States in which each party has over-performed since.....

[JRP1994]

This afternoon, I calculated the longevity of partisan leans in the 50 states + DC, to see how long the partisan leans have lasted. The following illustrations show for how many consecutive elections each party has over-performed their national margins in each state.

States in which each party has over-performed since 1920 (24 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1928 (22 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1936 (20 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1940 (19 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1948 (17 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1952 (16 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1960 (14 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1964 (13 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1968 (12 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1976 (10 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1980 (9 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1984 (8 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1988 (7 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 1992 (6 consecutive elections)

[JRP1994]

States in which each party has over-performed since 1996 (5 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 2000 (4 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 2004 (3 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 2008 (2 consecutive elections)

States in which each party has over-performed since 2012 alone (0 consecutive elections)

[Antonio the Sixth]

Fascinating!

[JRP1994]

Bump.

Question - which state might get a new trend starting in 2016?

[ElectionsGuy]

Bump.

Question - which state might get a new trend starting in 2016?

Possibly Iowa or Colorado for republicans, Ohio for democrats. But very interesting data, I appreciate the work you went threw to present this!

[eric82oslo]

Bump.

Question - which state might get a new trend starting in 2016?

Florida for Democrats. Probably a Whole bunch of state for Republicans, including Colorado and Iowa.

[DS0816]

I'm glad JPR1994 notes Pennsylvania with the Democratic tilts since 1952!

This site is loaded with Republicans having fantasies of the Keystone State while the party has its base through the Old Confederacy. (Sad.)