GA-SurveyUSA: Perdue +10% in primary
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Author Topic: GA-SurveyUSA: Perdue +10% in primary  (Read 1047 times)
JRP1994
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« on: March 21, 2014, 05:56:18 AM »

http://www.11alive.com/story/news/politics/2014/03/20/poll-georgia-primary-senate-governor/6620661/

(numbers from RealClearPolitics):

David Perdue: 29%
Jack Kingston: 19%
Phil Gingrey: 12%
Paul Broun: 11%
Karen Handel: 10%
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2014, 08:05:07 AM »

And the establishment breathes a collective sigh of relief, for now.
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: March 22, 2014, 12:42:14 PM »

Sad.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: March 22, 2014, 03:38:46 PM »

These polls seem to be changing every few weeks! Primary will be somewhat unpredictable.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: March 22, 2014, 03:42:14 PM »

I've been saying to look out for Perdue for a while... feels good man Tongue

If these numbers hold up, Nunn may want to kiss her Senate chances good bye. He's probably the best candidate of the bunch (besides his silly bailout position).
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Joshgreen
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« Reply #5 on: March 22, 2014, 07:54:07 PM »

This is clearly an outlier. Junk poll.
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SPC
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« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2014, 05:29:04 PM »

Would Senator-elect Perdue's victory be further cemented by an endorsement from Governor Oxendine?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2014, 05:38:34 PM »

Would Senator-elect Perdue's victory be further cemented by an endorsement from Governor Oxendine?

well Perdue wasn't considered the frontrunner early on. Hell, he wasn't even considered until a couple of weeks ago.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: March 23, 2014, 08:22:40 PM »
« Edited: March 23, 2014, 08:28:20 PM by GM Griffin »

WARNING: JUNK POLL

SurveyUSA is a good pollster - particularly in Georgia over the past 6 years - but this is absolute garbage. I think the main issue is that 25% of those surveyed were reached via tablets/smartphones (ads, I presume).

Dr. Rad is not in 4th place in the Democratic primary, behind some guy who's raised less than $1,000 and has done no campaigning. Nunn isn't below 50%.

The GOP primary electorate will not be 15% non-white. 25% of the Dem primary electorate will not be in non-metro Atlanta north Georgia (those numbers were 5% and 8%, respectively, in 2010).

David Perdue has not jumped 15 points in the polls from his "Sonny 2.0" video. I will admit, however, to seeing the first Republican Senate primary yard sign in town today, and it was his (and it looks just like Sonny's old signs, LOL).

One (or both) of two things is going on here:

1) those polled know nothing about any of these candidates (random selection; the Dem primary race in particular, as the only thing that could produce those results is the good ol' "that name sounds farren ta me" concept)
2) crap methodology
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