CNN/ORC Poll: Clinton trounces Christie by 16 points
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  CNN/ORC Poll: Clinton trounces Christie by 16 points
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC Poll: Clinton trounces Christie by 16 points  (Read 1843 times)
henster
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« on: February 03, 2014, 04:23:00 PM »

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http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2014/02/03/cnnorc-poll-christies-loss-appears-to-be-clintons-gain/?hpt=hp_t2
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2014, 05:20:17 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2014, 06:26:48 PM by Likely Voter »

Christie's silver lining?
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EDIT: I now see that CNN had a bit of a math fail there...Ryan is doing 1 point better than Christie (v Clinton)
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2014, 06:01:32 PM »

Clinton 55%
Christie 39%

Clinton 57%
Bush 37%

Clinton 57%
Paul 39%

Clinton 56%
Huckabee 39%

Clinton 55%
Ryan 40%
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2014, 06:03:23 PM »

Christie's silver lining?
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Ummm since when is 16 less than 15 CNN?

Further confirmation that Christie is now just a generic Republican like the rest of them.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2014, 06:03:59 PM »

The Democratic nominee whoever it is should be advantaged.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2014, 06:28:13 PM »

Comparing the last CNN poll from November

Clinton v    Jan14  Nov13  (change)
Christie     -16      +2        (-18)
Ryan         -15      -8         (-7)
Paul          -18      -13       (-5)
Huckabee  -17      -15       (-2)
Bush         -20      -21       (+1)

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2014, 06:31:35 PM »

Unreal.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2014, 08:00:51 PM »

Wow, Hillary is such a horrible, scandal plagued candidate. Thankfully we have Brian Schweitzer waiting in the wings, to save us from an impending 15-20 point landslide. Wink
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #8 on: February 03, 2014, 10:39:43 PM »

Things are certainly not looking up for the GOP.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2014, 03:10:07 AM »

CNN shows Clinton up 15-20 against the Republicans.

A few days earlier, PPP showed Clinton ahead by 3 points.

How are such big differences even possible (notice that both were polling registered voters) ?
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2014, 04:07:54 AM »

See now all the moderate independents are going to Clinton after Christie's scandal.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2014, 10:33:45 AM »

CNN shows Clinton up 15-20 against the Republicans.

A few days earlier, PPP showed Clinton ahead by 3 points.

How are such big differences even possible (notice that both were polling registered voters) ?

PPP was an outlier.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_christie_vs_clinton-3766.html
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2014, 09:19:51 PM »
« Edited: February 04, 2014, 09:28:52 PM by Mr. Morden »

Looking at the crosstabs:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/02/04/rel3a.pdf

you can see that, again, even in his weakened state, Christie still has more crossover support than the other Republicans.  He gets 10% of Democrats to back him in the GE matchup with Clinton, higher than any of the other Republican candidates can manage.  And his deficit with Clinton among Independents is "only" 13 points, which is a narrower loss than the other GOP candidates.  It's just that he suffers more defections to Clinton among Republicans than the other candidates do, so his overall numbers aren't great.

One other notable thing on this is that Christie is notably stronger in the Northeast, compared to the other GOP candidates:

Bush vs. Clinton:
Northeast: Clinton +34
Midwest: Clinton +14
South: Clinton +12
West: Clinton +24

Christie vs. Clinton:
Northeast: Clinton +13
Midwest: Clinton +28
South: Clinton +4
West: Clinton +22

Ryan vs. Clinton:
Northeast: Clinton +29
Midwest: Clinton +20
South: Clinton +7
West: Clinton +12
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #13 on: February 05, 2014, 03:41:25 AM »

I expect PPP will try desperately to show that Hillary would be a terrible candidate since they are all probably hoping for a Schweitzer/Warren/O'Malley nominee to prevail.
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jfern
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« Reply #14 on: February 05, 2014, 03:45:12 AM »

Christie's silver lining?
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Ummm since when is 16 less than 15 CNN?

Further confirmation that Christie is now just a generic Republican like the rest of them.

CNN is just retarded.
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Holmes
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« Reply #15 on: February 05, 2014, 11:12:39 AM »

Make way for the queen.
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