OH-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all Republicans by at least 9 points

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac poll of Ohio:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=2010

Clinton 51%
Bush 36%

Clinton 50%
Rubio 36%

Clinton 51%
Paul 38%

Clinton 49%
Ryan 40%

Clinton 51%
Cruz 34%

Clinton 51%
Kasich 39%

Clinton 49%
Christie 36%

[Mr. Morden]

Do you think [fill in the blank] would make a good president?
yes/no

Clinton 55/39% for +16%
Ryan 36/44% for -8%
Kasich 34/47% for -13%
Bush 33/48% for -15%
Paul 32/47% for -15%
Rubio 27/43% for -16%
Christie 31/48% for -17%
Cruz 20/45% for -25%
Biden 27/64% for -37%

Obama job approval….
approve 40%
disapprove 55%

[eric82oslo]

Mr. Morden, you forgot this one:

Clinton: 49
Christie: 36

[JRP1994]

Three thoughts:

• LOLOL Joe Biden
• This is partially name recognition (Ryan doing best), but Christie/Kasich's performance against Clinton is god-awful bad.
• If Ohio goes to Clinton (assuming she holds the rest of the Rust Belt), then even Florida + Virginia + Colorado + New Hampshire + Iowa would only get the GOP to 267.

[Liberalrocks]

Wow, even if this poll happens to be a bit inflated in her favor she still is just utterly demolishing all opponents.

I do recall Ohio was quite fertile territory for her in the 2008 democratic primary against Obama as well. She could very well post better numbers in Ohio 2016 then Obama did in 2012.

[pbrower2a]

This is incredibly bad for Republicans trying to win the state in 2016. Ohio hasn't gone for any Presidential nominee by more than  7% since 1988 -- and then for the Republican  in a blowout.  Know well: Hillary Clinton has no connection to Ohio.

How bad is it for Republicans if they lose Ohio by 9% or more? They probably lose Indiana as well.

[eric82oslo]

I do recall Ohio was quite fertile territory for her in the 2008 democratic primary against Obama as well. She could very well post better numbers in Ohio 2016 then Obama did in 2012.

I think that is a no-brainer. She will for sure crush Obama both in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.

[IceSpear]

Dominating.

[Likely Voter]

Here is the change since their last poll, everyone dropped vs Hillary a bit, but (of course) especially Christie who is down a lot. But Rubio also has a significant drop.

Clinton v   Nov13    Feb14    Change
Christie    -1           -13         (-12)
Ryan        -8           -9           (-1)
Rubio       -9           -14         (-5)
Paul         -10         -13         (-3)
Kasich      -11         -12         (-1)
Bush        -13         -15         (-2)
Bush        -13         -15         (-2)
Cruz        -15         -17         (-2)

[JRP1994]

This is incredibly bad for Republicans trying to win the state in 2016. Ohio hasn't gone for any Presidential nominee by more than  7% since 1988 -- and then for the Republican  in a blowout.  Know well: Hillary Clinton has no connection to Ohio.

How bad is it for Republicans if they lose Ohio by 9% or more? They probably lose Indiana as well.

2008 Obama National Margin: +7.26%
2008 Obama Ohio Margin: +4.58% (R+2.68%)
2008 Obama Indiana Margin: +1.03% (R+6.23%)

In 2008, Indiana was 3.55% more Republican than Ohio.

2012 Obama National Margin: +3.86%
2012 Obama Ohio Margin: +2.97% (R+0.89%)
2012 Obama Indiana Margin: -10.18% (R+14.01%)

In 2012, Indiana was 13.12% more Republican than Ohio.

Averaging those two together, as is the standard procedure for calculating PVI, we conclude that Indiana is 8.36% more Republican than Ohio.

So, this poll would suggest that, assuming 1) that all else is held constant, and 2) that Ohio and Indiana swing together, then it is feasible that she could win the Hoosier State.

[Devils30]

No way Hillary would lose Colorado and win Ohio by this much. I'm sure things will even out

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton is more likely to go with Hickenlooper and win the Southwest track, than with Ohio alone. With the senate lineup of IL, CO and WI appearing favorable for Dems, than def rust belt senators like Portman.