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  PPP-NH: Hillary leads everyone
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Author Topic: PPP-NH: Hillary leads everyone  (Read 628 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: January 16, 2014, 12:42:26 pm »

Christie 43/39, everyone else by double digits.
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: January 16, 2014, 12:45:21 pm »

Came here to post that

'Was too slow tying out the actual toplines Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: January 16, 2014, 12:47:34 pm »

Something's wrong here:

Clinton+2 and +3 in NH and MI, but +13 in the US as a whole ?

That would only make some sense if she destroys Christie in the South while keeping the 2012 Obama margins in the "blue" states.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: January 16, 2014, 12:48:23 pm »

Came here to post that

'Was too slow tying out the actual toplines Tongue

You can still punch it in as always. Tongue That said the Christie bounce is intriguing, though in the end I'd expect NH to be a close race between he and Paul. For now I'm not that interested till Bush, Huck and Ryan opt out and are removed.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #4 on: January 16, 2014, 04:57:41 pm »

Something's wrong here:

Clinton+2 and +3 in NH and MI, but +13 in the US as a whole ?

That would only make some sense if she destroys Christie in the South while keeping the 2012 Obama margins in the "blue" states.

It probably means that Hillary is doing extremely well on the West Coast (especially in California, but also in Nevada, Washington, Oregon, New Mexico and Arizona), as well as in Illinois and Missouri. She can have created a big shift in Tennessee as well, just like she's currently done in many of the states surrounding it (Kentucky, Arkansas, Louisiana especially).

Even so, I think +13% is probably a slight overration of the actual current situation. It's more like +7-12% I think.
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morgieb
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« Reply #5 on: January 16, 2014, 05:18:43 pm »

Something's wrong here:

Clinton+2 and +3 in NH and MI, but +13 in the US as a whole ?

That would only make some sense if she destroys Christie in the South while keeping the 2012 Obama margins in the "blue" states.
Michigan poll was crap. Marist poll was OTT as well.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #6 on: January 16, 2014, 07:07:54 pm »

Something's wrong here:

Clinton+2 and +3 in NH and MI, but +13 in the US as a whole ?

That would only make some sense if she destroys Christie in the South while keeping the 2012 Obama margins in the "blue" states.

Hillary leading by 13 nationwide was a clear outlier. The poll showing her only up 2 in Michigan was also Republican slanted.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: January 16, 2014, 08:56:02 pm »

Clinton 49%
Bush 38%

Clinton 43%
Christie 39%

Clinton 51%
Cruz 32%

Clinton 50%
Paul 37%

So yes, both here and in the NC poll, Christie's still the strongest Republican in the GE matchups against Clinton.

Also...Christie vs. Clinton by age:
18-29: Clinton +32%
30-45: tie
46-65: tie
65+: Clinton +2%
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