Mississippi 2015 Megathread

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Governor
D
1.Robert Gray

2.Vicki Slater,58, Personal Injury and Business Lawyer and Firm Owner, Former State Trial Lawyers Association President

3.Valerie Short,56, Obstetrician and Gynecologist

R
1.Phil Bryant,60, Mississippi Political History Professor, Former Insurance Fraud Investigator and former Deputy Sheriff, B.Sc-Criminal Justice, M.Sc-Political Science, State Representative 1990-1995, State Auditor 1995-2007, Lieutenant Governor 2007-2011, Governor 2011-

2.Mitch Young

Lieutenant Governor
D
1.Tim Johnson,55, Realtor and Insurance Agent, Elvis Impersonator, B.Sc-Marketing, Former  Madison City Councillor, Former Republican State Senator 1995-2003, Former Madison County Supervisor 2004-2012, 2011 Transportation Commissioner Candidate for Republican Nomination

2.Jelani Barr, Actor and Movie Crew Worker, 2013 candidate for Greenwood Mayor

R
1.Tate Reeves,41, Chartered Financial Analyst and Bank Assistant Vice President, B.Sc-Economics, College Basketball Player, State Treasurer 2003-2011, Lieutenant Governor 2011-

2.Alisha Nelson McElhenney, Science Teacher, A.Sc-Criminal Justice and Corrections, B.Sc-Nursing

Secretary of State
D
1.Charles Graham, Retired Firefighter and Assistant Director Hinds County Emergency Operations Center

R
1.Delbert Hoseman,68, Tax Lawyer and Firm Partner, B.A-Business Administration, Army Reserve, 1998 4th Congressional District Candidate for Nomination, Secretary of State 2007-

Attorney General
D
1.Jim Hood,53, Lawyer and Former Special Assistant State Attorney General, Former District Attorney Third Circuit Court District (appointed position), B.A-, Attorney General 2003-

R
1.Mike Hurst,40, Lawyer and Assistant U.S Attorney 2006-2015 (resigned to run for Attorney General), Former U.S Representative Chip Pickering Legislative Director, B.Sc-Political Science and Government

State Auditor
D
1.Joce Pritchett,48, Registered Professional Civil Engineer and Firm Owner (11 employees), Former President State Engineering Society, B.Sc-Civil Engineering, M.Sc-Civil Engineering, M.Sc-City Planning

R
1.Stacey Pickering,47, Howard Technology Solutions Director of Government Affairs and Inside Sales Manager, Mississippi National Guard Chaplain, B.A-, M.A-Marriage and Family Counseling, State Senator 2003-2007, State Auditor 2007-. 2012 Mitt Romney State Campaign Chair, Cousin of Chip Pickering

2.Mary Hawkins Butler,60, B.Sc-Business Administration, Former Madison City Councillor, Mayor of Madison (population 25,000) 1981-

State Treasurer
R
1.Lynn Fitch,54, Bond Lawyer and Former State Special Assistant Attorney General, State Personnel Board Executive Director, MBA, State Treasurer 2011-

2.David McRae,35, Lawyer (from wealthy family)


State Agriculture and Commerce Commissioner
D
1.Addie Green, Bolton Election Commissioner, Former Electrical Worker and Union Local President, B.A-Sociology, Former Bolton Town Councillor (population 629 (2000 census)) 2008-?, 2007 and 2011 Public Service Commission Nominee

R
1Cindy Hyde Smith, Cattle Farmer and Congressional Affairs Consultant, State Senator and Agriculture Committee Chair 1999-2011 (Democrat 1999-2010), State Agriculture and Commerce Commissioner 2011-

State Insurance Commissioner
R
1.Mike Chaney,71, Farmer and Forest Products Business Owner, Former President Vicksburg/Warren County Chamber of Commerce, Vietnam Veteran, B.Sc-Business and Finance, State Representative 1993-1999, State Senator 1999-2007, State Insurance Commissioner 2007-

2.John Mosley, Owner Clinton Body Shop Inc. (Auto Repair), 2005 Independent candidate for Clinton Mayor (38% of vote)

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1.What time do the polls close?
2.Will any radio stations be covering this?

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1.What time do the polls close?
2.Will any radio stations be covering this?

7 and WLOX TV in Biloxi will be doing some coverage that they will stream online.

Thanks! Much appreciated.

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How off will this be:

Right now
0% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING
    Robert Gray   0   0%
    Valerie Short   0   0%
    Vicki Slater   0   0%

At end
100% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING
    Robert Gray   0   0%
    Valerie Short   0   0%
    Vicki Slater   0   0%

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Gray leading Short 49-27 in early votes. Slater at 23.

Graymania!

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Gray leading Short 49-27 in early votes. Slater at 23.

