Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 16, 2019, 01:34:02 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Christie trails Clinton by 13 points in new NBC/Marist poll
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Christie trails Clinton by 13 points in new NBC/Marist poll  (Read 2451 times)
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,603


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 15, 2014, 04:38:56 pm »

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2014/01/15/22316680-poll-christie-cruising-through-bridge-scandal-so-far?lite


Quote
Christie trails Clinton in a national match up

Despite those numbers, Christie has lost ground to Hillary Clinton in an early hypothetical presidential match up. In this current poll, he trails Clinton by 13 points, 50 percent to 37 percent among nationwide voters.

But in the same poll a month ago, Clinton’s lead was a mere three points, 48 percent to 45 percent.

Chuck Todd talks to Tom Brokaw about how Christie's bridge scandal dominated his State of the State address headlines and what this could mean for his political future.

“Up against a likely Hillary candidacy, the argument that Christie is positioned to win back the White House [for Republicans] is far from automatic,” Miringoff says.

What’s also problematic for Christie is that his favorability rating is upside down – with 28 percent viewing him positively and 30 percent viewing him negatively.

By comparison, Clinton’s fav/unfav rating is a net positive (50 percent positive, 38 percent negative), while President Barack Obama’s is a net negative (41 percent to 48 percent).
Logged
WeAreDoomed
outofbox6
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,625
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2014, 04:44:18 pm »

Bye Christie.
Hello Walker.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,556


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2014, 05:41:24 pm »

Bye Christie.
Hello Walker.

Bye Christie.
Bye Walker.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,699
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2014, 06:37:43 pm »

I love those numbers, but this is most likely a temporary thing since there is a bridge scandal that  is airing 24/7
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,351
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2014, 06:42:12 pm »

But only down 2 in MI?

lolHarper.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,615
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2014, 07:33:36 pm »

Wonderful news! And Marist is a high quality polling firm as well.
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2014, 08:28:30 pm »

Clinton 50%
Christie 37%

men: Clinton +2
women: Clinton +23
whites: Christie +2
blacks: Clinton +70
Latinos: Clinton +21
college graduates: Clinton +11
not college graduate: Clinton +15
age 18-29: Clinton +28
age 30-44: Clinton +17
age 45-59: Clinton +7
age 60+: Clinton +10

fav/unfav:
Clinton 51/39% for +12%
Christie 29/32% for -3%
Obama 41/48% for -7%
Logged
seanNJ9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 508
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2014, 08:49:57 pm »

Likelyhood Clinton beats Christie with men. 0%
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2014, 09:34:18 pm »

Marist has always been way friendlier to Clinton than most polls for some reason.
Logged
Scott
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,299
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2014, 10:28:08 pm »

Interesting to see Hillary performing better with youngs than olds when other polls showed the inverse to be the case...
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2014, 10:33:11 pm »

Interesting to see Hillary performing better with youngs than olds when other polls showed the inverse to be the case...

Almost every poll has the under 30s as her best group, at least in matchups against Republican candidates.  It's just that when you get to the subsamples older than 30, she has a flatter age gap than Obama had in 2008 and 2012…..with many polls (though not this one) showing her doing better among the over 65s than the 30-45s.
Logged
Edgar Suit Larry
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,949
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2014, 10:53:03 pm »

Interesting to see Hillary performing better with youngs than olds when other polls showed the inverse to be the case...

Almost every poll has the under 30s as her best group, at least in matchups against Republican candidates.  It's just that when you get to the subsamples older than 30, she has a flatter age gap than Obama had in 2008 and 2012…..with many polls (though not this one) showing her doing better among the over 65s than the 30-45s.


Clinton seems to be doing ok with the kids but seems to have problems with middle aged people who are probably doing the best they ever will while Obama had a problem with retired people. Maybe its a rich person thing?
Logged
eric82oslo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,312
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2014, 11:14:06 pm »

I love those numbers, but this is most likely a temporary thing since there is a bridge scandal that  is airing 24/7

I agree, though; it will get (much) worse before it starts getting better for him though.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,641
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2014, 11:15:47 pm »

But only down 2 in MI?

lolHarper.

It's for an entity with the word "Conservative" in its name. Enough said.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,356


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 16, 2014, 02:42:25 am »

If this trend continues his big money backers are going to dry up. Let's face it, his supposed cross-over appeal and electability vs. Hillary was his primary strength. Without that he really has nothing. He is just another NE RINO.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,505
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 16, 2014, 02:53:54 am »

Momentum!!!1!!!
Logged
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,488
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 16, 2014, 03:03:18 am »

Christie's high point is over, and any boost he got from his re-election is deflated. Sure, early polling doesn't mean much, but Christie's main plus was the electability argument and if he doesn't have that, he has nothing to lock down a lot establishment support. Save for his nominal bipartisan credentials and nominally moderate profile, Christie isn't much different than the rest of the Republican field.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 25,676
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 16, 2014, 06:53:06 am »

I think if the election were held today, it would look like 2012 but maybe NC instead of Va and Florida goes to Clinton.
Logged
Scott
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,299
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: January 16, 2014, 12:11:57 pm »

I think if the election were held today, it would look like 2012 but maybe NC instead of Va and Florida goes to Clinton.

Why would Clinton carry North Carolina but lose Virginia and Florida?
Logged
RJEvans
MasterRegal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 496
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: January 17, 2014, 04:08:56 pm »

Clinton won't win men and she won't win whites. Each of which have gotten more conservative over the last 8 years.

Second, Clinton won't have a +12 favorable rating on election day.

Definitely an outlier. I think a Clinton-Christie race is within 5 points today.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 25,676
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: January 18, 2014, 08:44:44 am »

This poll puts to rest the doubters that Ohio isn't really in play with with Portman up for reelection or running on the natl ticket. The 272 firewall with or without Ohio is very much in tack.
Logged
MATTROSE94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,571
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: January 18, 2014, 05:20:39 pm »
« Edited: January 18, 2014, 05:31:41 pm by MATTROSE94 »

I think if the election were held today, it would look like 2012 but maybe NC instead of Va and Florida goes to Clinton.
Hillary Clinton would easily carry Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and maybe even Georgia and Missouri against any Republican candidate and might even get above 40% of the vote in Kentucky, Arkansas and West Virginia.
Logged
Mynheer Peeperkorn
Peeperkorn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,777
Uruguay


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -8.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2014, 07:34:39 am »

Bye Christie.
Hello Walker.

Bye Christie.
Bye Walker.

This will be a republican massacre.

They deserve it.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC