GA-SUSA: Deal up 4, Hunt (L) at 9% (user search)
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  GA-SUSA: Deal up 4, Hunt (L) at 9% (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-SUSA: Deal up 4, Hunt (L) at 9%  (Read 1230 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
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Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: April 29, 2014, 01:54:26 AM »

The actual survey page has it at 41-37, Deal.

Indeed it does - Georgia Tip Sheet screwed it up (I think they read the final column of the poll, which was for the South & East sections of GA and showed 41-34).

Anytime a Libertarian/Green/No-Name Independent is shown getting >5%, it's almost always a junk poll.

The 9% is wacky, but a Libertarian at 5% or so in Georgia is not. The 2010 nominee got 4%; you could very well have more disgruntled Republicans who rebel against a corrupt, "moderate" incumbent this cycle than we saw in 2010 when there was an open seat.

This is the second poll to show some oddities in the Dem Sen race; I just can't buy that Dr. Rad is coming in third to Steen Miles. Also, the regional numbers for Gov - particularly in NW GA - seem to be off (though I hope not); even if 2/3 of what I deem excess Libertarians in that poll go to Deal + 2/3 of undecideds, you end up with only 58-38 Deal. The 2010 result was something like 72-23.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2014, 06:11:47 AM »

Why is no one entering these polls into the database? The last GA one added was in late December. Sad
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