AR-Talk Business/Hendrix College: Sen. Pryor (D) with the lead now

[Tender Branson]

Q: In the race for U.S. Senate, the candidates are Democrat Mark Pryor, Republican Tom Cotton, Libertarian Nathan LaFrance, and Green Party candidate Mark Swaney. If the election for U.S. Senate were today, which candidate would you support?

45.5%  Democrat Mark Pryor
42.5%  Republican Tom Cotton
  2.0%  Libertarian Nathan LaFrance
  2.0%  Green candidate Mark Swaney
  8.0%  Undecided

METHODOLOGY

The latest survey of 1,068 likely Arkansas voters was taken on April 3-4, 2014. The sample included voters who have participated in multiple or all of the last five general elections. Also, only voters who said they were “very likely” (96%) or “somewhat likely” (4%) to participate in this November’s election were allowed to complete the survey. Cell phone users were also included and the poll has a margin of error of +/-3%.

http://talkbusiness.net/2014/04/pryor-holds-small-lead-cotton-high-profile-u-s-senate-race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Better to be up than down against Cotton. Pryor still has a chance.

[LeBron]

I guess this was taken before Pryor's "I'd vote for Obamacare again" gaffe then because this is a reliable pollster and I'm stunned Pryor actually has a small lead. If he continues this "middle method" though of trying to please liberal National Dems and his own moderate Arkansans simultaneously with these flip-floppy views and make more and more gaffes and rookie mistakes, then he'll still be ousted. I would still put this as lean R and undecided's will certainly break for Cotton.

Swaney and LaFrance should be able to pickup a lot more of the vote than that, to considering disgruntled liberal Dems in the state will just vote for Swaney and Boozman Republicans upset with Cotton's foreign record will go with LaFrance.

[windjammer]

I trust more the other poll though.
But: "Great news", "dominating",

[Miles]

New Poll: Arkansas Senator by Hendrix College/Talk Business on 2014-04-04

Summary: D: 46%, R: 43%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I trust more the other poll though.
But: "Great news", "dominating",
[/quote

I don't think u should look at other polls. The Senate is gonna follow the gubernatorial elections. With vulnerable seats in ARK, NH and IL gov Quinn, and Mi, our govs and senators can pull each other through.

[IceSpear]

At this point in 2010, Lincoln trailed Boozman by 27 points. So can we stop this comparison now?

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

The best pollster in Arkansas uses decimals?

I guess this was taken before Pryor's "I'd vote for Obamacare again" gaffe then because this is a reliable pollster and I'm stunned Pryor actually has a small lead. If he continues this "middle method" though of trying to please liberal National Dems and his own moderate Arkansans simultaneously with these flip-floppy views and make more and more gaffes and rookie mistakes, then he'll still be ousted. I would still put this as lean R and undecided's will certainly break for Cotton.

Swaney and LaFrance should be able to pickup a lot more of the vote than that, to considering disgruntled liberal Dems in the state will just vote for Swaney and Boozman Republicans upset with Cotton's foreign record will go with LaFrance.

That wasn't a gaffe.  Pryor is actually defending his support for Obamacare instead of trying to have it both ways, which would hurt him a lot more.  Folks who want to oust Pryor for his Obamacare support are already supporting Cotton.

[free my dawg]

Wait, what? This race isn't Leans R yet?

Well I'll be damned. Looks like I might have to reconsider my nonendorsement.

[moderatevoter]

Yeah, this poll has decimals? Just noticed that.

I don't think Pryor is going to be as easy to defeat as people think, but I think Cottons will start pulling away during the summer. Pryor is not Blanche Lincoln.

[publicunofficial]

The decimals are only .5, which seems like they're just being exact and not rounding down.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, this poll has decimals? Just noticed that.

I don't think Pryor is going to be as easy to defeat as people think, but I think Cottons will start pulling away during the summer. Pryor is not Blanche Lincoln.

You know Ross, who is running against Asa, another Hutchinson, may very well win. Due to his Brother Tim not being well liked. AR may or may not come through for the GOP.

[SPC]

So why has Pryor been written off for dead?