demolished over his "cancer is sexy" comment.

Is that even relevant given that Kenney is set to demolish whoever runs against him? The Reds need someone reasonably prominent to run, and they're short on candidates.

Besides, it was 6 years ago, and even most political junkies don't remember it.

Given how non-delegated leadership conventions tend to have few candidates. I imagine the field will be as follows:

1) Kenney
2) Red Tory (Raitt maybe?)
3) Bernier
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1554 on: June 20, 2015, 02:19:45 am »

I'm sorry, I haven't been following Canadian politics of late.  Can someone give me a brief explanation of what prompted the massive surge in support for the NDP in the recent national polling?
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136or142
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« Reply #1555 on: June 20, 2015, 03:14:47 am »

Lisa Raitt, maybe? She herself has left the door open. Nicholson seems a natural pick for interim leader.

Raitt would get demolished over his "cancer is sexy" comment.

Is that even relevant given that Kenney is set to demolish whoever runs against him? The Reds need someone reasonably prominent to run, and they're short on candidates.

Besides, it was 6 years ago, and even most political junkies don't remember it.

Given how non-delegated leadership conventions tend to have few candidates. I imagine the field will be as follows:

1) Kenney
2) Red Tory (Raitt maybe?)
3) Bernier

Tony Clement and Chris Alexander may also run, and don't count Peter MacKay out of running just because he isn't running for reelection.  He's already said he plans on coming back.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1556 on: June 20, 2015, 07:12:45 am »

I'm sorry, I haven't been following Canadian politics of late.  Can someone give me a brief explanation of what prompted the massive surge in support for the NDP in the recent national polling?


Justin Trudeau and the Liberals stumbled since they voted for a Conservative security bill that was very unpopular with progressives.

The NDP surged in Alberta in part because they were the main alternative for a great many voters who didn't want service cuts in the recession.

There are a huge number of progressive voters who aren't tied to any party, so the NDP surge, and Liberal stumble caused a lot of people to jump ship quickly nationwide.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #1557 on: June 20, 2015, 07:54:33 am »

I'm sorry, I haven't been following Canadian politics of late.  Can someone give me a brief explanation of what prompted the massive surge in support for the NDP in the recent national polling?


Alberta.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1558 on: June 20, 2015, 11:41:35 am »

James Moore has also said that he wants to run again and probably soon.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1559 on: June 25, 2015, 06:30:37 am »
« Edited: June 25, 2015, 06:33:31 am by MaxQue »

Angryphones threaten to kill Longueuil mayoress because she wants City Council to work in French, in a 96% French city.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/caroline-st-hilaire-receives-death-threats-over-language-comments-1.3127024

Not stated in article, but the root of all that, is the Opposition Leader saying everything he says in both languages, to stall and delay things.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1560 on: June 25, 2015, 07:41:46 am »

Star found the Wynne documentary.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1561 on: June 26, 2015, 01:30:00 pm »

NL-VOCM: 53/25/21. Most of that Dipper gain is from Tories.

Senate votes to override Housakos and reclassify C-377 as government business to impose cloture.
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Adam T
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« Reply #1562 on: June 26, 2015, 10:16:39 pm »

Star found the Wynne documentary.

She comes across a lot better than Lester Pearson apparently did in his unaired documentary.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1563 on: June 26, 2015, 10:41:46 pm »

NL-VOCM: 53/25/21. Most of that Dipper gain is from Tories.


With those regional numbers, the Tories might hold on to a couple seats in Avalon (Ferryland and Cape St. Francis), and the NDP might win 3 or 4 seats in St. John's, while the Liberals would win everything else.
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Fmr. Assemblyman Njall
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« Reply #1564 on: July 03, 2015, 10:53:59 pm »

Interesting Alberta Provincial poll from Mainstreet Technologies.

How Albertans (polled) would vote in the next provincial election:

WRP: 33%
NDP: 26%
PC: 20%
ALP: 3%
ABP: 2%
Undecided: 17%

The NDP are still FAR ahead in Edmonton, but the PCs are narrowly ahead in Calgary, and the WRP is ahead in the rest of Alberta.

Interestingly, despite the NDP's sharp fall in voter support, Rachel Notley's personal approval numbers are still quite good.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #1565 on: July 09, 2015, 11:46:26 am »
« Edited: July 09, 2015, 11:48:38 am by New Canadaland »

Wildrose always leads in polls well before an election. I'm not getting worried about Notley. At least until the Foothills by-election.

Forum poll says NDP continues to lead in Ontario provincially. No leader is popular, although Horwath's approvals are decent. Forum says the NDP would take a plurality of seats, unlike the last poll where PCs lead in seats despite trailing in the popular vote.
Img
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1566 on: July 13, 2015, 07:13:08 am »

Wildrose always leads in polls well before an election. I'm not getting worried about Notley. At least until the Foothills by-election.

Agreed. Even if they have a disastrous term and get booted out of office, they shouldn't start worrying unless it's <1 year to election time and they are losing. Wynne managed to incxrease her seat count despite being down in the polls early.

Forum poll says NDP continues to lead in Ontario provincially. No leader is popular, although Horwath's approvals are decent. Forum says the NDP would take a plurality of seats, unlike the last poll where PCs lead in seats despite trailing in the popular vote.
Img


Forum's seat projections are garbage as Hatman and RB can attest.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1567 on: July 26, 2015, 11:51:02 am »

Flora Macdonald has died at 89. RIP.
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #1568 on: July 26, 2015, 01:47:03 pm »

Flora Macdonald has died at 89. RIP.
Indeed; Scenes From A Leadership Convention was a great documentary that covered her campaign for the Prog. Con leadership. I was just watching that a few days ago for the third time. Its a great insight into 1970s Canadian politics.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1569 on: July 26, 2015, 02:21:24 pm »

Indeed, great doc. There's not nearly enough PC historiography IMO.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1570 on: July 26, 2015, 04:29:29 pm »

Just found out. RIP.

One of the Red Tories that jumped to the NDP after the merger.
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Mynheer Peeperkorn
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« Reply #1571 on: July 27, 2015, 09:48:38 am »

Does anyone know a seats calculator according to %? Thanks.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #1572 on: July 27, 2015, 10:19:39 am »

There are a few, but you'd honestly have more luck with a random number generator.
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Mynheer Peeperkorn
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« Reply #1573 on: July 27, 2015, 12:19:52 pm »

There are a few, but you'd honestly have more luck with a random number generator.

lol, thanks.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1574 on: July 27, 2015, 05:44:15 pm »

Harper has appointed Alberta Court of Appeal Justice Russell Brown to replace Rothstein, effective Aug. 31.
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