A Jackson truck driver leads the Democratic primary. Amazing.

According to politics1.com and southernpoliticalreport.com Gray is a retired firefighter. Ron Gunzburger at Politics1 probably got his information from that second site, so they could both be wrong.

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Gray leading Short 49-27 in early votes. Slater at 23.

A Jackson truck driver leads the Democratic primary. Amazing.

According to politics1.com and southernpoliticalreport.com Gray is a retired firefighter. Ron Gunzburger at Politics1 probably got his information from that second site, so they could both be wrong.

Getting my info from this.

http://www.msnewsnow.com/story/29697842/candidates-in-mississippi-statewide-and-regional-primaries

No idea:
Three Democrats are running. Vicki Slater, 60, a Madison attorney and former president of Mississippi Association for Justice, a trial lawyers’ group, is favored over Dr. Valerie Short, an Air Force veteran, and retired firefighter Robert Gray. Slater will focus on the need for more funding for education and the failure of the state to expand its Medicaid coverage under Obamacare.

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Most truck drivers are good people, as are most fire fighters.

My guess is about half the callers to the ridiculous talk show Coast to Coast that I listen to are truck drivers and a lot of them are quite intelligent.  Wouldn't expect a truck driver or a fire fighter who raised no money and apparently didn't even campaign to lead though.

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77% reporting Gray is now slightly over 50%

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Jim Hood could really suffer with Slater not at the top of the ticket, although I still think he's narrowly favored.

I think Hood should be fine. He won huge landslides at the same time Eaves and DuPree were going down hard. Gray can't really do THAT much worse than DuPree did anyway. I'm comfortable calling the race Likely D right now.

Also, answer me this...what would happen if Gray decided to drop-out?  Seems like MS Dems might be able to convince a man who didn't even bother voting for himself that he should get out of the race.  If he dropped-out, would the MS Dem Committee be able to pick another candidate to represent them in the general?  Could it be Slater?

I think the party would get absolutely skewered nationally and in Mississippi if it dumped its fairly-elected nominee for someone who lost, even more than we're getting skewered now.

Nobody mentioned dumping him, just asking him to drop out.  There are precedents for that.

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If the State Democratic Party gets behind his candidacy, to the degree that they have any money to do so, Robert Gray has the chance to be another Victor Morales.

Morales was the upset winner of the U.S Senate Democratic Primary in Texas in 1996 who defeated two somewhat high profile U.S Representatives for the nomination.

Of course, unlike Robert Gray, Morales actively campaigned, I believe throughout the state in his pickup truck.  He also had a slight electoral history as a fairly small town city councilor.

However, Morales did play up his 'every man' non politician profile in both the primary and the general.

Of course, Morales lost to John Cornyn (as he lost 2 subsequent bids when many of his supporters complained that he had become much more of a 'slick' candidate), but he ended up performing much better than most pundits and party insiders believed he ever would when he won the nomination in 1996.

In my opinion, Victor Morales should be the model for Gray, after all, he already has the truck.

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Our SOS website is useless.

The "official" primary results are up here: http://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/Results-2015.aspx

Except the Republican PDF file is missing several counties. And the Democratic PDF file is an awful, unreadable xerox copy (I know that's how it usually is, but this one takes the cake.)

As I've compiled the aggregate congressional results several times, I can tell you that a few states are worse than Mississppi.  The problem for you is that though the page says it has the 'official' results, the real post you have to wait for is the one that says 'certified.'  That post is handy and easy to read.

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Our site is better than Alabama, but that ain't saying much because their site is putrid. And like Harry said, quite a few county precinct reports are missing. Looks like at least 12 counties aren't listed, I noticed Forrest, Oktibbeha, Lauderdale and Hinds were absent right off the bat. I expect those to show up eventually, but usually there are 1-2 county precinct sheets missing from each election cycle (I've always wanted to see 2008 Democratic primary results from Forrest County, but the SOS site doesn't seem to have it )

Have you checked the certified results?

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There are a several articles of Robert Gray on the internet.  He is African American and he's 46.

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There are a several articles of Robert Gray on the internet.  He is African American and he's 46.

At least some info. Well, in such case he will get decent black vote and almost none - white (what became a typical pattern in Mississippi)

http://www.jacksonfreepress.com/news/2015/aug/12/keep-truckin-meet-robert-gray/
http://msbusiness.com/2015/08/david-dallas-mississippi-goes-cray-cray-for-gray/
http://www.overdriveonline.com/owner-operator-robert-gray-wins-democratic-primary-vote-for-mississippi-governor/

Most recent brief interview:
http://www.wapt.com/news/mississippi/robert-gray-running-for-governor/34981892

There are other articles, but they probably don't add anything additional.