Results by Census Regions and Divisions (user search)
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  Results by Census Regions and Divisions (search mode)
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Author Topic: Results by Census Regions and Divisions  (Read 6484 times)

excelsus
Jr. Member
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Posts: 692
« on: April 30, 2014, 09:33:20 AM »

I'm gonna start a new topic now:
Results by Census Regions and Divisions, using the official definitions by the Bureau of the Census:



I know that the classifications of Maryland, Delaware and D.C. are a bit divisive (not to say wrong), but I'll do it the official way.
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2014, 09:35:48 AM »
« Edited: May 07, 2014, 08:38:56 AM by excelsus »

2012


Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Obama
59.11%
58.24%

50.18%
39.36%
39.97%

52.55%
46.42%

44.35%
58.79%

58.50%
45.71%
50.60%
54.07%
Romney
39.09%
40.33%

48.42%
59.28%
58.57%

45.76%
51.38%

53.02%
38.29%

39.96%
52.87%
47.55%
43.10%

2008



Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Obama
60.64%
58.72%

51.38%
41.02%
41.57%

55.83%
49.47%

47.46%
59.82%

59.27%
47.00%
53.82%
55.92%
McCain
37.53%
40.05%

47.52%
57.79%
57.36%

42.57%
48.71%

50.42%
37.90%

39.33%
51.89%
44.50%
41.85%

2004


Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Bush
40.80%
44.27%

52.82%
59.37%
60.32%

49.40%
53.76%

56.68%
45.16%

43.29%
56.06%
50.78%
48.71%
Kerry
57.70%
54.63%

46.38%
39.91%
38.97%

49.85%
45.16%

41.88%
53.42%

55.50%
43.17%
48.37%
49.86%


2000


Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Gore
56.14%
56.18%

47.15%
43.28%
39.92%

49.20%
44.33%

39.62%
51.87%

56.17%
44.35%
47.67%
48.32%

Bush
36.97%
39.99%

50.50%
54.90%
57.55%

47.66%
51.32%

54.72%
42.80%

39.11%
53.34%
48.81%
46.26%
Nader
5.63%
2.96%

1.46%
1.10%
1.66%

2.26%
3.12%

3.92%
4.15%

3.74%
1.45%
2.53%
4.09%


1992


Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Clinton
44.41%
46.75%

42.76%
43.76%
39.64%

42.92%
40.45%

36.29%
45.08%

46.06%
41.99%
42.15%
42.64%
Bush
31.68%
36.08%

41.31%
44.76%
40.44%

37.19%
36.26%

38.06%
32.72%

34.79%
41.68%
36.90%
34.21%
Perot
23.31%
16.51%

15.51%
10.95%
19.30%

19.38%
22.77%

24.06%
21.39%

18.51%
15.84%
20.44%
22.13%



1996



Region
New England
Middle Atlantic

South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central

East North Central
West North Central

Mountain West
Pacific West

Northeast
South
Midwest
West
Clinton
56.77%
54.86%

47.69%
45.56%
45.86%

49.56%
45.89%

42.63%
50.36%

55.41%
46.76%
48.40%
48.15%
Dole
31.02%
34.81%

44.05%
47.20%
45.92%

39.82%
42.53%

46.39%
38.20%

33.71%
45.18%
40.68%
40.54%
Perot
10.10%
8.61%

7.50%
6.49%
7.41%

9.50%
10.19%

8.72%
7.53%

9.04%
7.29%
9.72%
7.87%

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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2014, 03:10:15 PM »

You're already finished? how cool ...
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2014, 03:47:43 AM »

You're already finished? how cool ...

I'm not quite as quick as all that - I'd made them up some time ago but had never thought to put them up here.

That's really great work.
But would you mind making the maps a bit smaller? It's a bit confusing this way.
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2014, 03:57:51 AM »

There have been five presidents (since 1892) who won each division:

Hoover (1928)
Roosevelt (1932, 1936)
Nixon (1972)
Reagan (1980, 1984)
Bush Sr. (1988, lol)
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2014, 05:58:44 AM »

There have been only three third-party candidates (since 1982) who won a division:

Weaver in 1982 (Mountain West)
T. Roosevelt in 1912 (Pacific West)
Wallace in 1968 (East South Central)

None has won a region.
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #6 on: May 07, 2014, 08:31:19 AM »

It's a bit very strange to see Clinton lose the West South Central (albeit by an extremely close margin of 0.06%).
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #7 on: May 08, 2014, 07:28:23 AM »

Ok, yeah so it's definitely Maryland that gave the region to Obama. That's an amazing margin of victory in a relatively small state, but it's also a good argument that MD and maybe DE don't fit well into the region. The South Atlantic states from VA to FL could be described as lean GOP as a whole but when you add MD to the region it totally swings it. Kinda cool.

Someone wrote that there were made attempts in the '70s to shift MD, DC and DE to the Middle Atlantic, but the Bureau of the Census wanted to keep consistency. Roll Eyes
Furthermore, West Virginia should be added to the East South Central.

I Wish the electoral college was based on census regions because then I'd be living in a blue state!

Hell no...
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2014, 11:53:33 PM »

Three [four] presidents didn't win their home division:

1892: Grover Cleveland
1916: Woodrow Wilson
[1968: Richard Nixon]
1992+1996 : Bill Clinton!!! Shocked
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2014, 08:27:16 AM »


Oh, indeed, you're right. Shocked
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excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
« Reply #10 on: June 08, 2014, 02:46:16 PM »


T. Roosevelt lost the election that year.


No. Clinton's disadvantage was to live in division that contains Texas, which swallows the other three small states in terms of population.
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